Fredrikstad VS Vålerenga

2026 Eliteserien, Norway

Nye Fredrikstad Stadion Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM

Eliteserien

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad

Vålerenga Vålerenga

KICKOFF : Sun, 12 Apr - 3:00 PM

Round 4 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Fredrikstad will play against Vålerenga at Nye Fredrikstad Stadion in the Regular Season stage of the Eliteserien. Entering this domestic fixture, the home side sits in fifth position in the league standings. Meanwhile, the visiting Vålerenga currently occupies fourth place in the table, making this a meeting between two closely ranked opponents. For the hosts, their season form reads W3 D0 L3 from 6 matches. In their most recent league fixture, Fredrikstad recorded a Win when they traveled away to face Aalesund. The away team arrives with a comparable recent record, as Vålerenga's season form reads W2 D1 L3 from 6 matches. In their previous outing, the visitors suffered a Loss while playing at home against Viking.

TL;DR

Structural: Fredrikstad hold a +1.1 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
Form: Fredrikstad sit above baseline on opponent-adjusted form.
Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
Efficiency: Fredrikstad show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
Transition: Fredrikstad have a moderate edge in transition threat.
Set pieces: Fredrikstad carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
xVariable: Fredrikstad hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
Market: Fredrikstad 39.2% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 25.9% | Vålerenga 34.9% (Δ-0.3%)

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

A. Hagen

G. Bakke

1.78

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.44

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 3 - 6

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Fredrikstad

39.15%

Draw

25.94%

Vålerenga

34.91%

Movement

Changes since opening

Fredrikstad

+0.27%

Draw

+0.02%

Vålerenga

-0.3%

Team Power Ranking

62.28

61.16

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Fredrikstad

Vålerenga

Power Score

62.28

61.16

League Position

Global Rank

385

424

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Fredrikstad — Opponent-weighted form score

Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredrikstad Vålerenga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 16 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad Home

16 matches

Vålerenga Vålerenga Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-3

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T01:07:14+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 12, 2026, 03:00 PM

Competition

2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 4 · Regular Season

Stadium

Nye Fredrikstad Stadion

Capacity

12565

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

A. Hagen Coach

Squad ▼

Oystein Ovretveit Goalkeeper

Ole Langbråten Goalkeeper

Martin Børsheim Goalkeeper

Simen Rafn Defender

Sondre Sørløkk Defender

Daniel Eid Defender

Ulrik Fredriksen Defender

Solomon Owusu Defender

Fredrik Holmé Defender

Sigurd Kvile Defender

Alexander Andresen Defender

Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem Defender

Jonathan Vonheim Norbye Defender

Joachim Emmanuel Valcin Nysveen Defender

Kennedy David Ikechukwu Okpaleke Defender

Chris Irénée Ntamack Pondy Defender

Samuel Holm Midfielder

Leonard Owusu Midfielder

Rocco Robert Shein Midfielder

Benjamin Thoresen Faraas Midfielder

Max Mattias Nilsson Midfielder

Salim Laghzaoui Midfielder

Oskar Øhlenschlæger Midfielder

Eirik Julius Granaas Midfielder

Johannes Andres Nunez Godoy Attacker

Henrik Skogvold Attacker

Manager ▼

G. Bakke Coach

Squad ▼

Oscar Thore Hedvall Goalkeeper

Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng Goalkeeper

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad Defender

Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson Defender

Ivan Näsberg Defender

Kevin Tshiembe Defender

Sebastian Jarl Defender

Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender

Håkon Sjåtil Defender

Petter Strand Midfielder

Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal Midfielder

Magnus Hee Westergaard Midfielder

Adam Thorstensen Midfielder

Carl Lange Midfielder

—

Odin Thiago Holm Midfielder

Omar Bully Drammeh Midfielder

Fidèle Brice Ambina Midfielder

Evenezer Awasum Forcha Midfielder

Mohamed Ofkir Attacker

Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren Attacker

Elias Sørensen Attacker

Mathias Grundetjern Attacker

Ole Christian Saeter Attacker

Filip Erik Thorvaldsen Attacker

Gabriel Rajkovic Attacker

CONCLUSION

Fredrikstad enters this Eliteserien contest with a stronger pre-match profile, holding a structural advantage of 1.1 power points over Vålerenga. The underlying data indicates a close matchup, though the home side benefits from slightly better recent form. Analyzing the probability distributions, Fredrikstad is identified as the market leader with a 38.9 percent implied chance of victory, compared to Vålerenga at 35.2 percent. Consequently, the market probabilities align directly with the structural signals, both pointing toward a narrow advantage for the hosts. To secure a positive outcome, Vålerenga must prioritize defensive organization to neutralize Fredrikstad during quick transition phases.

Fredrikstad vs Vålerenga preview

STANDINGS

CONTEXT

TL;DR

Quality vs Volume

Open Play vs Set Play

Expected Points

Win Probabilities

Movement

Team Power Ranking

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

General Information

Squad

Manager ▼

Squad ▼

Manager ▼

Squad ▼

CONCLUSION