Yelimay Semey vs Alashkert preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Europa Conference League
Yelimay SemeyYEL
2 – 2
AlashkertALA
Full Time: Finished on Penalties
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 3
Hrvoje Ilic - 4', 96' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
M. Touré - 4'
Daouda Togola - 11'
A. Sadoyan - 13'
Higor Gabriel Fernandes Alves - 120+1' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Yelimay Semey 2–2 Alashkert. The match ended in a draw. Yelimay Semey showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 49%–51%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Yelimay Semey as the designated stronger team produced a significant deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match indicators throughout the fixture.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment with expected goals could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final draw outcome was not aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data were unavailable for both teams in this encounter.
  • Event impact: The second leg finished 2-2 and preserved the aggregate tie at 5-5.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion from dismissals affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Aptsiauri
A. Aptsiauri
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Chigogidze
D. Chigogidze
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Jvania
B. Jvania
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Samsonashvili
T. Samsonashvili
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yelimay Semey A. Karpovich
A. Karpovich
VS
Alashkert V. Gevorgyan
V. Gevorgyan
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alashkert Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Yelimay Semey Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Yelimay Semey
49.9%
Draw
27.45%
Away Alashkert
22.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Yelimay Semey
+45.05%
Draw
-62.85%
Alashkert
+17.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Yelimay Semey
Alashkert
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Yelimay Semey — Opponent-weighted form score
Alashkert — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Yelimay Semey Alashkert

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Yelimay Semey

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Alashkert

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Yelimay Semey ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alashkert
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.84
48.04
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
48.04
31.84
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Yelimay Semey -1.31 Efficiency Index
vs
Alashkert +1.31 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Yelimay Semey
Alashkert
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Yelimay Semey ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alashkert
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Yelimay Semey Alashkert
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
8.00 7.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Yelimay Semey Alashkert
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
7.00 8.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Yelimay Semey
Alashkert
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Yelimay Semey
vs
Alashkert
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Yelimay Semey Alashkert
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Yelimay Semey 0.17
Alashkert 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Yelimay Semey Alashkert
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Yelimay Semey 0.11
Alashkert 0.10
Yelimay Semey
Alashkert
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ALA had peak pressure around 27'.
  • YEL started the game with stronger pressure.
YEL Pressure ALA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ALA reached the top pressure at 27' (51.20).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Yelimay Semey YEL Home
1 matches
Alashkert ALA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:00:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 3
Stadium
,
Capacity
N/A
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Aleko Aptsiauri
Davit Chigogidze
Boris Jvania
Tsotne Samsonashvili

Statistics

Possession
YEL
49%
ALA
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
5 Shots 11
72 Dangerous attacks 70
49 Possession 51
8 Corners 12
16 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

93 Ball Safe 99
1 Penalties 0
10 Goal Attempts 10
6 Substitutions 6
41 Throwins 30
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

108 Attacks 117

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Aleko Aptsiauri

Starting XI ▼

32
Ivan Konovalov
Ivan Konovalov Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Higor Gabriel Fernandes Alves
Higor Gabriel Fernandes Alves Defender
5.86
15
Maj Mittendorfer
Maj Mittendorfer Defender
6.05
26
Strahinja Tanasijević
Strahinja Tanasijević Defender
6.25
5
Marin Belančić
Marin Belančić
Defender105+1'
6.5
17
Akmal Bakhtiyarov
Akmal Bakhtiyarov Midfielder
6.57
14
Duban Palacio
Duban Palacio
Midfielder84'
6.37
20
Arsen Ashirbekov
Arsen Ashirbekov Midfielder
6.27
23
Hrvoje Ilic
Hrvoje Ilic Midfielder
6.27
27
Evgeni Berezkin
Evgeni Berezkin Midfielder
6.37
10
Zhan-Ali Payruz
Zhan-Ali Payruz
Midfielder63'
6.37
44
Almas Tyulyubay
Almas Tyulyubay Midfielder
6.33
88
Asan Baygaliev
Asan Baygaliev
Midfielder111'
6.37
7
Roman Murtazaev
Roman Murtazaev (C) Attacker
6.46
11
Ivan Sviridov
Ivan Sviridov
Attacker63'
6.46
77
Euloge Fessou Placca
Euloge Fessou Placca Attacker
6.55
9
Roger Murillo
Roger Murillo
Attacker110'
6.46
Referee : Aleko Aptsiauri

