Hellas Verona vs Lecce preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Sat, 25 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Hellas Verona VER
Lecce LEC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hellas Verona host Lecce in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Domestically, Hellas Verona sit 19th in the table while Lecce are 18th. Power ranking favours Hellas Verona by 0.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hellas Verona enjoy a 0.2 point power advantage over Lecce, rated at 12.37 versus 12.16.
  • Form: Verona's form score stands at 8.06, superior to Lecce's 6.56.
  • Squad: Verona occupy 19th place in Serie A, just behind Lecce in 18th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition analysis limited by absent detailed performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, relying on power and form differentials.
  • Market: Hellas Verona 37.1% (Δ+1.1%) | Draw 32.2% (Δ+-0%) | Lecce 30.7% (Δ-1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
0.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
AC Milan Rank: L
Torino Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: L
Genoa Rank: L
Bologna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: D
Bologna Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: L
Roma Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Cremonese Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hellas Verona
37.09%
Draw
32.17%
Away Lecce
30.74%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hellas Verona
+1.07%
Draw
-0.04%
Lecce
-1.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.37
12.16
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Power Score
12.37
12.16
League Position
19
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hellas Verona Lecce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hellas Verona VER Home
13 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
13
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:09:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
N. Valentini
Argentina
6 N. Valentini
P. Lirola Kosok
Spain
14 P. Lirola Kosok
J. Akpa Akpro
Ivory Coast
11 J. Akpa Akpro
R. Gagliardini
Italy
63 R. Gagliardini
A. Bernede
France
24 A. Bernede
D. Bradarić
Croatia
12 D. Bradarić
R. Belghali
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
A. Sarr
Sweden
9 A. Sarr
W. Falcone
Italy
30 W. Falcone
A. Gallo
Italy
25 A. Gallo
G. Jean
France
18 G. Jean
J. Siebert
Germany
5 J. Siebert
D. Melo Veiga
Portugal
17 D. Melo Veiga
L. Coulibaly
Mali
29 L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
Albania
20 Y. Ramadani
L. Banda
Zambia
19 L. Banda
O. Gandelman
Israel
16 O. Gandelman
S. Pierotti
Argentina
50 S. Pierotti
N. Štulić
Serbia
9 N. Štulić

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Capacity
39045
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Davide Massa
Filippo Meli
Stefano Alassio
Matteo Marcenaro

Lineup

Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
6.56
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6.79
6
Nicolás Valentini
Nicolás Valentini Defender
6.72
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
6.78
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
6.81
12
Domagoj Bradarić
Domagoj Bradarić Midfielder
6.65
14
Pol Lirola
Pol Lirola Midfielder
6.43
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
6.7
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
6.93
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Attacker
6.7
9
Amin Sarr
Amin Sarr Attacker
6.56
Referee : Davide Massa

Starting XI ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
6.79
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
6.75
17
Danilo Veiga
Danilo Veiga Defender
6.69
18
Gaby Jean
Gaby Jean Defender
6.53
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo Defender
6.71
16
Omri Gandelman
Omri Gandelman Midfielder
6.57
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
6.81
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
6.81
9
Nikola Stulic
Nikola Stulic Attacker
6.65
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Attacker
6.63
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Attacker
6.54

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Hellas Verona holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Hellas Verona a 0.2-point edge. External projection is Hellas Verona 34.9%, draw 31.9%, and Lecce 33.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.