Paraguay vs France preview

2026 World Cup, World
Philadelphia Stadium Tomorrow - 9:00 PM
World Cup
Paraguay PAR
France FRA
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 9:00 PM
Round of 16

CONTEXT

Paraguay meet France in the World Cup Round of 16 at Philadelphia Stadium. France enter as the clear stronger side with a power score of 45.18 against Paraguay's 23.7, creating a 21.5-point advantage. League positions show France first and Paraguay third in their domestic standings. Form scores further highlight the gap, with France at 36.08 and Paraguay at 17.58. Both teams lack recent outing details, leaving preparation questions open. Set-piece information carries low confidence and relies on proxies, offering limited insight. Efficiency and transition metrics remain unavailable. France are expected to control proceedings given their overall edge.

TL;DR

  • Structural: France hold a 21.5-point power advantage over Paraguay.
  • Form: France post a superior form score of 36.08 to Paraguay's 17.58.
  • Squad: France are identified as the stronger team overall.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both Paraguay and France.
  • Transition: Transition details are not provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece metrics carry low confidence and use proxy data.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: Paraguay 5.8% (Δ+0.1%) | Draw 13.9% (Δ-0.3%) | France 80.4% (Δ+0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Paraguay G. Alfaro
G. Alfaro
VS
France D. Deschamps
D. Deschamps
1.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
Germany Rank: D
Australia Rank: D
Türkiye Rank: W
United States Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sweden Rank: W
Norway Rank: W
Iraq Rank: W
Senegal Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paraguay
5.77%
Draw
13.88%
Away France
80.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Paraguay
+0.08%
Draw
-0.31%
France
+0.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.7
45.18
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paraguay
France
Power Score
23.7
45.18
League Position
3
1
Global Rank
40
1

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paraguay — Opponent-weighted form score
France — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paraguay France

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paraguay PAR Home
0 matches
France FRA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-03T00:02:25+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Gill
12 O. Gill
J. Cáceres
4 J. Cáceres
G. Gómez Portillo
15 G. Gómez Portillo
J. Canale Domínguez
13 J. Canale Domínguez
J. Alonso Mujica
6 J. Alonso Mujica
A. Cubas
14 A. Cubas
M. Almirón Rejala
10 M. Almirón Rejala
D. Bobadilla
16 D. Bobadilla
M. Galarza Fonda
23 M. Galarza Fonda
J. Enciso
19 J. Enciso
G. Ávalos Stumpfs
21 G. Ávalos Stumpfs
M. Maignan
16 M. Maignan
L. Digne
3 L. Digne
W. Saliba
17 W. Saliba
D. Upamecano
4 D. Upamecano
J. Koundé
5 J. Koundé
A. Rabiot
14 A. Rabiot
A. Tchouaméni
8 A. Tchouaméni
B. Barcola
12 B. Barcola
M. Olise
11 M. Olise
O. Dembélé
7 O. Dembélé
K. Mbappé
10 K. Mbappé

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 09:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 16
Stadium
Philadelphia Stadium
Capacity
69176
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ilgiz Tantashev

Expected Lineup

Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

12
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill Goalkeeper
7.29
10
Miguel Almirón
Miguel Almirón Midfielder
6.38
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Midfielder
7.02
21
Gabriel Ávalos
Gabriel Ávalos Centre Forward
6.58
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Right Back
6.85
6
Júnior Alonso
Júnior Alonso Left Back
6.47
14
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas Defensive Midfield
6.88
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez Right Back
6.75
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Central Midfield
6.53
23
Matías Galarza Fonda
Matías Galarza Fonda Central Midfield
7.13
13
José Canale
José Canale Left Back
7
Referee : Ilgiz Tantashev

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
6.88
10
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé Centre Forward
8.49
3
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Left Back
6.87
4
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Right Back
7.29
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Right Back
6.96
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Right Wing
8.04
8
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni Defensive Midfield
7.46
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Attacking Midfield
8.2
12
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Left Wing
7.26
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Defensive Midfield
7.27
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Left Back
6.92

CONCLUSION

France are positioned to dictate the tempo against Paraguay thanks to superior power ratings and domestic form. Paraguay will look to their league standing for confidence but face a steep challenge in breaking down a well-organized opponent. Limited set-piece and efficiency data suggest both sides must rely on open-play execution. The venue in Philadelphia offers neutral conditions that should favor the technically stronger side. Expect France to press for control early while Paraguay seek defensive solidity and counter opportunities. Overall quality edges point toward a competitive yet one-sided encounter.