Starting XI ▼

24
Arsen Beglaryan
Arsen Beglaryan Goalkeeper
5.88
3
Cézar Henrique
Cézar Henrique Defender
6.05
4
Y. Matyukhin
Y. Matyukhin Defender
6.05
5
D. Terteryan
D. Terteryan Defender
6.26
21
Jefferson Granado
Jefferson Granado
Midfielder75'
6.37
55
Hakob Hakobyan
Hakob Hakobyan Defender
6.26
15
A. Sadoyan
A. Sadoyan
Defender69'
6.26
7
Karen Nalbandyan
Karen Nalbandyan (C) Midfielder
6.27
—
Karen Nalbandyan
105+1'
8
Edgar Piloyan
Edgar Piloyan Midfielder
6.23
10
Olawale Farayola
Olawale Farayola Midfielder
6.27
17
Joseph Sabobo
Joseph Sabobo Midfielder
6.37
14
Domi Massoumou
Domi Massoumou
Midfielder46'
6.33
88
Rafael Jesus
Rafael Jesus Midfielder
6.23
—
Rafael Jesus
103'
11
M. Touré
M. Touré Attacker
6.82
19
Philip Ejike
Philip Ejike
Attacker75'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ivan Konovalov
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
130'
120+1'
Event
Higor Gabriel Fernandes Alves
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
Event
Asan Baygaliev → Almas Tyulyubay
12th Substitution
111'
Event
Roger Murillo → Euloge Fessou Placca
11th Substitution
110'
110'
Event
Domi Massoumou
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Marin Belančić → Strahinja Tanasijević
10th Substitution
105+1'
105+1'
Event
Hussein Muiz Adebayo → Karen Nalbandyan
9th Substitution
103'
Event
Daouda Togola → Rafael Jesus
8th Substitution
Event
Hrvoje Ilic
Penalty / 1st Penalty
96'
Event
Hrvoje Ilic
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Duban Palacio → Akmal Bakhtiyarov
7th Substitution
84'
80'
Event
Edgar Piloyan
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Philip Ejike → M. Touré
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Jefferson Granado → D. Terteryan
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Rafael Jesus
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
69'
Event
A. Sadoyan → Hakob Hakobyan
4th Substitution
Event
Zhan-Ali Payruz → Evgeni Berezkin
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Ivan Sviridov → Roman Murtazaev
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Strahinja Tanasijević
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
56'
46'
Event
Domi Massoumou → Joseph Sabobo
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Almas Tyulyubay
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'
26'
Event
Vahe Gevorgyan
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Duban Palacio
Goalkeeper save
14'
13'
Event
A. Sadoyan
Scored
Event
Roger Murillo
Scored
12'
Event
Akmal Bakhtiyarov
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
11'
11'
Event
Daouda Togola
Scored
Event
Arsen Ashirbekov
Scored
10'
9'
Event
Jefferson Granado
Scored
Event
Ivan Sviridov
Off target
8'
7'
Event
Arsen Beglaryan
Off target
Event
Marin Belančić
Scored
6'
5'
Event
Cézar Henrique
Scored
Event
Hrvoje Ilic
Scored
4'
4'
Event
M. Touré
Field Goal / 1st Goal
3'
Event
Domi Massoumou
Scored
Event
Zhan-Ali Payruz
Scored
2'
1'
Event
Edgar Piloyan
Scored

Match Commentary

125
Update Update
Penalty miss for Duban Palacio. The score remains 5-6.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Arsen Sadoyan scores, making it 5-6.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored, making it 5-5.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty Goal - Daouda Togola 4-5
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored, making it 4-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jefferson Granado scores, making it 3-4.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Ivan Sviridov. The score remains 3-3.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Arsen Beglaryan. The score remains 3-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Marin Belancic scores, making it 3-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Cezar Henrique scores, making it 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored! The score is now 2-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Domi Jaures Massoumou scores, making it 1-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored! The match is now 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Edgar Piloyan scores, making it 0-1.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Higor Gabriel Fernandes Alves levels the score at 2-2.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-2.
111
Update Update
Asan Baygaliev comes on for Almas Tyulyubay.
110
Substitution Substitution
Roger Murillo is substituted off for Euloge Placca Fessou.
110
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
105
Update Update
Hussein Muiz Adebayo is on, and Karen Nalbandyan is off.
105
Update Update
Marin Belancic comes on for Strahinja Tanasijevic.
105
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
103
Update Update
Daouda Togola replaces Rafael Jesus.
100
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
96
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! The score is now 2-1.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Hrvoje Ilic.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
Duban Palacio comes on for Akmal Bakhtiyarov.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Update Update
Jefferson Granado comes on for David Terteryan.
75
Update Update
On comes Philip Ejike, and Momo Fanye Toure goes off.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arsen Sadoyan comes on for Hakob Hakobyan.
63
Update Update
Zhan Ali Payruz comes on for Evgeni Berezkin.
63
Update Update
On comes Ivan Sviridov, off goes Roman Murtazaev.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Strahinja Tanasijevic receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
On Domi Jaures Massoumou, off Joseph Sabobo.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Momo Fanye Toure scores to make it 1-0.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is A. Aptsiauri.

CONCLUSION

The 2-2 draw in the second leg maintained parity across the tie after both teams traded goals in each half. Yelimay Semey could not convert home advantage into a decisive lead despite entering as the stronger side. Balanced possession figures reflected an evenly contested match that produced few clear openings. Absence of any dismissals allowed both sides to maintain full tactical options until the final whistle. The aggregate remains level and the tie therefore requires further resolution. Overall the result aligned with the pattern of the first leg and left neither side with a clear advantage heading into the next stage.