Hajduk Split vs Varaždin preview

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Poljud Sun, 3 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Varaždin Varaždin
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 4:15 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hajduk Split welcomes Varaždin to Stadion Poljud in a pivotal 1. HNL Regular Season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting second in the standings, Hajduk holds a power score of 30.06, surpassing Varaždin's 25.78 by 4.3 points, marking them as the stronger side. Form scores remain neck-and-neck at 21.78 for the hosts and 21.72 for the visitors, suggesting recent performances are evenly matched. As third-placed challengers, Varaždin aims to disrupt Hajduk's momentum in this tightly contested league encounter. With limited advanced metrics available, the focus shifts to overall team strength and home advantage at the iconic Poljud. Hajduk's superior rating could prove decisive in breaking down a resilient opponent. Both squads enter without recent outing details, heightening anticipation for tactical battles ahead.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split possesses a 4.3-point power advantage over Varaždin.
  • Form: Form scores stand nearly identical, with Hajduk at 21.78 and Varaždin at 21.72.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split ranks second while Varaždin sits third in the league table.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics remain unavailable in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxies used for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Baseline split: Hajduk Split 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Varaždin 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
VS
Varaždin N. Šafarić
N. Šafarić
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rijeka Rank: D
Osijek Rank: L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: D
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: W
Osijek Rank: W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: W
Gorica Rank: D
Istra 1961 Rank: L
26
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
26 - 6 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hajduk Split
0%
Draw
0%
Away Varaždin
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.06
25.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hajduk Split
Varaždin
Power Score
30.06
25.78
League Position
2
3
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Varaždin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hajduk Split Varaždin

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Home
41 matches
Varaždin Varaždin Away
Match Record
26
Wins
9
6
Draws
6
9
Losses
26
Goals
72
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
72
+36
Goal Difference
-36
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T01:22:26+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Poljud
Capacity
34198
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

44
Dante Stipica
Dante Stipica Goalkeeper
1
Ivica Ivušić
Ivica Ivušić Goalkeeper
33
Toni Silić
Toni Silić Goalkeeper
99
Davyd Fesyuk
Davyd Fesyuk Goalkeeper
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Defender
5
Ismaël Chester Diallo
Ismaël Chester Diallo Defender
31
Zvonimir Šarlija
Zvonimir Šarlija Defender
14
Ron Raçi
Ron Raçi Defender
32
Šimun Hrgović
Šimun Hrgović Defender
36
Marino Skelin
Marino Skelin Defender
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
23
Filip Krovinović
Filip Krovinović Midfielder
7
Anthony Kalik
Anthony Kalik Midfielder
6
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín
Hugo Guillamón Sanmartín Midfielder
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
35
Luka Jurak
Luka Jurak Midfielder
37
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
8
Niko Sigur
Niko Sigur Midfielder
9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić Attacker
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Attacker
11
Michele Šego
Michele Šego Attacker
24
Abdulia Sanyang
Abdulia Sanyang Attacker
28
Roko Brajković
Roko Brajković Attacker
—
Lovre Lončar
Lovre Lončar Attacker
30
Iker Almena Horcajo
Iker Almena Horcajo Attacker
34
Bruno Durdov
Bruno Durdov Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Oliver Zelenika
Oliver Zelenika Goalkeeper
33
Josip Silić
Josip Silić Goalkeeper
14
Roberto Punčec
Roberto Punčec Defender
12
Petar Bočkaj
Petar Bočkaj Defender
44
Mateo Barać
Mateo Barać Defender
23
Frane Maglica
Frane Maglica Defender
25
Antonio Boršić
Antonio Boršić Defender
20
Gregor Sikošek
Gregor Sikošek Defender
13
Mario Mladenovski
Mario Mladenovski Defender
4
Luka Škaričić
Luka Škaričić Defender
16
Novak Tepšić
Novak Tepšić Defender
30
Luka Posinković
Luka Posinković Defender
29
Domagoj Begonja
Domagoj Begonja Defender
2
Sven Lesjak
Sven Lesjak Defender
6
David Puclin
David Puclin Midfielder
24
Mario Marina
Mario Marina Midfielder
27
Aleksa Latković
Aleksa Latković Midfielder
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Tomislav Duvnjak Midfielder
15
Silvio Ilinkovic
Silvio Ilinkovic Midfielder
22
Luka Mamić
Luka Mamić Midfielder
17
Ivan Mamut
Ivan Mamut Attacker
7
Matej Vuk
Matej Vuk Attacker
9
Stipe Jurić
Stipe Jurić Attacker
38
Iuri António Teixeira Tavares
Iuri António Teixeira Tavares Attacker
28
Ivan Canjuga
Ivan Canjuga Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split enters as favorites thanks to their higher power score and home turf at Stadion Poljud, yet Varaždin's comparable form score hints at a competitive affair. Positioned closely in the standings, both teams vie for crucial points in the 1. HNL Regular Season. Absent detailed efficiency or set-piece stats, the matchup hinges on structural superiority and execution under pressure. Expect Hajduk to leverage their edge for a narrow victory, though Varaždin's resilience could force a tense battle. Fans anticipate a display of Croatian football intensity.