Hibernian vs Celtic preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Easter Road Stadium Yesterday - 11:00 AM
Premiership
Hibernian HIB
Celtic CEL
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 11:00 AM
Round 35 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Hibernian host Celtic in Premiership (2nd Phase) at Easter Road Stadium. Domestically, Hibernian sit 5th in the table while Celtic are 3th. Power ranking favours Celtic by 10.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Celtic possesses a 10.1-point power advantage over Hibernian with scores of 77.61 versus 67.52.
  • Form: Celtic's form score of 33 significantly outstrips Hibernian's 10.5.
  • Squad: Hibernian sits 5th in the league, while Celtic occupies 3rd position.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided for Hibernian or Celtic.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables remain absent due to data limitations.
  • Market: Hibernian 21.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.4% (Δ+0%) | Celtic 55.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
VS
Celtic M. O'Neill
M. O'Neill
1.57
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.08
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hearts Rank: 73 L
Aberdeen Rank: 56 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 56 W
Motherwell Rank: 67 D
Livingston Rank: 55 D
Dundee Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Falkirk Rank: 65 W
St. Mirren Rank: 58 W
Dundee Rank: 58 W
Dundee United Rank: 64 L
Motherwell Rank: 67 W
Aberdeen Rank: 58 W
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 17 - 36
36
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hibernian
21.31%
Draw
23.39%
Away Celtic
55.3%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.52
77.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hibernian
Celtic
Power Score
67.52
77.61
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
254
77

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Celtic — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hibernian Celtic

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 63 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hibernian HIB Home
63 matches
Celtic CEL Away
Match Record
10
Wins
36
17
Draws
17
36
Losses
10
Goals
57
Goals Scored
118
118
Goals Conceded
57
-61
Goal Difference
+61
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:02:54+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
J. Smith
13 J. Smith
W. O'Hora
5 W. O'Hora
R. Bushiri
33 R. Bushiri
J. Obita
21 J. Obita
K. Megwa
27 K. Megwa
D. Barlaser
22 D. Barlaser
M. Changa Chaiwa
14 M. Changa Chaiwa
N. Cadden
19 N. Cadden
J. McGrath
17 J. McGrath
O. Elding
47 O. Elding
M. Boyle
10 M. Boyle
V. Sinisalo
12 V. Sinisalo
K. Tierney
63 K. Tierney
L. Scales
5 L. Scales
A. Trusty
6 A. Trusty
A. Ralston
56 A. Ralston
A. Engels
27 A. Engels
C. McGregor
42 C. McGregor
H. Yang
13 H. Yang
B. Nygren
8 B. Nygren
J. Forrest
49 J. Forrest
D. Maeda
38 D. Maeda

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 35 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Easter Road Stadium
Capacity
20421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Dickinson
Calum Spence
Douglas Ross
Iain Snedden

Expected Lineup

Referee : David Dickinson

Starting XI ▼

13
Jordan Smith
Jordan Smith Goalkeeper
6.78
19
Nicky Cadden
Nicky Cadden Midfielder
6.96
27
Kanayo Megwa
Kanayo Megwa Midfielder
6.71
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle Attacker
6.74
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
6.94
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Central Midfield
6.76
17
Jamie McGrath
Jamie McGrath Attacking Midfield
7.3
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Left Back
6.75
22
Dan Barlaser
Dan Barlaser Central Midfield
6.88
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Centre Back
6.87
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Right Back
6.94
Referee : David Dickinson

Starting XI ▼

12
Viljami Sinisalo
Viljami Sinisalo Goalkeeper
6.69
38
Daizen Maeda
Daizen Maeda Centre Forward
6.88
56
Anthony Ralston
Anthony Ralston Right Back
6.88
63
Kieran Tierney
Kieran Tierney Left Back
7.26
42
Callum McGregor
Callum McGregor Defensive Midfield
7.11
6
Auston Trusty
Auston Trusty Right Back
6.98
8
Benjamin Nygren
Benjamin Nygren Attacking Midfield
7.41
13
Hyun-jun Yang
Hyun-jun Yang Left Wing
6.96
49
James Forrest
James Forrest Right Wing
6.75
5
Liam Scales
Liam Scales Left Back
7.09
27
Arne Engels
Arne Engels Defensive Midfield
6.91

CONCLUSION

Celtic's superior power rating, form, and league position position them strongly for victory at Easter Road. Hibernian face an uphill battle against a side 10 points ahead in strength metrics and riding high on a 33 form score. Home support may inspire Hibs, yet Celtic's consistency suggests control throughout. Without set piece or efficiency edges, the visitors' quality should prevail in this 2nd Phase clash. Expect Celtic to extend their advantage and climb the table further.