Železničar Pančevo vs Sporting Braga preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Europa Conference League
Železničar PančevoZEL
0 1
Sporting BragaSCB
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Ricardo Horta  - 67' (P)

CONTEXT

In the opening leg of this two-legged knockout tie Železničar Pančevo hosted Sporting Braga and lost 0-1. The sides were level at 0-0 after the first half. Sporting Braga held 56 percent possession while the home side recorded 44 percent. Železničar Pančevo entered as the stronger team yet conceded the only goal of the match. A significant deviation of 25.8 percent was recorded in favor of the visitors. No red cards occurred and expected goals figures remained unavailable. The away side secured the narrow advantage heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting Braga recorded a significant 25.8 percent deviation in this fixture.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with prior patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be measured.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with the pre-match market view.
  • xG expectations: No xG values were present to establish any expectations.
  • Event impact: The single away goal produced the 0-1 scoreline at full time.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued so no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Türkmen
M. Türkmen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
B. Duran
B. Duran
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Güz
S. Güz
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
?. Altay
?. Altay
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Železničar Pančevo R. Koković
R. Koković
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Železničar Pančevo
9.47%
Draw
16.33%
Away Sporting Braga
74.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Železničar Pančevo
+8.84%
Draw
+12.65%
Sporting Braga
-21.48%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
28.85
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Železničar Pančevo
Sporting Braga
Power Score
50
28.85
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Železničar Pančevo — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Železničar Pančevo Sporting Braga

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Železničar Pančevo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting Braga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Železničar Pančevo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Braga
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.95
15.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.71
22.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Železničar Pančevo +0.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting Braga -0.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Železničar Pančevo
Sporting Braga
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Železničar Pančevo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Braga
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Železničar Pančevo Sporting Braga
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Železničar Pančevo Sporting Braga
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Železničar Pančevo
Sporting Braga
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Železničar Pančevo
vs
Sporting Braga
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Železničar Pančevo Sporting Braga
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Železničar Pančevo 0.19
Sporting Braga 0.11
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Železničar Pančevo Sporting Braga
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Železničar Pančevo 0.02
Sporting Braga 0.00
Železničar Pančevo
Sporting Braga
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ZEL had peak pressure around 32'.
  • SCB started the game with stronger pressure.
ZEL Pressure SCB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ZEL reached the top pressure at 32' (60.61).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Capacity
1000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mehmet Türkmen
Bersan Duran
Suat Güz
Çağdaş Altay

Statistics

Possession
ZEL
46%
SCB
54%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
5 Shots 4
42 Dangerous attacks 56
44 Possession 56
2 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

0 Penalties 1
4 Substitutions 4
11 Throwins 21

Attacking

90 Attacks 105

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
16 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

1
Zoran Popovic
Zoran Popovic (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Nemanja Vidojevic
Nemanja Vidojevic Defender
6.25
6
Mirko Milikic
Mirko Milikic Defender
6.26
19
Uros Tegeltija
Uros Tegeltija Defender
6.26
33
Nikola Djuricic
Nikola Djuricic Defender
6.26
11
Nikola Jovanovic
Nikola Jovanovic Midfielder
6.5
21
David Ankeye
David Ankeye
Attacker61'
6.46
20
Janko Jevremovic
Janko Jevremovic Midfielder
6.33
27
Sylvester Jasper
Sylvester Jasper Midfielder
6.37
77
Kristian Sekularac
Kristian Sekularac Midfielder
6.37
14
Davorin Tosic
Davorin Tosic
Midfielder79'
6.5
88
Clément Lhernault
Clément Lhernault Midfielder
6.5
26
Mamane Sabo
Mamane Sabo
Midfielder61'
6.37
10
Simão Pedro
Simão Pedro Attacker
6.46
17
Aleksa Kuljanin
Aleksa Kuljanin
Midfielder79'
6.5
Referee : Mehmet Türkmen

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hornicek
Lukas Hornicek Goalkeeper
6.5
6
Vítor Carvalho
Vítor Carvalho Defender
6.5
22
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
6.5
26
Bright Arrey-Mbi
Bright Arrey-Mbi Defender
6.5
2
Víctor Gómez
Víctor Gómez Midfielder
6.5
8
João Moutinho
João Moutinho Midfielder
6.5
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Midfielder71'
6.5
29
Gorby
Gorby Midfielder
6.5
50
Diego Rodrigues
Diego Rodrigues Midfielder
6.5
9
Fran Navarro
Fran Navarro
Attacker71'
6.46
77
Gabri Martínez
Gabri Martínez Midfielder
6.5
11
Gabriel Silva
Gabriel Silva
Attacker46'
6.46
10
Pau Víctor
Pau Víctor Attacker
6.5
21
Ricardo Horta
Ricardo Horta (C) Attacker
6.71
23
Denis Huseinbasic
Denis Huseinbasic
Midfielder82'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Fran Navarro
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
82'
Event
Denis Huseinbasic → Ricardo Horta 
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Gabriel Silva
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Aleksa Kuljanin → Simão Pedro
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Davorin Tosic → Kristian Sekularac
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Nemanja Vidojevic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
78'
71'
Event
Fran Navarro → Diego Rodrigues
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Demir Ege Tıknaz → João Moutinho
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Ricardo Horta 
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Zoran Popovic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
65'
Event
David Ankeye → Nikola Jovanovic
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Mamane Sabo → Clément Lhernault
3rd Substitution
61'
46'
Event
Gabriel Silva → Gabri Martínez
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Janko Jevremovic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Denis Huseinbasic comes on for Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gabriel Silva Vieira receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Davorin Tosic is on, and Kristian Sekularac is off.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Aleksa Kuljanin comes on for Simao Pedro.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Nemanja Vidojevic.
71
Update Update
Demir Ege Tiknaz is on, and Joao Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho is off.
71
Update Update
Francisco Jose Navarro Aliaga comes on for Diego Rodrigues.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta scores, making it 0-1.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Zoran Popovic.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
On Mamane Moustapha Amadou Sabo, off Clement Lhernault.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Gabriel Silva Vieira comes on for Gabri Martinez.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Janko Jevremovic.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mehmet Turkmen.

CONCLUSION

The 0-1 result leaves Sporting Braga with a narrow lead after the first leg. Possession favored the visitors yet both teams created limited clear opportunities in the absence of xG metrics. The significant deviation observed aligned with the market outcome and produced no efficiency anomalies. With the tie still alive the return fixture will require Železničar Pančevo to overcome the deficit without the benefit of a home advantage in the second leg. No disciplinary events altered the flow of play and the single goal remains the decisive factor entering the next encounter.