Istra 1961 vs Slaven Koprivnica preview
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Today - 4:00 PM
1. HNL
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Slaven Koprivnica
Slaven Koprivnica
KICKOFF :
Today - 4:00 PM
Round 33 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: May 4
CONTEXT
In the 1. HNL regular season at Stadion Aldo Drosina, Istra 1961 welcome Slaven Koprivnica in a pivotal mid-table showdown during the 2025/2026 campaign. Istra sit 8th, one place and likely a point behind 7th-placed Slaven, making this a crucial encounter for climbing the standings. Slaven hold a razor-thin power advantage at 62.4 to Istra's 61.81, marking them as marginally stronger overall. However, Istra boast superior recent form with a 7.89 score against Slaven's 6.94, suggesting momentum on the home side. No last outings are detailed, and advanced stats like set pieces draw from low-confidence proxies with no xG data available. League positions underscore a balanced rivalry, where tactical discipline and execution will prove decisive in this closely contested fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Slaven Koprivnica possesses a slight structural edge with a power score of 62.4 over Istra 1961's 61.81.
-
Form: Istra 1961 shows stronger recent form at 7.89 compared to Slaven Koprivnica's 6.94.
-
Squad: No specific squad news or disruptions reported for either team ahead of this match.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
-
Transition: Transition play data not provided in available analysis.
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Set pieces: Set piece stats rely on low-confidence proxies for both teams with no xG data.
-
xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on is not enabled.
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Market: Istra 1961 37.6% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ-0.1%) | Slaven Koprivnica 33.9% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
K. Režić
VS
M. Gregurina
1
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica
Rank: 61
L
Dinamo Zagreb
Rank: 80
L
Vukovar
Rank: 54
L
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rank: 60
L
Hajduk Split
Rank: 73
L
Varaždin
Rank: 66
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vukovar
Rank: 55
D
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Rank: 63
L
Hajduk Split
Rank: 72
D
Varaždin
Rank: 63
L
Rijeka
Rank: 71
L
Osijek
Rank: 63
D
17
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 28 - 21
21
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Istra 1961
37.62%
Draw
28.49%
Slaven Koprivnica
33.89%
Movement
Changes since opening
Istra 1961
+0.1%
Draw
-0.05%
Slaven Koprivnica
-0.05%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.81
62.4
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Istra 1961
Slaven Koprivnica
Power Score
61.81
62.4
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
427
414
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Istra 1961
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Istra 1961 Slaven Koprivnica
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 66 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Istra 1961
Istra 1961
Home
66
matches
Slaven Koprivnica
Slaven Koprivnica
Away
Match Record
17
Wins
21
28
Draws
28
21
Losses
17
Goals
72
Goals Scored
81
81
Goals Conceded
72
-9
Goal Difference
+9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:07:31+00:00
STARTING XI - EXPECTED
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
4-3-3
1 F. Kolić
97 A. Kadušić
24 F. Taraba
38 R. Kumar
26 M. Heister
23 L. Štulac
8 A. Mauric
17 E. Frederiksen
10 S. Lončar
7 V. Rozić
9 S. Prevljak
31 O. Hadzikic
18 F. Krušelj
5 Z. Katalinić
6 T. Božić
45 M. Petrović
15 I. Ćubelić
17 F. Mažar
21 L. Crepulja
7 M. Dabro
11 J. Mitrović
26 G. Sivalec
General Information
Date & Time
May 04, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Aldo Drosina
Capacity
9800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marko Maloča
Filip Dragasevic
Anto Marić
Ante Čulina
Next Match
Istra 1961
vs
Osijek
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sun, 10 May - 2:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Gorica
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sun, 10 May - 4:15 PM
Venue: Gradski Stadion
Expected Lineup
Referee :
Filip Dragasevic
Manager ▼
K. Režić
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Franko Kolic
Goalkeeper
6.93 9
Smail Prevljak
Centre Forward
6.88 97
Advan Kadusic
Right Back
6.81 38
Raul Kumar
Left Back
6.73 24
Filip Taraba
Right Back
6.54 26
Marcel Heister
Left Back
6.72 23
Leo Stulac
Defensive Midfield
6.76 8
Antonio Mauric
Defensive Midfield
6.8 17
Emil Frederiksen
Right Wing
6.94 10
Stjepan Loncar
Attacking Midfield
6.86 7
Vinko Rozic
Left Wing
6.63 Substitutes ▼
3
Mohamed Nasraoui
6.95 13
Niko Šepić
6.62 20
Dukan Ahmeti
6.47 25
Gustavo Albarracín
6.34 29
Allen Obando
6.56 15
Ebou Sama
16
Samuli Miettinen
6.44 32
Dominik Celija
6.61 40
Jan Paus-Kunst
44
R. Hrvatin
5.87 77
Charles Adah Agada
6.57 18
Israel Isaac Ayuma
6.64
Referee :
Filip Dragasevic
Manager ▼
M. Gregurina
Coach
Starting XI ▼
31
Osman Hadzikic
Goalkeeper
6.65 11
Josip Mitrovic
Centre Forward
6.96 26
Gabrijel Sivalec
Attacker
6.53 7
Marko Dabro
Attacker
6.54 45
Marko Petrović
Right Back
6
Tomislav Bozic
Right Back
6.78 18
Filip Kruselj
Left Back
6.77 21
Ljuban Crepulja
Central Midfield
6.97 5
Zvonimir Katalinic
Left Back
6.5 17
Filip Mažar
Central Midfield
6.69 15
Ivan Cubelic
Central Midfield
6.73 Substitutes ▼
14
Losika Ratshukudu
16
Luka Curkovic
6.63 19
Ernis Qestaj
6.44 2
Vinko Medjimorec
6.57 24
Leon Bošnjak
6.18 32
Mateusz Stolarski
6.79 99
Filip Kutleša
23
Igor Lepinjica
6.5 36
Teo Kolar
CONCLUSION
This 1. HNL clash pits evenly matched mid-tablers against each other, with Slaven's power edge tempered by Istra's form advantage at home. Expect a cagey affair at Stadion Aldo Drosina, where Slaven's 7th-place perch meets Istra's push from 8th. Limited advanced data points to fundamentals deciding the outcome—defensive solidity and clinical finishing amid absent xG insights. The 0.6-point power gap favors Slaven narrowly, but Istra's venue and momentum could force a stalemate. Fine margins loom large in this balanced regular-season battle.