Wisła Płock vs Motor Lublin preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego Sun, 10 May - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Wisła PłockWisła Płock
Motor LublinMotor Lublin
KICKOFF : Sun, 10 May - 12:45 PM
Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season at Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego, Wisła Płock welcome Motor Lublin to what promises an intriguing battle between league position and underlying power. Płock sit comfortably 7th in the domestic standings, while Motor languish in 15th, highlighting a stark contrast in current form tables. However, power ratings tell a different story: Motor boast 59.23 to Płock's 50.81, a decisive 8.4-point advantage marking them as the stronger side analytically. With form scores at zero for both and no recent outings recorded, this early 2025/2026 fixture lacks historical momentum, setting the stage for a clean-slate showdown. Set piece data relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available, and efficiency metrics are absent, forcing focus on raw strengths. Home advantage could tilt it for Płock, but Motor's edge suggests caution.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Wisła Płock occupy 7th place in the Ekstraklasa, while Motor Lublin sit 15th.
  • Form: Both teams record a form score of zero with no last outing data available.
  • Squad: No specific squad composition or injury updates provided for either side.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxy data with no xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled per metadata.
  • Market: Projection split: Wisła Płock 42.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Motor Lublin 30.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Wisła Płock M. Misiura
M. Misiura
VS
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 59 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Katowice Rank: 66 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 71 L
Widzew Lodz Rank: 58 L
Katowice Rank: 63 L
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 62 D
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Wisła Płock
42.39%
Draw
26.91%
Away Motor Lublin
30.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
50.81
59.23
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Wisła Płock
Motor Lublin
Power Score
50.81
59.23
League Position
7
15
Global Rank
589
526

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Wisła Płock — Opponent-weighted form score
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Wisła Płock Motor Lublin

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
J. Burek
26 J. Burek
M. Haglind-Sangré
4 M. Haglind-Sangré
M. Kamiński
35 M. Kamiński
N. Mijušković
25 N. Mijušković
F. Hiszpański
16 F. Hiszpański
D. Kun
14 D. Kun
T. Tavares
84 T. Tavares
W. Nowak
30 W. Nowak
D. Gallapeni
19 D. Gallapeni
I. Niarchos
9 I. Niarchos
D. Jurić
99 D. Jurić
G. Tratnik
33 G. Tratnik
F. Luberecki
24 F. Luberecki
M. Bartoš
39 M. Bartoš
A. Najemski
18 A. Najemski
P. Stolarski
28 P. Stolarski
B. Wolski
68 B. Wolski
S. Samper Montaña
6 S. Samper Montaña
I. dos Santos Rodrigues
7 I. dos Santos Rodrigues
B. van Hoeven
19 B. van Hoeven
K. Czubak
9 K. Czubak
M. Ndiaye
30 M. Ndiaye

General Information

Date & Time
May 10, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 32 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego
Capacity
10978
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Paweł Raczkowski
Maciej Kosarzecki
Aleksander Borowiak
Marcin Lisowski

Expected Lineup

Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

26
Jakub Burek
Jakub Burek Goalkeeper
19
Dion Gallapeni
Dion Gallapeni Midfielder
6.94
16
Fabian Hiszpanski
Fabian Hiszpanski Midfielder
6.58
9
Giannis Niarchos
Giannis Niarchos Attacker
6.54
99
Deni Jurić
Deni Jurić Attacker
6.92
4
Marcus Haglind-Sangré
Marcus Haglind-Sangré Right Back
6.72
30
Wiktor Nowak
Wiktor Nowak Central Midfield
6.86
35
Marcin Kaminski
Marcin Kaminski Centre Back
6.8
25
Nemanja Mijuskovic
Nemanja Mijuskovic Left Back
6.69
14
Dominik Kun
Dominik Kun Central Midfield
6.7
84
Tomás Franco Tavares
Tomás Franco Tavares Central Midfield
6.47
Referee : Paweł Raczkowski

Starting XI ▼

33
Gasper Tratnik
Gasper Tratnik Goalkeeper
6.71
30
Mbaye Ndiaye
Mbaye Ndiaye Attacker
6.86
9
Karol Czubak
Karol Czubak Centre Forward
7.11
19
Bradly van Hoeven
Bradly van Hoeven Attacker
6.6
6
Sergi Samper
Sergi Samper Central Midfield
6.76
24
Filip Luberecki
Filip Luberecki Left Back
6.63
7
Ivo Rodrigues
Ivo Rodrigues Central Midfield
6.9
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Central Midfield
7.08
28
Pawel Stolarski
Pawel Stolarski Right Back
6.54
18
Arkadiusz Najemski
Arkadiusz Najemski Right Back
6.7
39
Marek Bartos
Marek Bartos Left Back
6.7

CONCLUSION

Wisła Płock face a test of home fortitude against Motor Lublin's superior power rating of 8.4 points, despite their own 7th-place perch over Motor's 15th. Absent form guides and advanced metrics like efficiency or set pieces, the clash hinges on execution at Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego. Płock's domestic edge offers hope, but Motor's strength positions them to exploit any lapses. This balanced projection underscores a tight affair where tactical discipline and early momentum will decide the spoils in the 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa campaign.