Fredericia vs FC København preview

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Monjasa Park Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Superliga
Fredericia Fredericia
FC København COP
KICKOFF : Yesterday - 2:00 PM
Round 8 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

In the Superliga Relegation Round at Monjasa Park, Fredericia hosts FC København in a clash highlighting a stark disparity in team quality. FC København arrives with a commanding power score of 69.5 against Fredericia's 44.28, creating a 25.2-point advantage that underscores their superior overall strength. Form scores further tilt the scales, with København at 25.28 compared to Fredericia's modest 12.28, signaling better recent momentum for the visitors. Current standings place København 7th and Fredericia 10th, emphasizing the gap in the relegation fight. Fredericia will rely on home advantage and defensive resolve, but København's higher metrics suggest control in possession and chance creation. Set piece data remains limited with low confidence proxies, offering little edge either way. This encounter tests Fredericia's grit against København's polished play.

TL;DR

  • Structural: FC København possesses a 25.2-point power advantage over Fredericia, indicating superior structural balance and quality.
  • Form: FC København holds a form score of 25.28, outperforming Fredericia's 12.28.
  • Squad: League positions show FC København at 7th and Fredericia at 10th in the Relegation Round.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: No specific transition play data provided, with power scores favoring FC København's overall control.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams use low-confidence proxies with no xG data available.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable, limiting insights into expected goal performance for Fredericia and FC København.
  • Market: Fredericia 18.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 20.5% (Δ+0%) | FC København 60.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Fredericia M. Hansen
M. Hansen
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.27
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Odense BK Rank: 57 L
Randers FC Rank: 59 D
Silkeborg IF Rank: 58 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 D
Odense BK Rank: 59 L
FC København Rank: 70 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Odense BK Rank: 58 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 50 W
Randers FC Rank: 60 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 60 W
Fredericia Rank: 52 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Fredericia
18.56%
Draw
20.53%
Away FC København
60.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.28
69.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Fredericia
FC København
Power Score
44.28
69.5
League Position
10
7
Global Rank
729
207

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Fredericia — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Fredericia FC København

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Fredericia Fredericia Home
3 matches
FC København COP Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
4
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
1.01
xG
5.85
5.85
xGA
1.01

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:05:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
V. Thorsen
90 V. Thorsen
S. Crone
12 S. Crone
A. Nygaard Andersen
3 A. Nygaard Andersen
F. Thykær Rieper
5 F. Thykær Rieper
J. Jessen
8 J. Jessen
A. Andersen
18 A. Andersen
A. Dahl
14 A. Dahl
S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
16 S. Østergaard Grandjean Johannesen
J. Holm Lindekilde
21 J. Holm Lindekilde
D. Kristjánsson
17 D. Kristjánsson
F. Ubi Etim
25 F. Ubi Etim
D. Kotarski
1 D. Kotarski
M. López Lanfranco
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
P. Hatzidiakos
6 P. Hatzidiakos
J. Suzuki
20 J. Suzuki
M. Achouri
30 M. Achouri
W. Clem
36 W. Clem
M. Madsen
21 M. Madsen
J. Larsson
11 J. Larsson
M. Elyounoussi
10 M. Elyounoussi
A. Cornelius
14 A. Cornelius

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 8 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Monjasa Park
Capacity
10000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Morten Krogh
Esad Deronjic
Daniel Cortzen
Jacob Rasmussen

Expected Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

90
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
Valdemar Birksø Thorsen Goalkeeper
6.9
25
Etim
Etim Centre Forward
6.97
8
Jakob Jessen
Jakob Jessen Left Back
6.84
3
Adam Nygaard Andersen
Adam Nygaard Andersen Right Back
6.55
5
Frederik Thykær Rieper
Frederik Thykær Rieper Left Back
6.99
12
Svenn Crone
Svenn Crone Right Back
6.46
14
Anders Dahl
Anders Dahl Defensive Midfield
6.47
16
Sofus Johannesen
Sofus Johannesen Right Wing
6.83
17
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson
Daníel Freyr Kristjánsson Left Wing
6.64
18
Andreas Pyndt
Andreas Pyndt Defensive Midfield
6.72
21
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde Attacking Midfield
6.81
Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
6.79
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
7.08
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri Midfielder
6.83
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius Centre Forward
6.71
6
Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Pantelis Hatzidiakos Right Back
6.84
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Left Back
7.06
25
Zanka
Zanka Left Back
6.8
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Attacking Midfield
7.22
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Right Back
6.99
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Central Midfield
6.89
36
William Clem
William Clem Central Midfield
6.91

CONCLUSION

FC København enters as clear favorites, backed by a dominant power score and stronger form, positioning them to dictate play at Monjasa Park. Fredericia's home crowd may spark early energy, yet the 25.2-point gap and superior visitor metrics point to København's likely control and victory. Limited set piece and efficiency data leaves room for surprises, but København's 7th-place standing versus Fredericia's 10th suggests resilience alone won't suffice. Expect the visitors to capitalize on transitions and maintain pressure, securing points crucial in the Relegation Round.