Liverpool vs Chelsea preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Anfield Sat, 9 May - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Liverpool LIV
Chelsea CHE
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 11:30 AM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Liverpool host Chelsea in Premier League (Regular Season) at Anfield. Domestically, Liverpool sit 4th in the table while Chelsea are 9th. Power ranking favours Liverpool by 4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Liverpool possess a 4-point power advantage with scores of 92.14 at home versus Chelsea's 88.14.
  • Form: Liverpool's form score of 24.17 vastly outpaces Chelsea's rating of 0.
  • Squad: Squad details for both teams remain unavailable in current data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information.
  • xVariable: xG variable metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Market: Liverpool 50.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.9% (Δ+0%) | Chelsea 25.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Liverpool A. Slot
A. Slot
VS
Chelsea C. McFarlane
C. McFarlane
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Everton Rank: 88 W
Fulham Rank: 86 W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 84 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 89 L
Manchester United Rank: 90 L
Manchester City Rank: 97 L
Everton Rank: 87 L
Newcastle United Rank: 89 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 23 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liverpool
50.61%
Draw
23.88%
Away Chelsea
25.51%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.14
88.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liverpool
Chelsea
Power Score
92.14
88.14
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
7
20

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liverpool — Opponent-weighted form score
Chelsea — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liverpool Chelsea

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 73 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Liverpool LIV Home
73 matches
Chelsea CHE Away
Match Record
24
Wins
26
23
Draws
23
26
Losses
24
Goals
80
Goals Scored
85
85
Goals Conceded
80
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:07:22+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
F. Woodman
28 F. Woodman
C. Jones
17 C. Jones
I. Konaté
5 I. Konaté
V. van Dijk
4 V. van Dijk
A. Robertson
26 A. Robertson
R. Gravenberch
38 R. Gravenberch
A. Mac Allister
10 A. Mac Allister
J. Frimpong
30 J. Frimpong
D. Szoboszlai
8 D. Szoboszlai
F. Wirtz
7 F. Wirtz
C. Gakpo
18 C. Gakpo
R. Lynch Sanchez
1 R. Lynch Sanchez
M. Cucurella
3 M. Cucurella
O. Adarabioyo
4 O. Adarabioyo
T. Chalobah
23 T. Chalobah
M. Gusto
27 M. Gusto
R. Lavia
45 R. Lavia
M. Caicedo Corozo
25 M. Caicedo Corozo
P. Lomba Neto
7 P. Lomba Neto
E. Fernández
8 E. Fernández
C. Palmer
10 C. Palmer
J. Junqueira de Jesus
20 J. Junqueira de Jesus

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Anfield
Capacity
61276
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

28
Freddie Woodman
Freddie Woodman Goalkeeper
6.85
18
Cody Gakpo
Cody Gakpo Centre Forward
7.12
5
Ibrahima Konaté
Ibrahima Konaté Right Back
6.96
26
Andrew Robertson
Andrew Robertson Left Back
6.68
30
Jeremie Frimpong
Jeremie Frimpong Right Wing
6.63
38
Ryan Gravenberch
Ryan Gravenberch Defensive Midfield
7.06
4
Virgil van Dijk
Virgil van Dijk Left Back
7.09
7
Florian Wirtz
Florian Wirtz Left Wing
7.06
8
Dominik Szoboszlai
Dominik Szoboszlai Attacking Midfield
7.36
10
Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister Defensive Midfield
6.86
17
Curtis Jones
Curtis Jones Right Back
6.82

Starting XI ▼

1
Robert Sánchez
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper
6.83
20
João Pedro
João Pedro Centre Forward
7.14
4
Tosin Adarabioyo
Tosin Adarabioyo Left Back
6.76
23
Trevoh Chalobah
Trevoh Chalobah Right Back
6.95
45
Roméo Lavia
Roméo Lavia Defensive Midfield
6.64
3
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Left Back
6.87
7
Pedro Neto
Pedro Neto Left Wing
6.94
8
Enzo Fernández
Enzo Fernández Attacking Midfield
7.24
10
Cole Palmer
Cole Palmer Right Wing
7.03
25
Moisés Caicedo
Moisés Caicedo Defensive Midfield
7.05
27
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto Right Back
6.82

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Liverpool holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Liverpool a 4-point edge. External projection is Liverpool 50.5%, draw 24.3%, and Chelsea 25.3%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.