Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin preview
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski
Yesterday - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin
KICKOFF :
Yesterday - 3:30 PM
Round 32 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 10
CONTEXT
Jagiellonia Białystok welcomes Pogoń Szczecin to Stadion Miejski for an Ekstraklasa regular season clash in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit comfortably in 4th place, leveraging a power score of 64.57 against the visitors' 62.88, translating to a 1.7-point advantage that marks them as the stronger outfit. Form metrics tilt further in Jagiellonia's favor at 20.33 compared to Pogoń's 17.56, suggesting momentum on the home side. Pogoń, languishing in 9th, faces an uphill battle to disrupt the hosts' top-four aspirations. With domestic league positions underscoring Jagiellonia's consistency, this matchup hinges on execution in key phases. Limited advanced data on set pieces and efficiency adds intrigue, as both teams rely on core strengths. Expect a competitive encounter where home support could prove decisive.
TL;DR
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Structural: Jagiellonia Białystok holds 4th place with a 64.57 power score and 1.7-point edge over 9th-placed Pogoń Szczecin's 62.88.
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Form: Hosts enter with a superior form score of 20.33 against Pogoń's 17.56.
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Squad: Jagiellonia's squad powers their higher league standing and home advantage at Stadion Miejski.
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Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this Ekstraklasa fixture.
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Transition: Transition play details unavailable due to absent recent outing data.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats show low confidence with proxy metrics for both teams.
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xVariable: xG data unavailable as add-on not enabled for either side.
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Market: Jagiellonia Białystok 50.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.7% (Δ+0%) | Pogoń Szczecin 24.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
A. Siemieniec
VS
T. Thomasberg
1.29
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze
Rank: 66
L
Arka Gdynia
Rank: 57
W
Korona Kielce
Rank: 61
D
Lech Poznań
Rank: 72
D
Wisła Płock
Rank: 57
L
Katowice
Rank: 66
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock
Rank: 58
W
Cracovia Kraków
Rank: 59
D
Lech Poznań
Rank: 69
L
Piast Gliwice
Rank: 62
W
Legia Warszawa
Rank: 65
L
Lechia Gdańsk
Rank: 60
L
11
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 10 - 10
10
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Jagiellonia Białystok
50.83%
Draw
24.67%
Pogoń Szczecin
24.51%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.57
62.88
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Jagiellonia Białystok
Pogoń Szczecin
Power Score
64.57
62.88
League Position
4
9
Global Rank
346
406
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Pogoń Szczecin
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Jagiellonia Białystok Pogoń Szczecin
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
Home
31
matches
Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin
Away
Match Record
11
Wins
10
10
Draws
10
10
Losses
11
Goals
40
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
40
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-08T00:07:55+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-4-2
50 S. Abramowicz
15 N. Wojtuszek
13 B. Cardoso Vital
4 Y. Kobayashi
23 G. Serrão Montóia
6 T. Romanczuk
86 B. Mazurek
19 M. Leiva Esquivel
11 J. Imaz Ballesté
77 K. Szmyt
10 A. Pululu
77 V. Cojocaru
4 L. Borges da Silva
41 A. Szalai
22 D. Lončar
28 L. Wahlqvist
18 P. Mukairu
3 K. Acosta
8 F. Ulvestad
25 M. Agger
47 Natan Lawa
10 F. Čuić
General Information
Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
22372
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wojciech Myć
Next Match
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
Raków Częstochowa
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Wed, 13 May - 6:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Raków
Pogoń Szczecin
vs
Zagłębie Lubin
League: Ekstraklasa
Kickoff: Fri, 15 May - 4:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Expected Lineup
Referee :
Wojciech Myć
Manager ▼
A. Siemieniec
Coach
Starting XI ▼
50
Slawomir Abramowicz
Goalkeeper
6.93 10
Afimico Pululu
Centre Forward
7.06 13
Bernardo Vital
Right Back
7.04 77
Kajetan Szmyt
Left Wing
6.6 23
Guilherme Montóia
Left Back
6.93 15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Right Back
6.94 6
Taras Romanczuk
Defensive Midfield
7.03 4
Yuki Kobayashi
Left Back
6.66 86
Bartosz Mazurek
Defensive Midfield
6.82 19
Matías Nahuel
Right Wing
6.76 11
Jesús Imaz
Attacking Midfield
7.29 Substitutes ▼
21
Sergio Lozano
6.82 9
Dimitris Rallis
6.65 14
Samed Bazdar
6.74 72
Kamil Jozwiak
6.7 8
Dawid Drachal
6.69 44
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
6.78 66
Adrian Damasiewicz
70
Andy Pelmard
6.79 27
Bartlomiej Wdowik
7.03 80
Zachary Zalewski
6.53 85
Eryk Kozlowski
6.6
Referee :
Wojciech Myć
Manager ▼
T. Thomasberg
Coach
Starting XI ▼
77
Valentin Cojocaru
Goalkeeper
7.17 25
M. Agger
Midfielder
6.62 18
Paul Mukairu
Midfielder
6.77 10
Filip Cuic
Attacker
6.86 47
N. Lawa
Attacker
6.55 28
Linus Wahlqvist
Right Back
6.59 22
Danijel Loncar
Right Back
6.61 41
Attila Szalai
Left Back
6.77 4
Léo Borges
Left Back
6.97 8
Fredrik Ulvestad
Central Midfield
7 3
Kellyn Acosta
Central Midfield
6.89 Substitutes ▼
19
Mor Ndiaye
6.85 61
Kacper Smolinski
6.64 13
Dimitrios Keramitsis
6.86 15
Hussein Ali
6.45 20
Igor Brzyski
23
Benjamin Mendy
6.46 24
Karol Angielski
6.59 30
Jacek Samuel Czapliński
6.7 6
Jan Bieganski
6.65 31
Krzysztof Kaminski
7.04 90
Sam Greenwood
6.78 32
Leonardo Koutris
6.73 CONCLUSION
Jagiellonia Białystok appears poised to capitalize on their power and form edges in this home Ekstraklasa outing against Pogoń Szczecin. The 1.7-point superiority and better recent metrics position the 4th-placed hosts to extend their advantage over mid-table visitors. While set piece and efficiency insights are limited, structural strengths favor Jagiellonia at Stadion Miejski. Pogoń must elevate to challenge, but the gap in league standings and scores suggests a hosts' lean. This regular season test could reinforce Jagiellonia's top-four bid.