Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor preview

Türkiye flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 5:00 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kasımpaşa host Kocaelispor in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu. Domestically, Kasımpaşa sit 13th in the table while Kocaelispor are 11th. Power ranking favours Kasımpaşa by 8.5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Kasımpaşa hold a clear structural edge with an 8.5-point power advantage over Kocaelispor.
  • Form: Kasımpaşa demonstrate superior recent form at 18.61 compared to Kocaelispor's 10.56.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with Kasımpaşa’s higher power score of 65.44 versus 56.93.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not available due to lack of detailed tracking.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance shows low confidence with no xG data available for either side.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables remain unavailable with proxies used at low confidence.
  • Market: Kasımpaşa 42.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30% (Δ+0%) | Kocaelispor 27.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kasımpaşa E. Belözoğlu
E. Belözoğlu
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 W
Göztepe Rank: 73 D
Kayserispor Rank: 63 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 78 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 65 L
Göztepe Rank: 72 D
Galatasaray Rank: 88 D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 76 D
Alanyaspor Rank: 68 L
Konyaspor Rank: 70 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kasımpaşa
42.41%
Draw
30%
Away Kocaelispor
27.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.44
56.93
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
Power Score
65.44
56.93
League Position
13
11
Global Rank
314
336

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kasımpaşa Kocaelispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Home
1 matches
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:08:45+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Gianniotis
1 A. Gianniotis
C. Winck Neto
2 C. Winck Neto
N. Opoku
20 N. Opoku
A. Arous
4 A. Arous
G. Owusu Frimpong
21 G. Owusu Frimpong
K. Demirbay
26 K. Demirbay
C. Ribeiro Dias
8 C. Ribeiro Dias
İ. Kahveci
71 İ. Kahveci
A. Kol
11 A. Kol
F. Diabaté
34 F. Diabaté
A. Benedyczak
19 A. Benedyczak
S. Öztaşdelen
83 S. Öztaşdelen
M. Haïdara
21 M. Haïdara
H. Smolčić
6 H. Smolčić
A. Dijksteel
2 A. Dijksteel
A. Oğuz
22 A. Oğuz
H. Keita
8 H. Keita
K. Linetty
10 K. Linetty
T. Bingöl
75 T. Bingöl
J. Nonge Boende
98 J. Nonge Boende
D. Agyei
7 D. Agyei
R. Rivas Vindel
99 R. Rivas Vindel

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Capacity
14234
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Salih Mazlum
Yasin Kol
Yusuf Susuz
Alpaslan Şen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Yasin Kol

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Gianniotis
Andreas Gianniotis Goalkeeper
6.74
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak Centre Forward
7.02
20
Nicholas Opoku
Nicholas Opoku Right Back
6.73
21
Godfried Frimpong
Godfried Frimpong Left Back
6.51
2
Cláudio Winck
Cláudio Winck Right Back
6.76
4
Adem Arous
Adem Arous Left Back
6.81
26
Kerem Demirbay
Kerem Demirbay Defensive Midfield
7.04
11
Ali Yavuz Kol
Ali Yavuz Kol Attacking Midfield
6.59
8
Cafú
Cafú Defensive Midfield
6.65
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Fousseni Diabaté Left Wing
6.68
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Right Wing
7.16
Referee : Yasin Kol

Starting XI ▼

83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
6.94
98
Joseph Nonge
Joseph Nonge Attacker
6.62
99
Rigoberto Rivas
Rigoberto Rivas Attacker
6.55
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Centre Forward
6.57
75
Tayfur Bingöl
Tayfur Bingöl Central Midfield
6.81
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Right Back
6.7
21
Massadio Haïdara
Massadio Haïdara Left Back
6.84
6
Hrvoje Smolcic
Hrvoje Smolcic Left Back
7.01
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Right Back
6.96
8
Habib Keïta
Habib Keïta Central Midfield
6.79
10
Karol Linetty
Karol Linetty Central Midfield
6.71

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Kasımpaşa holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Kasımpaşa a 8.5-point edge. External projection is Kasımpaşa 42.4%, draw 30%, and Kocaelispor 27.6%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.