Brazil vs Norway preview

2026 World Cup, World
New York New Jersey Stadium Today - 8:00 PM
World Cup
Brazil BRA
Norway NOR
KICKOFF : Today - 8:00 PM
Round of 16

CONTEXT

Brazil meet Norway in the World Cup Round of 16 at New York New Jersey Stadium. The South Americans enter as the stronger side according to power metrics, holding a 6.7 point edge that reflects superior overall quality. Both sides sit at the summit of their domestic tables, underlining their consistent performances across the season. Brazil post a marginally higher form score, suggesting they carry slightly better recent momentum into the contest. The fixture represents a classic test of structured play against organised opposition, with Norway expected to offer stern resistance despite the rating gap. Venue conditions in the northeast should favour a high-tempo encounter where tactical discipline will prove decisive. Players on both rosters will be aware of the high stakes attached to progression from this stage.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brazil hold a 6.7 point power advantage over Norway.
  • Form: Brazil post a form score of 28.75 compared to Norway on 25.
  • Squad: Brazil sit first and Norway second in their domestic standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not supplied for this fixture.
  • Set pieces: Set piece xG data carries low confidence and remains unavailable.
  • xVariable: Brazil are designated the stronger team by power metrics.
  • Market: Brazil 52.9% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 25.7% (Δ+-0%) | Norway 21.4% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Brazil C. Ancelotti
C. Ancelotti
VS
Norway S. Solbakken
S. Solbakken
2.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.25
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Japan Rank: W
Scotland Rank: W
Haiti Rank: W
Morocco Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Côte d'Ivoire Rank: W
France Rank: L
Senegal Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brazil
52.91%
Draw
25.7%
Away Norway
21.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
Brazil
+0.11%
Draw
-0.02%
Norway
-0.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
37.78
31.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brazil
Norway
Power Score
37.78
31.11
League Position
1
2
Global Rank
6
31

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brazil — Opponent-weighted form score
Norway — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brazil Norway

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brazil BRA Home
0 matches
Norway NOR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-05T00:02:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
A. Becker
Brazil
1 A. Becker
D. da Silva
Brazil
13 D. da Silva
M. Aoás Corrêa
Brazil
4 M. Aoás Corrêa
G. dos Santos Magalhães
Brazil
3 G. dos Santos Magalhães
D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
Brazil
16 D. dos Santos Justino de Melo
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
Brazil
8 B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
C. Casimiro
Brazil
5 C. Casimiro
F. Tavares
Brazil
17 F. Tavares
R. Rocha
Brazil
26 R. Rocha
M. Carneiro Da Cunha
Brazil
9 M. Carneiro Da Cunha
V. Júnior
Brazil
7 V. Júnior
Ø. Håskjold Nyland
Norway
1 Ø. Håskjold Nyland
D. Wolfe
Norway
5 D. Wolfe
T. Heggem
Norway
17 T. Heggem
K. Vassbakk Ajer
Norway
3 K. Vassbakk Ajer
F. Aursnes
Norway
14 F. Aursnes
P. Berg
Norway
6 P. Berg
S. Berge
Norway
8 S. Berge
M. Ødegaard
Norway
10 M. Ødegaard
A. Nordby Nusa
Norway
20 A. Nordby Nusa
E. Haaland
Norway
9 E. Haaland
A. Sørloth
Norway
7 A. Sørloth

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 05, 2026, 08:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 16
Stadium
New York New Jersey Stadium
Capacity
82500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ismail Elfath

Lineup

Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI ▼

1
Alisson
Alisson Goalkeeper
7.05
3
Gabriel
Gabriel Defender
7.31
4
Marquinhos
Marquinhos Defender
7.18
13
Danilo
Danilo Defender
6.7
16
Douglas Santos
Douglas Santos Defender
7.03
5
Casemiro
Casemiro Midfielder
7.13
8
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder
7.44
17
Fabinho
Fabinho Midfielder
6.64
26
Rayan
Rayan Midfielder
7.47
7
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior Attacker
7.68
9
Matheus Cunha
Matheus Cunha Attacker
7.5
Referee : Ismail Elfath

Starting XI ▼

1
Ørjan Nyland
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper
6.79
3
Kristoffer Ajer
Kristoffer Ajer Defender
7.03
5
David Møller Wolfe
David Møller Wolfe Defender
6.6
17
Torbjørn Heggem
Torbjørn Heggem Defender
6.84
6
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg Midfielder
6.92
8
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.84
10
Martin Ødegaard
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder
7.13
14
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
6.64
7
Alexander Sørloth
Alexander Sørloth Attacker
6.38
9
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland Attacker
7.89
20
Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa Attacker
6.61

CONCLUSION

Brazil are expected to control territory and create the clearer openings given their structural edge and domestic pedigree. Norway will look to remain compact and exploit any spaces left during transitions, relying on their own strong league standing to stay competitive. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece figures places greater emphasis on in-game adjustments by both coaching staffs. Expect Brazil to dictate the tempo early while Norway seek to frustrate and counter. The match should hinge on whether the favourites can convert sustained pressure into clear chances before Norway find a route to threaten on the break. Progression will reward the side that maintains composure in key moments.