Zagłębie Lubin vs Cracovia Kraków preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin Sun, 3 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Zagłębie LubinZagłębie Lubin
Cracovia KrakówCracovia Kraków
KICKOFF : Sun, 3 May - 12:45 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Zagłębie Lubin hosts Cracovia Kraków at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin in an Ekstraklasa regular season fixture during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies 6th place in the standings, leveraging a modest power score advantage of 61.32 to 59.32, positioning them as the marginally stronger team by 2 points. Yet, Cracovia arrives with sharper recent form at 12.61 compared to Zagłębie's 7.39, potentially fueling an upset bid from their 14th spot. Projections reflect perfect balance, with neither side favored distinctly. Absent detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, or set pieces due to unavailable xG data, the focus sharpens on overall momentum and home comfort. Zagłębie's higher ranking suggests defensive solidity, while Cracovia's form hints at attacking threat. This matchup pits structural stability against hot streak in a contest ripe for drama.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zagłębie Lubin holds a slight power score edge of 61.32 versus Cracovia Kraków's 59.32.
  • Form: Cracovia Kraków enters with a superior form score of 12.61 over Zagłębie Lubin's 7.39.
  • Squad: Zagłębie Lubin ranks 6th in the Ekstraklasa, ahead of Cracovia Kraków in 14th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition statistics not provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data.
  • xVariable: xVariable data not available for this matchup.
  • Market: Zagłębie Lubin 34.9% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.7% (Δ+0%) | Cracovia Kraków 35.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zagłębie Lubin L. Ojrzynski
L. Ojrzynski
VS
Cracovia Kraków B. Grzelak
B. Grzelak
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.94
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nieciecza Rank: 51 L
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 W
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 67 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 L
Katowice Rank: 65 W
Wisła Płock Rank: 58 L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 16 - 12
12
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zagłębie Lubin
34.92%
Draw
29.69%
Away Cracovia Kraków
35.39%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.32
59.32
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zagłębie Lubin
Cracovia Kraków
Power Score
61.32
59.32
League Position
6
14
Global Rank
435
493

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zagłębie Lubin — Opponent-weighted form score
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zagłębie Lubin Cracovia Kraków

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 39 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin Home
39 matches
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Away
Match Record
11
Wins
12
16
Draws
16
12
Losses
11
Goals
51
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
51
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-02T01:04:47+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
S. Madejski
13 S. Madejski
M. Perković
39 M. Perković
G. Henriksson
4 G. Henriksson
B. Traoré
61 B. Traoré
B. Šutalo
21 B. Šutalo
M. Dominguez
10 M. Dominguez
K. Knap
20 K. Knap
A. Hasić
14 A. Hasić
D. Piła
79 D. Piła
M. Yankov Minchev
17 M. Yankov Minchev
J. Batoum
29 J. Batoum

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Capacity
16068
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tomasz Kwiatkowski
Arkadiusz Wójcik
Maciej Majewski
Paweł Horożaniecki

Expected Lineup

Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

1
Jasmin Buric
Jasmin Buric Goalkeeper
7.02
17
Levente Szabó
Levente Szabó Attacker
6.88
9
Michalis Kosidis
Michalis Kosidis Attacker
6.73
4
Damian Michalski
Damian Michalski Right Back
6.89
13
Mateusz Grzybek
Mateusz Grzybek Central Midfield
6.95
16
Josip Corluka
Josip Corluka Left Back
6.81
31
Igor Orlikowski
Igor Orlikowski Right Back
6.66
8
Damian Dabrowski
Damian Dabrowski Defensive Midfield
7.04
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Mateusz Dziewiatowski Central Midfield
6.54
25
Michal Nalepa
Michal Nalepa Left Back
7.12
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
Sebastian Kowalczyk Central Midfield
6.53
Referee : Tomasz Kwiatkowski

Starting XI ▼

13
Sebastian Madejski
Sebastian Madejski Goalkeeper
6.87
79
Dominik Pila
Dominik Pila Midfielder
6.72
10
Maxime Dominguez
Maxime Dominguez Midfielder
6.62
17
Martin Yankov
Martin Yankov Attacker
6.83
29
Jean Batoum
Jean Batoum Attacker
6.36
4
Gustav Henriksson
Gustav Henriksson Left Back
6.75
61
Brahim Traoré
Brahim Traoré Right Back
6.72
14
Ajdin Hasic
Ajdin Hasic Central Midfield
7.01
20
Karol Knap
Karol Knap Central Midfield
6.57
21
Bosko Sutalo
Bosko Sutalo Right Back
6.71
39
Mauro Perkovic
Mauro Perkovic Left Back
6.98

CONCLUSION

Zagłębie Lubin's home ground and higher league standing provide a platform to exploit their power edge, but Cracovia's stronger form score signals danger in attack. With projections dead even across outcomes, fine details like transitions and set pieces remain unknowns amid sparse stats. The hosts' 6th-place perch contrasts Cracovia's 14th, yet recent momentum favors the visitors. Expect a cagey affair where Zagłębie's structure meets Cracovia's spark, likely hinging on early chances and resilience. Tight margins define this balanced Ekstraklasa battle.