Žalgiris vs Petrovac preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Vilniaus LFF stadionas Thu, 16 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
ŽalgirisŽLG
2 1
PetrovacPET
Full Time Thu, 16 Jul 5:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 2
Nikola Petković - 60' (P)
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Žalgiris 2–1 Petrovac. The result saw Žalgiris take the points. Žalgiris showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 59%–41%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation remained minimal at 3.9 percent for the stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Final result proved consistent with pre-match market alignment.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were not recorded in available data.
  • Event impact: Žalgiris advanced 7-3 on aggregate after the 2-1 second-leg win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match structure faced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. McNabb
I. McNabb
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Donaldson
S. Donaldson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Wilson
B. Wilson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Clarke
T. Clarke
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Žalgiris A. Skerla
A. Skerla
VS
Petrovac Z. Dragićević
Z. Dragićević
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Petrovac Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Žalgiris Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Žalgiris
96.05%
Draw
3.31%
Away Petrovac
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Žalgiris
+0.87%
Draw
-0.87%
Petrovac
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Žalgiris
Petrovac
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Petrovac — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Žalgiris Petrovac

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Petrovac

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Petrovac
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.41
43.05
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.05
29.41
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Žalgiris -1.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Petrovac +1.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Žalgiris
Petrovac
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Petrovac
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Žalgiris Petrovac
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Žalgiris Petrovac
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Žalgiris
Petrovac
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Žalgiris
vs
Petrovac
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Žalgiris Petrovac
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Žalgiris 0.21
Petrovac 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Žalgiris Petrovac
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Žalgiris 0.02
Petrovac 0.03
Žalgiris
Petrovac
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • PET had peak pressure around 58'.
  • ŽLG started the game with stronger pressure.
ŽLG Pressure PET Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: PET reached the top pressure at 58' (78.13).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Žalgiris ŽLG Home
1 matches
Petrovac PET Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:01:56+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 2
Stadium
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Capacity
5067
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ian McNabb
Stephen Donaldson
Brian Wilson
Thomas Anthony Clarke

Statistics

Possession
ŽLG
55%
PET
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
9 Shots 11
67 Dangerous attacks 53
59 Possession 41
2 Corners 5
2 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

94 Ball Safe 77
1 Penalties 0
11 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 14

Attacking

128 Attacks 99

Discipline

6 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 3

Lineup

Referee : Ian McNabb

Starting XI ▼

12
Vincentas Šarkauskas
Vincentas Šarkauskas Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Danny Lupano
Danny Lupano Defender
6.26
15
Petar Bosančić
Petar Bosančić Defender
6.25
21
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke Defender
6.5
23
Saba Mamatsashvili
Saba Mamatsashvili
Defender79'
6.26
77
Yuriy Kendysh
Yuriy Kendysh (C) Defender
6.26
9
Gustas Jarusevičius
Gustas Jarusevičius Midfielder
6.5
7
Nemanja Mihajlović
Nemanja Mihajlović
Midfielder72'
6.57
10
Paulius Golubickas
Paulius Golubickas Midfielder
6.48
18
Deividas Šešplaukis
Deividas Šešplaukis Midfielder
6.37
20
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
6.5
6
Marko Capan
Marko Capan
Midfielder66'
6.37
11
Nikola Petković
Nikola Petković Attacker
6.71
27
Matas Vareika
Matas Vareika
Midfielder66'
6.37
19
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Stanislav Bilenkyi Attacker
6.5
8
Liviu Antal
Liviu Antal
Attacker79'
6.46
Referee : Ian McNabb

Starting XI ▼

25
Marko Kordić
Marko Kordić Goalkeeper
5.88
5
Aleksandar Kapisoda
Aleksandar Kapisoda Defender
6.05
33
Dejan Boljević
Dejan Boljević (C) Defender
6.05
44
Marko Merdović
Marko Merdović Defender
6.04
7
Trimror Selimi
Trimror Selimi Midfielder
6.47
8
Danilo Bakić
Danilo Bakić Midfielder
6.37
14
Nikola Balević
Nikola Balević
Midfielder62'
6.37
10
Nemanja Carević
Nemanja Carević Midfielder
6.27
—
Nemanja Carević
81'
11
Ivan Vukcevic
Ivan Vukcevic Midfielder
6.37
18
S. Fićović
S. Fićović
Midfielder70'
6.37
22
Dragan Miranović
Dragan Miranović Midfielder
6.37
29
Danilo Pešukić
Danilo Pešukić
Defender62'
6.26
30
Nikola Janjić
Nikola Janjić Midfielder
6.5
99
Vuk Strikovic
Vuk Strikovic
Attacker46'
6.43
17
Savo Arambašić Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Trimror Selimi
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
Djordje Fabris → Nemanja Carević
10th Substitution
Event
Liviu Antal → Stanislav Bilenkyi
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Saba Mamatsashvili → Dominik Franke
9th Substitution
79'
Event
Nemanja Mihajlović
Field Goal / 1st Goal
75'
Event
Nemanja Mihajlović → Gustas Jarusevičius
7th Substitution
72'
70'
Event
S. Fićović → Ivan Vukcevic
6th Substitution
Event
Marko Capan → Ivan Lytvynenko
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Matas Vareika → Nikola Petković
5th Substitution
66'
62'
Event
Nikola Balević → Danilo Bakić
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Danilo Pešukić → Dragan Miranović
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Marko Merdović
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Nikola Petković
Penalty / 1st Penalty
60'
46'
Event
Vuk Strikovic → Nikola Janjić
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Petar Bosančić
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Trimror Selimi scores, making it 2-1.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Djordje Fabris comes on for Nemanja Carevic.
79
Update Update
Saba Mamatsashvili is on, and Dominik Franke is off.
79
Update Update
Liviu Antal comes on for Stanislav Bilenkyi.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nemanja Mihajlovic scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Paulius Golubickas.
72
Update Update
Nemanja Mihajlovic comes on for Gustas Jarusevicius.
70
Update Update
Stefan Ficovic replaces Ivan Vukcevic.
65
Update Update
Matas Vareika comes on for Nikola Petkovic.
65
Update Update
On comes Marko Capan, off goes Ivan Lytvynenko.
62
Update Update
Danilo Pesukic comes on for Dragan Miranovic.
62
Update Update
Zaim Divanovic comes on for Danilo Bakic.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Nikola Petkovic scores, making it 1-0.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
On Vuk Strikovic, off Ivan Vukcevic.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petar Bosancic.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Ian McNabb.

CONCLUSION

Žalgiris completed the tie with controlled possession and a narrow second-half edge that produced the decisive goals. The 0-0 halftime score gave way to a more open period where the home side converted opportunities efficiently. Petrovac offered resistance but could not overcome the aggregate deficit despite late pressure. The absence of dismissals kept both teams at full strength throughout. Overall the outcome reinforced the pre-match hierarchy without major surprises in structure or efficiency. Žalgiris now progresses with momentum from a composed display across both legs.