Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa preview
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
Sun, 12 Apr - 2:00 PM
Super Lig
Göztepe
GOZ
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
KICKOFF :
Sun, 12 Apr - 2:00 PM
Round 29 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 23
CONTEXT
Göztepe host Kasımpaşa in Super Lig (Regular Season) at Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir). Domestically, Göztepe sit 5th in the table while Kasımpaşa are 14th. Power ranking favours Göztepe by 8.4 points heading into this fixture. Göztepe's recent form reads W1 D3 L2 from 6 matches; Kasımpaşa's form is W2 D2 L2 from 6 matches. In their last outing, Göztepe Draw at home against Galatasaray. Kasımpaşa last played at home versus Kayserispor, finishing with a Win.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Göztepe hold a +8.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
-
Form: Kasımpaşa sit below baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
-
Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
-
Efficiency: Göztepe show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
-
Transition: Göztepe have a moderate edge in transition threat.
-
Set pieces: Göztepe carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
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xVariable: Göztepe hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
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Market: Göztepe 52.2% | Draw 27.7% | Kasımpaşa 20.2%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
S. Stoilov
VS
E. Belözoğlu
1.55
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.9
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Galatasaray
Rank: 88
D
Gençlerbirliği
Rank: 65
W
Alanyaspor
Rank: 68
D
İstanbul Başakşehir
Rank: 74
L
Eyüpspor
Rank: 62
D
Beşiktaş
Rank: 77
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kayserispor
Rank: 64
W
Beşiktaş
Rank: 77
L
Eyüpspor
Rank: 64
W
Konyaspor
Rank: 68
D
Rizespor
Rank: 67
L
Fenerbahçe
Rank: 85
D
5
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 2 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Göztepe
52.19%
Draw
27.65%
Kasımpaşa
20.16%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
73.12
64.68
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Göztepe
Kasımpaşa
Power Score
73.12
64.68
League Position
5
14
Global Rank
128
317
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Göztepe
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Kasımpaşa
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Göztepe Kasımpaşa
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Göztepe
GOZ
Home
13
matches
Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
Away
Match Record
5
Wins
6
2
Draws
2
6
Losses
5
Goals
17
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
17
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:06:29+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
Capacity
20040
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Squad
Manager ▼
S. Stoilov
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Mateusz Lis
Goalkeeper
17
Ekrem Kılıçarslan
Goalkeeper
33
Mehmet Şamil Öztürk
Goalkeeper
5
Héliton Jorge Tito dos Santos
Defender
23
Furkan Bayır
Defender
26
Malcom Bokele Mputu
Defender
3
Allan Godói Santos
Defender
—
Erkam Kömür
Defender
4
Taha Altıkardeş
Defender
11
Efkan Bekiroglu
Midfielder
12
İsmail Köybaşı
Midfielder
8
Alexis Antunes
Midfielder
77
Ogün Bayrak
Midfielder
10
Filip Yavorov Krastev
Midfielder
22
Uğur Kaan Yıldız
Midfielder
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Midfielder
15
Mohammed Amin Cherni
Midfielder
20
Novatus Dismas
Midfielder
6
Musah Mohammed
Midfielder
—
Izzet Furkan
Midfielder
30
Anthony Junior Dennis
Midfielder
9
Juan Santos da Silva
Attacker
19
Jeferson Marinho dos Santos
Attacker
39
Janderson de Carvalho Costa
Attacker
14
Guilherme Luiz Oliveira da Silva
Attacker
45
Ege Yildirim
Manager ▼
E. Belözoğlu
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Andreas Gianniotis
Goalkeeper
25
Ali Emre Yanar
Goalkeeper
61
Ege Albayrak
Goalkeeper
98
Sant Kazanci
Goalkeeper
2
Cláudio Winck Neto
Defender
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Defender
33
Emre Taşdemir
Defender
50
Rodrigo Nascimiento Franca
Defender
20
Nicholas Opoku
Defender
21
Godfried Ayesu Owusu Frimpong
Defender
29
Taylan Utku Aydın
Defender
30
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
Defender
4
Adam Arous
Defender
47
Berkay Muratoglu
Defender
26
Kerem Demirbay
Midfielder
10
Haris Hajradinović
Midfielder
8
Carlos Miguel Ribeiro Dias
Midfielder
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
Midfielder
5
Eyüp Aydin
Midfielder
6
Burak Gültekin
Midfielder
23
Cenk Tosun
Attacker
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Attacker
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
Attacker
17
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
Attacker
12
Mortadha Ben Ouannes
Attacker
18
Jim Allevinah
Attacker
11
Ali Yavuz Kol
Attacker
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Attacker
77
Pape Habib Guèye
Attacker
9
Yusuf Barasi
Attacker
80
Erdem Çetinkaya
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Göztepe holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Göztepe a 8.4-point edge. Market probabilities are Göztepe 52.2%, draw 27.7%, and Kasımpaşa 20.2%. That market view aligns with the structural profile. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.