Fulham vs AFC Bournemouth preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Craven Cottage Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Fulham FUL
AFC Bournemouth BOU
KICKOFF : Sat, 9 May - 2:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fulham host AFC Bournemouth in Premier League (Regular Season) at Craven Cottage. Domestically, Fulham sit 11th in the table while AFC Bournemouth are 6th. Power ranking favours AFC Bournemouth by 2.6 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: AFC Bournemouth ranks higher at 6th in the league compared to Fulham's 11th position.
  • Form: AFC Bournemouth's form score of 32.94 significantly outpaces Fulham's 17.33.
  • Squad: AFC Bournemouth possesses a higher power score of 73.38 versus Fulham's 70.77.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are unavailable due to lack of data.
  • Market: Fulham 35.7% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ-0.1%) | AFC Bournemouth 38.5% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
VS
AFC Bournemouth A. Iraola
A. Iraola
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.36
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 97 L
Aston Villa Rank: 91 W
Brentford Rank: 88 D
Liverpool Rank: 92 L
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
Newcastle United Rank: 88 W
Arsenal Rank: 99 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 D
Burnley Rank: 77 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fulham
35.73%
Draw
25.73%
Away AFC Bournemouth
38.54%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.77
73.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fulham
AFC Bournemouth
Power Score
70.77
73.38
League Position
11
6
Global Rank
27
12

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
AFC Bournemouth — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fulham AFC Bournemouth

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fulham FUL Home
13 matches
AFC Bournemouth BOU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
13
Goals Scored
26
26
Goals Conceded
13
-13
Goal Difference
+13
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-05T00:09:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
B. Leno
1 B. Leno
T. Castagne
21 T. Castagne
J. Andersen
5 J. Andersen
C. Bassey
3 C. Bassey
A. Robinson
33 A. Robinson
S. Lukić
20 S. Lukić
H. Reed
6 H. Reed
H. Wilson
8 H. Wilson
J. Kusi-Asare
18 J. Kusi-Asare
S. Chukwueze
19 S. Chukwueze
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Đ. Petrović
1 Đ. Petrović
A. Truffert
3 A. Truffert
M. Senesi
5 M. Senesi
J. Hill
23 J. Hill
A. Jiménez Sánchez
20 A. Jiménez Sánchez
T. Adams
12 T. Adams
A. Scott
8 A. Scott
M. Tavernier
16 M. Tavernier
E. Kroupi
22 E. Kroupi
R. Rocha
37 R. Rocha
F. de Lima Barbosa
9 F. de Lima Barbosa

General Information

Date & Time
May 09, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Craven Cottage
Capacity
25700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.79
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Centre Forward
6.92
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen Right Back
6.91
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Right Wing
7.14
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Left Back
6.79
21
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne Right Back
6.78
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Left Back
6.73
18
Jonah Kusi-Asare
Jonah Kusi-Asare Attacking Midfield
6.46
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić Defensive Midfield
6.85
6
Harrison Reed
Harrison Reed Defensive Midfield
6.68
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze Left Wing
6.88

Starting XI ▼

1
Djordje Petrovic
Djordje Petrovic Goalkeeper
6.79
9
Evanilson
Evanilson Centre Forward
6.8
37
Rayan
Rayan Right Wing
7.01
12
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Defensive Midfield
6.8
22
Eli Kroupi
Eli Kroupi Attacking Midfield
6.87
3
Adrien Truffert
Adrien Truffert Left Back
6.82
5
Marcos Senesi
Marcos Senesi Left Back
7.07
8
Alex Scott
Alex Scott Defensive Midfield
7
16
Marcus Tavernier
Marcus Tavernier Left Wing
6.92
20
Álex Jiménez
Álex Jiménez Right Back
6.72
23
James Hill
James Hill Right Back
6.94

CONCLUSION

AFC Bournemouth enters as the stronger side, bolstered by their 6th-place standing, superior power score, and dominant form rating, positioning them to capitalize on Fulham's inconsistencies. At Craven Cottage, Fulham's home advantage could fuel a spirited response, yet Bournemouth's 2.6-point edge suggests control in key phases. Without efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus shifts to overall structure and momentum, where visitors hold sway. A tight affair looms, but Bournemouth's quality likely tips the scales for a narrow victory, testing Fulham's resolve in a mid-table scrap.