Žalgiris vs Dinamo Tbilisi preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Vilniaus LFF stadionas Thu, 30 Jul - 5:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Žalgiris ŽLG
7 2
Dinamo Tbilisi DIN
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 7 - 5
Stanislav Bilenkyi - 25', 82', 90'
Nikola Petković - 59', 73'
Bryan Teixeira - 61'
Nemanja Mihajlović - 88'
Goal
|
Goal
Léo Santos - 40'
Mate Vatsadze - 72'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Žalgiris 7–2 Dinamo Tbilisi. The result saw Žalgiris take the points. Žalgiris showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Žalgiris 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Žalgiris showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with xG could not be assessed due to unavailable metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed without underlying performance data.
  • Event impact: The second half surge produced the decisive impact on the aggregate tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so disciplinary events created no match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Ilioski
V. Ilioski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Lika
K. Lika
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Vasilevski
D. Vasilevski
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Vasilevski
A. Vasilevski
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Žalgiris A. Skerla
A. Skerla
VS
Dinamo Tbilisi T. Ketsbaia
T. Ketsbaia
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Tbilisi Rank: L
Petrovac Rank: W
Petrovac Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Žalgiris Rank: W
Mondorf-les-Bains Rank: D
Mondorf-les-Bains Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Žalgiris
94.51%
Draw
3.64%
Away Dinamo Tbilisi
1.85%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
36.67
41.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Žalgiris
Dinamo Tbilisi
Power Score
36.67
41.11
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Tbilisi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Žalgiris Dinamo Tbilisi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo Tbilisi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Tbilisi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
43.15
34.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.57
43.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Žalgiris +0.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi -0.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Žalgiris
Dinamo Tbilisi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Tbilisi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Žalgiris Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Žalgiris Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Žalgiris
Dinamo Tbilisi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Žalgiris
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Žalgiris Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Žalgiris 0.22
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.37
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Žalgiris Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Žalgiris 0.05
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.08
Žalgiris
Dinamo Tbilisi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ŽLG had peak pressure around 71'.
  • ŽLG started the game with stronger pressure.
ŽLG Pressure DIN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ŽLG reached the top pressure at 71' (60.14).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Žalgiris ŽLG Home
1 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi DIN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
0
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:02:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
V. Šarkauskas
Lithuania
12 V. Šarkauskas
D. Šešplaukis
Substitution
Lithuania
18 D. Šešplaukis
D. Lupano
Belgium
4 D. Lupano
P. Bosančić
Croatia
15 P. Bosančić
D. Franke
Substitution
Germany
21 D. Franke
I. Lytvynenko
Ukraine
20 I. Lytvynenko
J. Kendysh
Belarus
77 (C) J. Kendysh
P. Golubickas
Substitution
Lithuania
10 P. Golubickas
S. Bilenkiy
Ukraine
19 S. Bilenkiy
B. Teixeira
Cape Verde
70 B. Teixeira
N. Petković
Substitution
Serbia
11 N. Petković
G. Loria
Georgia
1 (C) G. Loria
A. Kalandadze
Georgia
3 A. Kalandadze
N. Ninua
Georgia
22 N. Ninua
N. Kurdić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
27 N. Kurdić
L. dos Santos Lopes da Silva
Brazil
6 L. dos Santos Lopes da Silva
T. Kvaratskhelia
Substitution
Georgia
18 T. Kvaratskhelia
B. Osei
Ghana
24 B. Osei
K. Kakashvili
Substitution
39 K. Kakashvili
P. Psaltis
Substitution
Cyprus
17 P. Psaltis
M. Do Couto Teixeira
France
14 M. Do Couto Teixeira
A. Bah
Guinea
12 A. Bah

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 7 - 5
Stadium
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Capacity
5067
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Vlatko Ilioski
Kushtrim Lika
Daniel Vasilevski
Aleksandar Vasilevski

Statistics

Possession
ŽLG
56%
DIN
44%

Top Statistics

7 Goals 2
12 Shots 3
86 Dangerous attacks 38
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 0
16 Free kicks 14
3 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 95
1 Penalties 0
15 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 3
25 Throwins 22
0 Injuries 3

