Hammarby vs Västerås SK preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
Västerås SK Västerås SK
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 12:00 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hammarby host Västerås SK at Tele2 Arena in an enticing Allsvenskan regular season showdown. The hosts sit third in the table, holding a clear power edge with a 29.15 rating against the visitors' 23.26, equating to a 5.9-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Västerås lurk in fifth, showing marginally better recent form at 18.33 compared to Hammarby's 17.6, hinting at potential resilience on the road. Both sides lack detailed last outing insights, keeping focus on broader metrics. Set piece analysis reveals low-confidence proxies with no xG data, limiting dead-ball evaluations. Hammarby's home fortress and higher standing position them to dictate play, while Västerås will seek counters to climb the ladder. Expect a competitive battle for top-half supremacy.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hammarby hold third place with a 5.9-point power advantage over fifth-placed Västerås SK.
  • Form: Västerås SK lead form scores slightly at 18.33 versus Hammarby's 17.6.
  • Squad: Hammarby rated as the stronger team overall by power metrics.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG statistics unavailable for attack and defence phases.
  • Market: Hammarby 70% (Δ+0%) | Draw 19% (Δ+0%) | Västerås SK 11% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hammarby K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
VS
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.6
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: D
Halmstad Rank: D
Örgryte Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.6 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Häcken Rank: D
Sirius Rank: L
Elfsborg Rank: D
Kalmar Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
70%
Draw
19.01%
Away Västerås SK
10.99%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
29.15
23.26
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Västerås SK
Power Score
29.15
23.26
League Position
3
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Västerås SK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
2 matches
Västerås SK Västerås SK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
2
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:35:52+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
27
Felix Jakobsson
Felix Jakobsson Goalkeeper
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
6
Ibrahima Breze Fofana
Ibrahima Breze Fofana Defender
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
32
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua
Essayas Luvuoss Lwampindy Bofua Defender
31
Oscar Steinke Brånby
Oscar Steinke Brånby Defender
2
Erik Hampus Skoglund
Erik Hampus Skoglund Defender
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara Midfielder
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
11
Oscar Johansson
Oscar Johansson Midfielder
14
Dennis Collander
Dennis Collander Midfielder
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei Midfielder
33
Bjorn Hedlof
Bjorn Hedlof Midfielder
22
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström
Wilson Lindberg Uhrström Midfielder
21
Sourou Koné
Sourou Koné Midfielder
19
Nikola Vasic
Nikola Vasic Attacker
9
Victor Stange Lind
Victor Stange Lind Attacker
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Attacker
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen Attacker
29
Moise Elohim Kabore
Moise Elohim Kabore Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Anton Fagerström
Anton Fagerström Goalkeeper
25
Andre Bernardini
Andre Bernardini Goalkeeper
34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson Defender
18
Frédéric Nsabiyumva
Frédéric Nsabiyumva Defender
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson Defender
3
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen Defender
—
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson Defender
4
Philip Erik Henriksson Bonde
Philip Erik Henriksson Bonde Defender
24
Jack Tagesson
Jack Tagesson Defender
10
Jonathan Ring
Jonathan Ring Midfielder
14
Ismet Lushaku
Ismet Lushaku Midfielder
23
Lucas Sibelius
Lucas Sibelius Midfielder
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson Midfielder
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson Midfielder
30
Mattias Hellisdal
Mattias Hellisdal Midfielder
17
Taonsa Sountonoma Axel
Taonsa Sountonoma Axel Midfielder
—
Abdelrahman Saidi
Abdelrahman Saidi Attacker
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Attacker
9
Mikkel Riis Ladefoged
Mikkel Riis Ladefoged Attacker
8
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne
Mamadou Ousmane Diagne Attacker
20
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist Attacker
27
Moussa Diallo
Moussa Diallo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hammarby's power dominance and home advantage at Tele2 Arena tilt the scales in their favor against a formidably placed Västerås SK. Despite the visitors' nuanced form edge, the hosts' third-place perch and superior ratings suggest control in possession and chance creation. Limited set piece and efficiency insights leave room for tactical surprises, but Hammarby's structural depth should prevail in this mid-table skirmish. Västerås must disrupt transitions to stay competitive, yet the 5.9-point gap points to a Hammarby statement win consolidating their top-four push.