Lokomotiv Moskva VS Dinamo Moskva

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia

RZD Arena Fri, 1 May - 4:30 PM

Premier League

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva

Dinamo Moskva DMO

KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 4:30 PM

Round 28 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Russian Premier League's 2025/2026 regular season, Lokomotiv Moskva welcomes rivals Dinamo Moskva to RZD Arena for a crucial Moscow derby. Lokomotiv, entrenched in 3rd place, holds a clear edge with a power score of 25.49 over Dinamo's 23.68, translating to a 1.8-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side analytically. Their form score of 16.17 further surpasses Dinamo's 12.11, indicating better recent momentum despite limited outing details. Dinamo, languishing in 8th, faces an uphill battle to close the gap. Data on set pieces reveals low confidence levels with proxy metrics employed, as xG specifics remain unavailable. Efficiency and transition insights are absent, shifting emphasis to structural and form disparities. Home support could amplify Lokomotiv's strengths in this high-stakes encounter.

TL;DR

Structural: Lokomotiv Moskva possesses a 1.8-point power advantage with a score of 25.49 against Dinamo Moskva's 23.68.
Form: Lokomotiv Moskva's form score stands at 16.17, superior to Dinamo Moskva's 12.11.
Squad: Lokomotiv Moskva occupies 3rd in the league table, while Dinamo Moskva is in 8th.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
Transition: Transition data is not provided for the matchup.
Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used and no xG available for either side.
xVariable: xG data for set pieces is unavailable as the add-on is not enabled.
Market: Projection split: Lokomotiv Moskva 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Dinamo Moskva 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Galaktionov

R. Gusev

1.57

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.57

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

17 - 12 - 14

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Lokomotiv Moskva

Draw

Dinamo Moskva

Team Power Ranking

25.49

23.68

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Lokomotiv Moskva

Dinamo Moskva

Power Score

25.49

23.68

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Lokomotiv Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Dinamo Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiv Moskva Dinamo Moskva

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiv Moskva Lokomotiv Moskva Home

43 matches

Dinamo Moskva DMO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-5

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:26:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

May 01, 2026, 04:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium

RZD Arena

Capacity

28800

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Galaktionov Coach

Squad ▼

Anton Mitryushkin Goalkeeper

Ilya Lantratov Goalkeeper

Daniil Veselov Goalkeeper

Cristian Leonel Ramírez Zambrano Defender

César Jasib Montes Castro Defender

Gerzino Nyamsi Defender

Maksim Nenakhov Defender

Aleksandr Silyanov Defender

Evgeny Morozov Defender

Lucas Fasson dos Santos Defender

Egor Pogostnov Defender

Artem Timofeev Midfielder

Danila Prutsev Midfielder

Lucas Vera Midfielder

Artem Karpukas Midfielder

Mikhail Shchetinin Midfielder

Aleksey Batrakov Midfielder

Danila Godyaev Midfielder

Daniil Igorevich Chevardin Midfielder

Nikolay Komlichenko Attacker

Zelimkhan Bakaev Attacker

Dmitriy Vorobyev Attacker

Vladislav Sarveli Attacker

Alexander Rudenko Attacker

Sergey Pinyaev Attacker

Nikita Saltykov Attacker

Ruslan Myalkovskiy Attacker

Vadim Rakov Attacker

Manager ▼

R. Gusev Coach

Squad ▼

Igor Leshchuk Goalkeeper

Andrey Lunev Goalkeeper

Andrey Kudravets Goalkeeper

Kurban Rasulov Goalkeeper

Dmitri Skopintsev Defender

Baktiyor Zainutdinov Defender

Maksim Osipenko Defender

Roberto Fernández Urbieta Defender

Nicolás Marichal Defender

Juan José Cáceres Defender

R. Dias Defender

David Ricardo Loiola da Silva Defender

Milan Majstorovic Defender

Leon Zaydenzal Defender

Anton Miranchuk Midfielder

Daniil Fomin Midfielder

Luis Gerardo Chávez Magallón Midfielder

Danil Glebov Midfielder

João Paulo de Souza Mares Midfielder

Aleksandr Kutitskiy Midfielder

Viktor Okishor Midfielder

Dmitri Aleksandrov Midfielder

Timofey Marinkin Midfielder

Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu Attacker

Ivan Sergeev Attacker

Arthur Gomes Lourenço Attacker

Konstantin Tyukavin Attacker

Yaroslav Gladyshev Attacker

El Mehdi Maouhoub Attacker

Ulvi Babaev Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lokomotiv Moskva approaches this derby with tangible edges in power rating, form, and league standing, positioning them favorably against a Dinamo side trailing in key metrics. The home team's 1.8-point superiority and higher momentum suggest control, though Dinamo's resolve could spark surprises in transitions or open play. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece breakdowns, the contest hinges on structural discipline and execution. RZD Arena's atmosphere may tip scales, reinforcing Lokomotiv's campaign for top spots while challenging Dinamo's mid-table aspirations in a tightly contested Premier League season.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT