Lazio vs Inter preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Olimpico Yesterday - 4:00 PM
Serie A
Lazio LAZ
Inter INT
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 4:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lazio welcome league leaders Inter to the Stadio Olimpico for a pivotal Serie A regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Inter hold a clear edge with a 91.38 power score compared to Lazio's 81.49, translating to a 9.9-point advantage that underscores their supremacy. Sitting atop the standings in 1st place, Inter contrast sharply with 8th-placed Lazio, who face an uphill battle at home. Form metrics reinforce the visitors' momentum, boasting a 36.67 score against the hosts' 28.06. While detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data remain unavailable due to limited xG insights, Inter's overall structural superiority positions them as favorites. Lazio will rely on home crowd energy and defensive resolve to disrupt Inter's rhythm in this high-stakes fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Inter possess a 9.9-point power advantage over Lazio, ranking 1st to the hosts' 8th in Serie A.
  • Form: Inter's form score of 36.67 outpaces Lazio's 28.06.
  • Squad: Inter's squad rates higher at 91.38 power score versus Lazio's 81.49.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not available for this matchup.
  • Market: Lazio 21.2% (Δ+0.5%) | Draw 26.1% (Δ+0%) | Inter 52.7% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lazio M. Sarri
M. Sarri
VS
Inter C. Chivu
C. Chivu
1.44
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.44
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cremonese Rank: 67 W
Udinese Rank: 75 D
Napoli Rank: 86 W
Fiorentina Rank: 77 L
Parma Rank: 73 D
Bologna Rank: 78 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Parma Rank: 73 W
Torino Rank: 74 D
Cagliari Rank: 69 W
Como Rank: 84 W
Roma Rank: 85 W
Fiorentina Rank: 77 D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 10 - 26
26
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lazio
21.15%
Draw
26.14%
Away Inter
52.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lazio
+0.46%
Draw
0%
Inter
-0.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.49
91.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lazio
Inter
Power Score
81.49
91.38
League Position
8
1
Global Rank
51
9

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lazio — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lazio Inter

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lazio LAZ Home
48 matches
Inter INT Away
Match Record
12
Wins
26
10
Draws
10
26
Losses
12
Goals
49
Goals Scored
83
83
Goals Conceded
49
-34
Goal Difference
+34
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:08:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
E. Motta
Italy
40 E. Motta
A. Marušić
Montenegro
77 A. Marušić
A. Romagnoli
Italy
13 A. Romagnoli
O. Nielsen
Denmark
25 O. Nielsen
N. Varela Tavares
Portugal
17 N. Varela Tavares
T. Bašić
Croatia
26 T. Bašić
P. Gabarrón Gil
Spain
4 P. Gabarrón Gil
K. Taylor
Netherlands
24 K. Taylor
G. Isaksen
Denmark
18 G. Isaksen
D. Maldini
Italy
27 D. Maldini
M. Zaccagni
Italy
10 M. Zaccagni
Y. Sommer
Switzerland
1 Y. Sommer
A. Bastoni
Italy
95 A. Bastoni
M. Akanji
Switzerland
25 M. Akanji
Y. Bisseck
Germany
31 Y. Bisseck
F. Dimarco
Italy
32 F. Dimarco
P. Sučić
Croatia
8 P. Sučić
P. Zieliński
Poland
7 P. Zieliński
N. Barella
Italy
23 N. Barella
D. Dumfries
Netherlands
2 D. Dumfries
H. Mkhitaryan
Armenia
22 H. Mkhitaryan
M. Thuram
France
9 M. Thuram

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico
Capacity
72698
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Federico Fontani
Juan Luca Sacchi
Rosario Abisso
Simone Biffi

Lineup

Referee : Rosario Abisso

Starting XI ▼

40
Edoardo Motta
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper
6.79
13
Alessio Romagnoli
Alessio Romagnoli Defender
6.89
17
Nuno Tavares
Nuno Tavares Defender
6.83
25
Oliver Provstgaard
Oliver Provstgaard Defender
6.8
77
Adam Marusic
Adam Marusic Defender
6.84
4
Patric
Patric Midfielder
6.7
24
Kenneth Taylor
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder
6.9
26
Toma Bašić
Toma Bašić Midfielder
7.02
10
Mattia Zaccagni
Mattia Zaccagni Attacker
7.01
18
Gustav Isaksen
Gustav Isaksen Attacker
6.81
27
Daniel Maldini
Daniel Maldini Attacker
6.69
Referee : Rosario Abisso

Starting XI ▼

1
Yann Sommer
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper
6.77
25
Manuel Akanji
Manuel Akanji Defender
7.04
31
Yann Bisseck
Yann Bisseck Defender
7.09
95
Alessandro Bastoni
Alessandro Bastoni Defender
7.23
2
Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder
6.71
7
Piotr Zieliński
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder
7.04
8
Petar Sučić
Petar Sučić Midfielder
6.75
23
Nicolò Barella
Nicolò Barella Midfielder
7.21
32
Federico Dimarco
Federico Dimarco Midfielder
7.58
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram Attacker
7.21
22
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Henrikh Mkhitaryan Attacker
6.93

CONCLUSION

Inter enter as overwhelming favorites, leveraging their top-table position and superior power metrics to challenge Lazio's home fortress. The 9.9-point edge and stronger form suggest the visitors control the narrative, though Lazio's mid-table grit could spark an upset. Without granular set-piece or efficiency insights, the focus falls on Inter's clinical execution against a resilient defense. Expect a tactical battle where Inter's quality shines through, potentially extending their lead at the summit. Lazio must maximize every opportunity to counter the Nerazzurri's dominance.