Frosinone vs Carrarese preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Benito Stirpe Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Serie B
Frosinone FRO
Carrarese CAR
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Frosinone host Carrarese in Serie B (Regular Season) at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Domestically, Frosinone sit 3th in the table while Carrarese are 10th. Power ranking favours Frosinone by 10.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Frosinone ranks 3rd and holds a 10.2-point power advantage over 10th-placed Carrarese.
  • Form: Frosinone's form score of 31.83 outstrips Carrarese's 21.11.
  • Squad: Frosinone is the stronger team with superior power score of 33.93 versus 23.69.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data uses low-confidence proxies with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable across set piece metrics.
  • Market: Frosinone 59.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 21.8% (Δ+0%) | Carrarese 19.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Frosinone M. Alvini
M. Alvini
VS
Carrarese A. Calabro
A. Calabro
2.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Modena Rank: W
Palermo Rank: D
Calcio Padova Rank: W
Südtirol Rank: W
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Cesena Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: D
Reggiana Rank: L
Spezia Rank: W
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Sampdoria Rank: W
Juve Stabia Rank: D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Frosinone
59.08%
Draw
21.82%
Away Carrarese
19.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.93
23.69
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Frosinone
Carrarese
Power Score
33.93
23.69
League Position
3
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Frosinone — Opponent-weighted form score
Carrarese — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Frosinone Carrarese

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Frosinone FRO Home
4 matches
Carrarese CAR Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
7
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-25T00:04:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Palmisani
22 L. Palmisani
J. Oyono Omva Torque
20 J. Oyono Omva Torque
I. Monterisi
30 I. Monterisi
G. Calvani
3 G. Calvani
G. Bracaglia
79 G. Bracaglia
G. Calò
14 G. Calò
M. Cichella
16 M. Cichella
F. Gelli
10 F. Gelli
F. Ghedjemis
7 F. Ghedjemis
A. Raimondo
9 A. Raimondo
G. Kvernadze
17 G. Kvernadze
M. Bleve
1 M. Bleve
J. Rouhi
73 J. Rouhi
J. Illanes Minucci
4 J. Illanes Minucci
N. Calabrese
37 N. Calabrese
N. Belloni
7 N. Belloni
L. Hasa
70 L. Hasa
E. Zuelli
17 E. Zuelli
G. Parlanti
77 G. Parlanti
D. Bouah
13 D. Bouah
F. Abiuso
9 F. Abiuso
F. Di Stefano
28 F. Di Stefano

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Capacity
16227
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alessandro Copelli
Dario Cecconi
Giacomo Monaco
Antonio Rapuano

Expected Lineup

Referee : Antonio Rapuano

Starting XI ▼

22
Lorenzo Palmisani
Lorenzo Palmisani Goalkeeper
7.14
17
Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze Attacker
6.77
7
Farès Ghedjemis
Farès Ghedjemis Attacker
7.21
9
Antonio Raimondo
Antonio Raimondo Centre Forward
6.88
20
Jérémy Oyono
Jérémy Oyono Right Back
6.69
3
Gabriele Calvani
Gabriele Calvani Left Back
6.85
14
Giacomo Calò
Giacomo Calò Central Midfield
7.6
16
Matteo Cichella
Matteo Cichella Central Midfield
6.72
30
Ilario Monterisi
Ilario Monterisi Right Back
7.08
79
Gabriele Bracaglia
Gabriele Bracaglia Left Back
6.89
10
Francesco Gelli
Francesco Gelli Central Midfield
6.9
Referee : Antonio Rapuano

Starting XI ▼

1
Marco Bleve
Marco Bleve Goalkeeper
6.85
7
Niccolò Belloni
Niccolò Belloni Midfielder
6.71
13
Devid Eugene Bouah
Devid Eugene Bouah Midfielder
6.69
28
Filippo Distefano
Filippo Distefano Attacker
6.72
9
Fabio Abiuso
Fabio Abiuso Attacker
6.99
73
Jonas Rouhi
Jonas Rouhi Left Back
6.78
77
Gabriele Parlanti
Gabriele Parlanti Central Midfield
6.59
4
Julián Illanes
Julián Illanes Centre Back
6.89
70
Luis Hasa
Luis Hasa Central Midfield
7.05
17
Emanuele Zuelli
Emanuele Zuelli Central Midfield
6.99
37
Nicolò Calabrese
Nicolò Calabrese Right Back
6.77

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Frosinone holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Frosinone a 10.2-point edge. External projection is Frosinone 58.3%, draw 22.5%, and Carrarese 19.2%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.