WSG Tirol vs Sturm Graz preview

Austria flag 2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Tivoli Stadion Tirol Sat, 1 Aug - 3:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
WSG TirolWSG
1 – 1
Sturm GrazSTU
Full Time Sat, 1 Aug 3:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

WSG Tirol and Sturm Graz played to a 1-1 draw with the halftime score also locked at 1-1. Sturm Graz the stronger side posted 2.11 expected goals to the hosts 0.92 creating a differential of minus 1.19. The visitors controlled 58 percent possession while WSG Tirol held 42 percent. No red cards occurred and the result proved inconsistent with the xG data. A significant deviation was recorded for Sturm Graz. Efficiency stayed in line with projections and the draw aligned with available indicators. The match contained no second half adjustments or additional disruptions. Both teams scored once before the interval and neither added to the tally afterward leaving the points shared despite the underlying metrics favoring the away side throughout the second period.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sturm Graz recorded a significant structural deviation from expected performance.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 result did not align with the xG differential of minus 1.19.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome aligned with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Sturm Graz created 2.11 expected goals against 0.92 for WSG Tirol.
  • Event impact: The even 1-1 halftime score carried forward without further event impacts.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued producing zero red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Ebner
S. Ebner
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Höfler
M. Höfler
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gutschi
A. Gutschi
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Sampl
S. Sampl
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
WSG Tirol P. Semlic
P. Semlic
VS
Sturm Graz F. Ingolitsch
F. Ingolitsch
1.27
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.87
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wolfsberger AC Rank: 64 L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: 54 D
Grazer AK Rank: 58 L
Ried Rank: 58 W
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 58 D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: 58 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Rapid Rank: 64 W
Hartberg Rank: 64 W
Salzburg Rank: 72 D
Austria Wien Rank: 69 D
LASK Linz Rank: 74 D
LASK Linz Rank: 74 D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.71
75.64
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
WSG Tirol
Sturm Graz
Power Score
56.71
75.64
League Position
4
3
Global Rank
715
161

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
WSG Tirol — Opponent-weighted form score
Sturm Graz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) WSG Tirol Sturm Graz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

WSG Tirol

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sturm Graz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

WSG Tirol ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sturm Graz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.86
31.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.98
22.86
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
WSG Tirol -0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Sturm Graz +0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
WSG Tirol
Sturm Graz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

WSG Tirol
vs
Sturm Graz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
WSG Tirol Sturm Graz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
11%
3%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.10 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Sturm Graz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
3%
11%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -0.10
WSG Tirol
Sturm Graz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
WSG Tirol
vs
Sturm Graz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
WSG Tirol Sturm Graz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
WSG Tirol 0.25
Sturm Graz 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
WSG Tirol Sturm Graz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
WSG Tirol 0.01
Sturm Graz 0.03
WSG Tirol
Sturm Graz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • STU had peak pressure around 77'.
  • STU started the game with stronger pressure.
WSG Pressure STU Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: STU reached the top pressure at 77' (74.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

WSG Tirol WSG Home
4 matches
Sturm Graz STU Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
6
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-02T00:01:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 01, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Capacity
16008
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Ebner
Martin Höfler
Amina Gutschi
Samuel Sampl

Statistics

Possession
WSG
43%
STU
57%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 5
4 Shots 6
32 Dangerous attacks 71
42 Possession 58
1 Corners 6
14 Free kicks 11
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

128 Ball Safe 102
9 Goal Kicks 7
4 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 35
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Assists 1
0 Injuries 1
17 Dribble Attempts 31
9 Successful Dribbles 16
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52

Attacking

91 Attacks 136
1 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

67 Long Passes 68
308 Passes 410
210 Successful Passes 298
68 Successful Passes Percentage 73
5 Key Passes 12
28 Successful Long Passes 31
42 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

5 Saves 0
21 Tackles 14
10 Interceptions 12

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 23
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 9
11 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

1
Salko Hamzic
Salko Hamzic Goalkeeper
7.11
5
Drew Murray
Drew Murray Defender
6.52
14
David Kubatta
David Kubatta Defender
6.89
3
David Gugganig
David Gugganig
Defender85'
6.58
23
Marco Boras
Marco Boras Defender
7.82
32
Raphael Gschösser
Raphael Gschösser Defender
8
N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen Midfielder
6.43
9
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Ademola Ola-Adebomi
Attacker75'
6.47
11
Murat Satin
Murat Satin Midfielder
6.92
17
Michael Olakigbe
Michael Olakigbe Midfielder
7.26
15
Mazou Bambara
Mazou Bambara
Midfielder85'
6.74
18
Husein Balic
Husein Balic Midfielder
6.09
36
Thomas Goiginger
Thomas Goiginger
Attacker75'
6.58
43
Nemanja Čelić
Nemanja Čelić Midfielder
6.75
16
Lukas Hinterseer
Lukas Hinterseer (C) Attacker
6.83
22
David Falkner
David Falkner
Midfielder89'
Referee : Stefan Ebner