Attacking

126 Attacks 112

Discipline

4 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Vlatko Ilioski

Starting XI ▼

12
Vincentas Šarkauskas
Vincentas Šarkauskas Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Danny Lupano
Danny Lupano Defender
6.04
15
Petar Bosančić
Petar Bosančić Defender
6.04
21
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke Defender
6.16
23
Saba Mamatsashvili
Saba Mamatsashvili
Defender90+3'
77
Yuriy Kendysh
Yuriy Kendysh (C) Defender
6.04
10
Paulius Golubickas
Paulius Golubickas Midfielder
6.38
7
Nemanja Mihajlović
Nemanja Mihajlović
Midfielder84'
6.69
18
Deividas Šešplaukis
Deividas Šešplaukis Midfielder
6.38
13
Klaudijus Upstas
Klaudijus Upstas
Defender90+3'
20
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
6.27
70
Bryan Teixeira
Bryan Teixeira Midfielder
6.84
11
Nikola Petković
Nikola Petković Attacker
2
7.22
6
Marko Capan
Marko Capan
Midfielder90+3'
19
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Stanislav Bilenkyi Attacker
3
7.61
Referee : Vlatko Ilioski

Starting XI ▼

1
Giorgi Loria
Giorgi Loria (C) Goalkeeper
4.66
3
Aleksandre Kalandadze
Aleksandre Kalandadze Defender
5.14
6
Léo Santos
Léo Santos Defender
5.31
17
Paris Psaltis
Paris Psaltis Defender
6.5
33
Lyes Houri
Lyes Houri
Midfielder22'
5.85
27
Numan Kurdic
Numan Kurdic Defender
5.27
14
Maxime Do Couto
Maxime Do Couto Midfielder
5.81
22
Nikoloz Ninua
Nikoloz Ninua Midfielder
5.85
24
Barnes Osei
Barnes Osei Midfielder
5.85
39
Koba Kakashvili
Koba Kakashvili Midfielder
6.18
11
Mate Vatsadze
Mate Vatsadze
Attacker70'
6.72
12
Algassime Bah
Algassime Bah Attacker
6.2
18
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Tornike Kvaratskhelia Attacker
6.43
16
Nikoloz Tkalia
Nikoloz Tkalia
Midfielder60'
5.99

Events

2ND-HALF
90+7'
Event
Mate Vatsadze
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
Event
Marko Capan → Nikola Petković
5th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Saba Mamatsashvili → Dominik Franke
6th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Klaudijus Upstas → Deividas Šešplaukis
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Yuriy Kendysh
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Field Goal / 9th Goal
90'
Event
Nemanja Mihajlović
Field Goal / 8th Goal
88'
Event
Nemanja Mihajlović → Paulius Golubickas
4th Substitution
84'
Event
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Field Goal / 7th Goal
82'
76'
Event
Algassime Bah
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Giorgi Loria 
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Nikola Petković
Field Goal / 6th Goal
73'
72'
Event
Mate Vatsadze
Field Goal / 5th Goal
70'
Event
Mate Vatsadze → Koba Kakashvili
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Maxime Do Couto
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
68'
Event
M. Do Couto
11th Yellowcard
Event
Petar Bosančić
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
62'
Event
Bryan Teixeira
Field Goal / 4th Goal
61'
60'
Event
Nikoloz Tkalia → Tornike Kvaratskhelia
2nd Substitution
Event
Nikola Petković
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
59'
Event
Danny Lupano
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
D. Lupano
10th Yellowcard
56'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Léo Santos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
40'
Event
Léo Santos
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Field Goal / 1st Goal
25'
22'
Event
Lyes Houri → Paris Psaltis
1st Substitution
Event
Nikola Petković
Off target
9'
8'
Event
Aleksandre Kalandadze
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mate Vatsadze.
90
Update Update
Marko Capan comes on for Nikola Petkovic.
90
Update Update
Saba Mamatsashvili is on, and Dominik Franke is off.
90
Update Update
Klaudijus Upstas is on, and Deividas Sesplaukis is off.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yuri Kendysh receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stanislav Bilenkyi scores, making it 7-2, assisted by Maxime Do Couto Teixeira.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nemanja Mihajlovic scores, making it 6-2.
84
Update Update
Nemanja Mihajlovic comes on for Paulius Golubickas.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 5-2.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Giorgi Loria receives a yellow card.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yellow card issued.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nikola Petkovic scores, making it 4-2.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-2.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petar Bosancic.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bryan Silva Teixeira scores, making it 3-1.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bryan Silva Teixeira scores, making it 3-1.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Danny Lupano.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leo Santos receives a yellow card.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Leo Santos scores to make it 1-1.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Stanislav Bilenkyi scores to make it 1-0.
22
Substitution Substitution
Lyes Houri is substituted off for Paris Psaltis.
9
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Nikola Petkovic's attempt is unsuccessful.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Aleksandre Kalandadze.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Žalgiris 7-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Structural assessment: Žalgiris exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.