Hull City vs Norwich City preview

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
MKM Stadium Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Championship
Hull City HUL
Norwich City NOR
KICKOFF : Sat, 2 May - 11:30 AM
Round 46 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hull City host Norwich City in Championship (Regular Season) at MKM Stadium. Domestically, Hull City sit 7th in the table while Norwich City are 9th. Power ranking favours Norwich City by 12.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Norwich City possesses a 12.9-point power advantage over Hull City, marking them as the structurally stronger team.
  • Form: Norwich City leads in form with a score of 30.39 against Hull City's 10.11.
  • Squad: Hull City occupies 7th place in the league standings, one position above Norwich City at 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both Hull City and Norwich City.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics are provided for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of enabling data.
  • Market: Hull City 54.5% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 23.5% (Δ+0%) | Norwich City 21.9% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hull City S. Jakirović
S. Jakirović
VS
Norwich City P. Clement
P. Clement
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.78
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlton Athletic Rank: L
Leicester City Rank: D
Birmingham City Rank: D
Sheffield United Rank: L
Coventry City Rank: D
Oxford United Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: D
Derby County Rank: W
Bristol City Rank: W
Ipswich Town Rank: L
Millwall Rank: W
Portsmouth Rank: D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 7 - 8
8
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hull City
54.54%
Draw
23.53%
Away Norwich City
21.93%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hull City
+0.05%
Draw
+0.02%
Norwich City
-0.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.11
33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hull City
Norwich City
Power Score
20.11
33
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hull City — Opponent-weighted form score
Norwich City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hull City Norwich City

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hull City HUL Home
21 matches
Norwich City NOR Away
Match Record
6
Wins
8
7
Draws
7
8
Losses
6
Goals
26
Goals Scored
30
30
Goals Conceded
26
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:28:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 02, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 46 · Regular Season
Stadium
MKM Stadium
Capacity
25586
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

12
Dillon Phillips
Dillon Phillips Goalkeeper
1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
37
Paddy McNair
Paddy McNair Defender
6
Oluwasemilogo Adesewo Ibidapo Ajayi
Oluwasemilogo Adesewo Ibidapo Ajayi Defender
15
John Egan
John Egan Defender
2
Lewie Coyle
Lewie Coyle Defender
23
Akin Famewo
Akin Famewo Defender
3
Ryan Giles
Ryan Giles Defender
18
Cody Drameh
Cody Drameh Defender
16
Matthew James Jacob
Matthew James Jacob Defender
4
Charlie Hughes
Charlie Hughes Defender
31
James Boluwatife Debayo
James Boluwatife Debayo Defender
58
Cathal McCarthy
Cathal McCarthy Defender
25
Matty Crooks
Matty Crooks Midfielder
5
John Lundstram
John Lundstram Midfielder
26
Kieran Dowell
Kieran Dowell Midfielder
20
Amir Hadžiahmetović
Amir Hadžiahmetović Midfielder
27
Regan Slater
Regan Slater Midfielder
8
Eliot Matazo
Eliot Matazo Midfielder
33
Toby Collyer
Toby Collyer Midfielder
24
Darko Gyabi
Darko Gyabi Midfielder
9
Oliver McBurnie
Oliver McBurnie Attacker
11
Babajide David Akintola
Babajide David Akintola Attacker
7
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Attacker
21
Joe Gelhardt
Joe Gelhardt Attacker
22
Kyle Joseph
Kyle Joseph Attacker
10
Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi
Mohamed Elbachir Belloumi Attacker
13
Yu Hirakawa
Yu Hirakawa Attacker
36
Lewis Koumas
Lewis Koumas Attacker

Squad ▼

32
Daniel Grimshaw
Daniel Grimshaw Goalkeeper
1
Vladan Kovačević
Vladan Kovačević Goalkeeper
39
Daniel Barden
Daniel Barden Goalkeeper
31
Louie Moulden
Louie Moulden Goalkeeper
34
Vicente Philippe Reyes Nuñez
Vicente Philippe Reyes Nuñez Goalkeeper
4
Shane Duffy
Shane Duffy Defender
3
Jack Stacey
Jack Stacey Defender
6
Harry Darling
Harry Darling Defender
5
Jakov Medić
Jakov Medić Defender
33
José Angel Cordoba Chambers
José Angel Cordoba Chambers Defender
14
Benjamin Joshua Chrisene
Benjamin Joshua Chrisene Defender
35
Kellen Fisher
Kellen Fisher Defender
15
Ruairi McConville
Ruairi McConville Defender
47
Lucien Mahovo
Lucien Mahovo Defender
2
Harry Amass
Harry Amass Defender
27
Jeffrey Schlupp
Jeffrey Schlupp Midfielder
26
Sam Field
Sam Field Midfielder
11
Emiliano Marcondes Camargo Hansen
Emiliano Marcondes Camargo Hansen Midfielder
23
Kenny McLean
Kenny McLean Midfielder
25
Edmond-Paris Maghoma
Edmond-Paris Maghoma Midfielder
7
Pelle Elkjær Mattsson
Pelle Elkjær Mattsson Midfielder
22
Mirko Topić
Mirko Topić Midfielder
20
Anis Ben Slimane
Anis Ben Slimane Midfielder
8
Liam Gibbs
Liam Gibbs Midfielder
18
Forson Amankwah
Forson Amankwah Midfielder
16
Jacob Wright
Jacob Wright Midfielder
21
Ali Ahmed
Ali Ahmed Midfielder
29
Oscar Schwartau
Oscar Schwartau Midfielder
41
Gabriel Forsyth
Gabriel Forsyth Midfielder
42
Tony Springett
Tony Springett Attacker
10
Matěj Jurásek
Matěj Jurásek Attacker
17
Ante Crnac
Ante Crnac Attacker
37
Mohamed Toure
Mohamed Toure Attacker
30
Mathias Kvistgaarden
Mathias Kvistgaarden Attacker
24
Jovon Makama
Jovon Makama Attacker
19
Pape Amadou Diallo
Pape Amadou Diallo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Norwich City holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Norwich City a 12.9-point edge. External projection is Hull City 54.2%, draw 24%, and Norwich City 21.8%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.