Starting XI ▼

53
Daniil Khudyakov
Daniil Khudyakov Goalkeeper
6.26
5
Albert Vallci
Albert Vallci Defender
7.17
18
Emran Soglo
Emran Soglo Defender
7.35
27
Luis Balbo
Luis Balbo
Defender66'
6.7
28
Jürgen Heil
Jürgen Heil Defender
7.71
30
Paul Koller
Paul Koller Defender
6.64
2
Jeyland Mitchell
Jeyland Mitchell
Defender90'
4
Jon Gorenc Stankovic
Jon Gorenc Stankovic (C) Midfielder
6.73
19
Simon Seidl
Simon Seidl Midfielder
6.71
26
Belmin Beganovic
Belmin Beganovic Midfielder
6.31
20
Seedy Jatta
Seedy Jatta
Attacker65'
6.46
43
Jacob Peter Hödl
Jacob Peter Hödl Midfielder
6.3
15
Gizo Mamageishvili
Gizo Mamageishvili
Midfielder72'
6.79
80
Ryan Fosso
Ryan Fosso Midfielder
6.35
17
Szymon Wlodarczyk
Szymon Wlodarczyk Attacker
7.31
11
Axel Kayombo
Axel Kayombo
Attacker72'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Jeyland Mitchell → Paul Koller
10th Substitution
Event
David Falkner → Lukas Hinterseer
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Mazou Bambara → Michael Olakigbe
7th Substitution
85'
Event
David Gugganig → David Kubatta
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Raphael Gschösser
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Ademola Ola-Adebomi → N. Frederiksen
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Thomas Goiginger → Husein Balic
6th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Albert Vallci
Penalty disallowed
72'
Event
Axel Kayombo → Szymon Wlodarczyk
3rd Substitution
72'
Event
Gizo Mamageishvili → Jacob Peter Hödl
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Luis Balbo → Emran Soglo
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Seedy Jatta → Belmin Beganovic
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Michael Olakigbe
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
42'
29'
Event
Szymon Wlodarczyk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Ryan Fosso
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
19'
Event
Emran Soglo
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
18'
Event
Jacob Peter Hödl
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
14'
Event
Simon Seidl
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 1-1.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gizo Mamageishvili takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Simon Seidl takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mazou Bambara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gizo Mamageishvili takes a right-footed shot but misses.
89
Update Update
On Jeyland Mitchell, off Paul Koller.
86
Update Update
David Falkner comes on for Lukas Hinterseer.
85
Attempt Attempt
Axel Kayombo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Mazou Bambara comes on for Michael Oluwakorede Olakigbe.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: David Gugganig comes on for David Kubatta.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Raphael Gschosser.
75
Attempt Attempt
Axel Kayombo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
75
Update Update
VAR review results in the cancellation of the penalty awarded to Albert Vallci.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Update Update
Thomas Goiginger comes on for Lukas Hinterseer.
73
Update Update
Ademola Ola-Adebom is on, and Nikolai Baden Frederiksen is off.
72
Attempt Attempt
Gizo Mamageishvili takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
72
Substitution Substitution
Axel Kayombo is substituted for Szymon Wlodarczyk.
72
Update Update
Gizo Mamageishvili comes on for Jacob Hodl.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Attempt Attempt
Seedy Jatta's left-footed shot is saved.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Update Update
Luis Francisco Balbo Vieira is on, and Emran Soglo is off.
62
Update Update
Seedy Jatta is on, and Belmin Beganovic is off.
62
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Albert Vallci takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
50
Attempt Attempt
Jon Gorenc Stankovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
48
Attempt Attempt
Szymon Wlodarczyk takes a shot with his head but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Simon Seidl with his right foot is saved.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Michael Oluwakorede Olakigbe scores with a left-footed shot.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michael Oluwakorede Olakigbe scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Raphael Gschosser.
38
Attempt Attempt
Michael Oluwakorede Olakigbe takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Nikolai Baden Frederiksen takes a header shot but misses.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Szymon Wlodarczyk scores with a right-footed shot.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Szymon Wlodarczyk scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Emran Soglo.
26
Attempt Attempt
Simon Seidl takes a left-footed shot but misses.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ryan Fosso receives a yellow card.
23
Attempt Attempt
Simon Seidl takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Lukas Hinterseer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Emran Soglo receives a yellow card.
18
Attempt Attempt
Simon Seidl's left-footed shot is blocked.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacob Hodl receives a yellow card.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simon Seidl receives a yellow card.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Stefan Ebner.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw left Sturm Graz with an underachievement relative to their expected goals advantage and possession dominance. WSG Tirol defended effectively after the opening period to secure the point despite lower overall creation. The absence of red cards preserved full team structures for both sides across the full ninety minutes. Data showed clear separation in chance quality yet the scoreline reflected balance at the break that persisted. Efficiency metrics tracked closely with projections indicating no major tactical deviations altered the flow. The significant deviation attached to the visitors highlights how results can diverge from underlying numbers in a single fixture. Overall the match demonstrated controlled play from the away side without the finishing edge required to claim victory.