Häcken vs Sirius preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Nordic Wellness Arena Today - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Häcken HAC
Sirius SIR
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Allsvenskan regular season of 2026, Häcken welcomes league leaders Sirius to the Nordic Wellness Arena for a pivotal clash. Sirius tops the standings in first place, showcasing their dominance with a commanding power score of 47.04, dwarfing Häcken's 18.87 and granting them a 28.2-point advantage. Recent form further tilts the scales, as Sirius boasts a 52.08 rating against Häcken's modest 13.25. Despite Häcken's respectable third-place position, Sirius's superior metrics position them as the stronger side overall. Set piece data remains elusive with low confidence and proxy usage for both teams, while efficiency figures are unavailable. This matchup pits Häcken's home resilience against Sirius's rampant form, promising intensity in a tightly contested league race.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sirius possesses a clear structural edge, leading the league in first place while Häcken sits third.
  • Form: Sirius excels in recent form with a 52.08 score, far surpassing Häcken's 13.25.
  • Squad: Sirius fields the stronger squad overall, reflected in their 47.04 power score versus Häcken's 18.87.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both Häcken and Sirius in this analysis.
  • Transition: Transition play details lack specific data points for either team currently.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxy data for Häcken and Sirius alike.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variables show no availability, with proxies used due to data limitations.
  • Market: Häcken 32.1% (Δ-1.6%) | Draw 27.2% (Δ-0.1%) | Sirius 40.8% (Δ+1.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
VS
Sirius A. Engelmark
A. Engelmark
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: D
GAIS Rank: W
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Brommapojkarna Rank: D
Mjällby Rank: L
Malmö FF Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: W
Värnamo Rank: W
Norrköping Rank: W
9
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
9 - 6 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Häcken
32.05%
Draw
27.18%
Away Sirius
40.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Häcken
-1.55%
Draw
-0.06%
Sirius
+1.61%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.87
47.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Häcken
Sirius
Power Score
18.87
47.04
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Sirius — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Häcken Sirius

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Häcken HAC Home
18 matches
Sirius SIR Away
Match Record
9
Wins
3
6
Draws
6
3
Losses
9
Goals
36
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
36
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T01:12:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Andersson
35 D. Andersson
F. Öhman
12 F. Öhman
F. Helander
22 F. Helander
J. Hammar
3 J. Hammar
O. Samuelsson
23 O. Samuelsson
A. Doumbia
6 A. Doumbia
M. Rygaard Jensen
10 M. Rygaard Jensen
S. Ngabo
7 S. Ngabo
J. Agbonifo
14 J. Agbonifo
A. Svanbäck
20 A. Svanbäck
G. Lindgren
9 G. Lindgren
D. Celic
34 D. Celic
O. Krusnell
22 O. Krusnell
T. Anker
4 T. Anker
M. Soumah
2 M. Soumah
H. Castegren
5 H. Castegren
M. Lindberg
6 M. Lindberg
C. Nildén
21 C. Nildén
J. Persson
7 J. Persson
M. Heier
10 M. Heier
I. Bjerkebo
11 I. Bjerkebo
R. Ure
9 R. Ure

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nordic Wellness Arena
Capacity
7000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammed Al Hakim

Expected Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
6.63
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren Attacker
6.93
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo Attacker
6.58
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Centre Forward
6.98
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar Left Back
6.81
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Central Midfield
7.14
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo Central Midfield
6.65
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard Central Midfield
7.15
12
Filip Öhman
Filip Öhman Right Back
6.68
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Right Back
6.88
23
Olle Samuelsson
Olle Samuelsson Left Back
6.17
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

34
David Celic
David Celic Goalkeeper
6.85
9
Robbie Ure
Robbie Ure Centre Forward
7.3
2
Mohamed Soumah
Mohamed Soumah Right Back
4
Tobias Anker
Tobias Anker Left Back
7.45
5
Henrik Castegren
Henrik Castegren Right Back
7.04
6
Marcus Lindberg
Marcus Lindberg Defensive Midfield
7.02
7
Joakim Persson
Joakim Persson Left Wing
6.44
10
Melker Heier
Melker Heier Attacking Midfield
6.77
11
Isak Bjerkebo
Isak Bjerkebo Right Wing
7.43
21
Charlie Nildén
Charlie Nildén Defensive Midfield
6.65
22
Oscar Krusnell
Oscar Krusnell Left Back
6.98

CONCLUSION

Sirius arrives as favorites, leveraging their top-table position and superior power and form scores to challenge Häcken at home. Häcken's third-place standing offers hope, yet Sirius's 28.2-point edge underscores their quality. Without detailed set piece or efficiency insights, the focus shifts to overall momentum, where Sirius thrives. Expect a competitive encounter at Nordic Wellness Arena, with Sirius's strengths likely prevailing in this Allsvenskan showdown.