Kalmar vs Elfsborg preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Guldfågeln Arena Today - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Kalmar KAL
Elfsborg ELF
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Kalmar host Elfsborg in Allsvenskan (Regular Season) at Guldfågeln Arena. Domestically, Kalmar sit 15th in the table while Elfsborg are 2th. Power ranking favours Elfsborg by 22 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Elfsborg possess a 22-point power advantage and sit second in the league, far ahead of 15th-placed Kalmar.
  • Form: Elfsborg's form score stands at 32.67, significantly outperforming Kalmar's 1.42.
  • Squad: No recent squad updates available; Elfsborg's higher league position underscores their stronger overall roster.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxy data with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to add-on not being enabled.
  • Market: Kalmar 37.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.1% (Δ+0%) | Elfsborg 33.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
VS
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
0.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
AIK Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Västerås SK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: L
AIK Rank: L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 12 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kalmar
37.14%
Draw
29.07%
Away Elfsborg
33.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
7.22
29.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kalmar
Elfsborg
Power Score
7.22
29.26
League Position
15
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar Elfsborg

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home
40 matches
Elfsborg ELF Away
Match Record
11
Wins
17
12
Draws
12
17
Losses
11
Goals
44
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
44
-19
Goal Difference
+19
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T01:12:10+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Kindberg
30 J. Kindberg
R. Jansson
4 R. Jansson
L. Sætra
39 L. Sætra
A. Dari
20 A. Dari
V. Larsson
2 V. Larsson
C. Rosenquist
13 C. Rosenquist
R. Gojani
23 R. Gojani
N. Chourak
7 N. Chourak
M. Söderbäck
10 M. Söderbäck
V. Tyren
6 V. Tyren
C. Sagoe Junior
24 C. Sagoe Junior
I. Pettersson
31 I. Pettersson
S. Holmén
8 S. Holmén
R. Wikström
6 R. Wikström
T. Poppler-Isherwood
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
N. Hult
23 N. Hult
S. Olsson
10 S. Olsson
J. Magnússon
18 J. Magnússon
S. Hedlund
15 S. Hedlund
A. Sigurpálsson
25 A. Sigurpálsson
F. Ihler
24 F. Ihler
T. Silverholt
11 T. Silverholt

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Guldfågeln Arena
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Mattsson

Expected Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
6.98
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck Midfielder
6.59
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Midfielder
6.75
6
V. Tyren
V. Tyren Attacker
6.81
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Attacker
6.83
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Left Back
6.43
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Right Back
6.83
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Central Midfield
6.94
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Left Back
6.94
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Central Midfield
7.16
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Right Back
6.59
Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
6.74
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
6.68
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
7.01
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
6.76
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler Centre Forward
7.18
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson Attacker
6.69
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Right Back
6.9
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Centre Back
6.93
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Left Back
6.97
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Central Midfield
7.06
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Central Midfield
7.18

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Elfsborg holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Elfsborg a 22-point edge. External projection is Kalmar 35.6%, draw 29.5%, and Elfsborg 34.9%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.