Lokomotiv Moskva vs Dynamo Makhachkala preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
RZD Arena Sun, 12 Apr - 1:30 PM
Premier League
Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala
KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 1:30 PM
Round 24 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lokomotiv Moskva are scheduled to host Dynamo Makhachkala in a Premier League encounter at the RZD Arena. This fixture is taking place during the Regular Season stage of the campaign. Both sides will be preparing for a competitive domestic matchup. Heading into this contest, the hosts currently sit in 3rd position in the league standings. For Lokomotiv Moskva, their season form reads W3 D1 L2 from 6 matches. In contrast, the visiting Dynamo Makhachkala find themselves occupying the 12th place in the table. The away side's season form reads W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. Looking at their latest results, Lokomotiv Moskva enter this fixture following a loss away against Spartak Moskva in their last outing. Meanwhile, Dynamo Makhachkala recently played out a draw at home against Baltika Kaliningrad.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lokomotiv Moskva hold a +14 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Lokomotiv Moskva sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Lokomotiv Moskva show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Lokomotiv Moskva have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Lokomotiv Moskva carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Lokomotiv Moskva hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the provided data.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lokomotiv Moskva M. Galaktionov
M. Galaktionov
VS
Dynamo Makhachkala V. Evseev
V. Evseev
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Spartak Moskva Rank: 72 L
Akron Rank: 55 W
Rubin Kazan Rank: 60 L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: 59 D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 W
Sochi Rank: 47 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: 66 D
CSKA Moskva Rank: 71 L
Orenburg Rank: 52 W
Krylya Sovetov Rank: 55 L
Rubin Kazan Rank: 62 W
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: 51 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiv Moskva
0%
Draw
0%
Away Dynamo Makhachkala
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.5
56.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiv Moskva
Dynamo Makhachkala
Power Score
70.5
56.48
League Position
3
12
Global Rank
176
573

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Dynamo Makhachkala — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Dynamo Makhachkala

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home
3 matches
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:06:17+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Mitryushkin
1 A. Mitryushkin
A. Silyanov
45 A. Silyanov
G. Nyamsi
5 G. Nyamsi
C. Montes Castro
23 C. Montes Castro
Lucas Fasson
3 Lucas Fasson
D. Prutsev
25 D. Prutsev
A. Karpukas
93 A. Karpukas
Z. Bakaev
7 Z. Bakaev
A. Batrakov
83 A. Batrakov
A. Rudenko
19 A. Rudenko
V. Sarveli
8 V. Sarveli
D. Volk
27 D. Volk
T. Sundukov
77 T. Sundukov
J. Tabidze
5 J. Tabidze
A. Alarcón Mendoza
24 A. Alarcón Mendoza
S. Kagermazov
13 S. Kagermazov
M. Azzi
22 M. Azzi
N. Glushkov
47 N. Glushkov
E. Moubarik
6 E. Moubarik
H. Eddine Mrezigue
16 H. Eddine Mrezigue
M. Hosseinnezhad Mahaleh kolaei
10 M. Hosseinnezhad Mahaleh kolaei
G. Agalarov
25 G. Agalarov

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
RZD Arena
Capacity
28800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Anton Mitryushkin
Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper
8
Vladislav Sarvelyi
Vladislav Sarvelyi Centre Forward
3
Lucas Fasson
Lucas Fasson Left Back
5
Gerzino Nyamsi
Gerzino Nyamsi Right Back
25
Danil Prutsev
Danil Prutsev Defensive Midfield
7
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Zelimkhan Bakaev Right Wing
19
Aleksandr Rudenko
Aleksandr Rudenko Left Wing
23
César Montes
César Montes Left Back
45
Alexander Silyanov
Alexander Silyanov Right Back
83
Aleksey Batrakov
Aleksey Batrakov Attacking Midfield
93
Artem Karpukas
Artem Karpukas Defensive Midfield

Starting XI ▼

27
David Volk
David Volk Goalkeeper
47
Nikita Glushkov
Nikita Glushkov Midfielder
10
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad
Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad Midfielder
25
Gamid Agalarov
Gamid Agalarov Centre Forward
5
Jemal Tabidze
Jemal Tabidze Left Back
16
Houssem Mrezigue
Houssem Mrezigue Central Midfield
77
Temirkan Sundukov
Temirkan Sundukov Left Back
6
Mehdi Moubarik
Mehdi Moubarik Central Midfield
13
Soslan Kagermazov
Soslan Kagermazov Right Back
22
Mohamed Azzi
Mohamed Azzi Right Back
24
Andrés Alarcón
Andrés Alarcón Centre Back

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Lokomotiv Moskva holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Lokomotiv Moskva a 14-point edge. Market probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.