Canada vs Morocco preview
2026 World Cup, World
Houston Stadium
Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
World Cup
Canada
CAN
Morocco
MAR
KICKOFF :
Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round of 16
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 3
CONTEXT
The upcoming Round of 16 encounter in the 2026 World Cup pits Canada against Morocco at Houston Stadium. As the stronger team according to power metrics, Morocco boasts a score of 30.74 compared to Canada's 20.37, resulting in a notable 10.4 point advantage. Both squads currently occupy second position in their respective domestic competitions. Form analysis reveals Morocco holding a slight edge with 21.33 over Canada's 17.5. This fixture marks a critical stage where tactical discipline and execution will determine progression. The venue in Houston provides a neutral setting that could influence playing styles. Observers note the potential for a competitive battle given the close form readings and shared league positions. Overall, the contest highlights contrasting strengths in a high-stakes environment.
TL;DR
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Structural: Morocco possesses a clear power advantage of 10.4 points over Canada in this matchup.
-
Form: Morocco holds a form score of 21.33, edging out Canada's 17.5 ahead of the fixture.
-
Squad: Both Canada and Morocco are placed second in their domestic league standings.
-
Efficiency: Detailed efficiency statistics are unavailable for either team in this encounter.
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Transition: Transition metrics show limited availability but point to potential areas of focus for both sides.
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Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence due to reliance on proxy data for Canada and Morocco.
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xVariable: The power differential serves as the key variable favoring Morocco in overall team assessment.
-
Market: Canada 20.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Morocco 52% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
J. Marsch
VS
M. Ouahbi
1.75
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
South Africa
Rank:
W
Switzerland
Rank:
L
Qatar
Rank:
W
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Netherlands
Rank:
D
Haiti
Rank:
W
Scotland
Rank:
W
Brazil
Rank:
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Canada
20.29%
Draw
27.74%
Morocco
51.97%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.37
30.74
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Canada
Morocco
Power Score
20.37
30.74
League Position
2
2
Global Rank
30
8
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Canada
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Morocco
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Canada Morocco
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Canada
CAN
Home
1
matches
Morocco
MAR
Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-03T00:02:14+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
16 M. Crépeau
2 A. Johnston
15 M. Bombito
13 D. Cornelius
22 R. Laryea
17 T. Buchanan
25 N. Saliba
7 S. Antunes Eustáquio
11 L. Millar
10 J. David
12 T. Oluwaseyi
1 Y. Bounou
3 N. Mazraoui
18 C. Riad
14 I. Diop
2 A. Hakimi Mouh
6 A. Bouaddi
24 N. El Aynaoui
23 B. El Khannous
8 A. Ounahi
10 B. Abdelkader Diaz
11 I. Saibari Ben El Basra
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 16
Stadium
Houston Stadium
Capacity
72220
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Oliver
Lineup
Referee :
Michael Oliver
Manager ▼
J. Marsch
Coach
Starting XI ▼
16
Maxime Crépeau
Goalkeeper
6.57 2
Alistair Johnston
Defender
7.11 13
Derek Cornelius
Defender
6.65 15
Moïse Bombito
Defender
6.65 22
Richie Laryea
Defender
7.08 7
Stephen Eustaquio
Midfielder
7.67 11
Liam Millar
Midfielder
6.61 17
Tajon Buchanan
Midfielder
6.63 25
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Midfielder
7.55 10
Jonathan David
Attacker
7.34 12
Tani Oluwaseyi
Attacker
6.66
Referee :
Michael Oliver
Manager ▼
M. Ouahbi
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Yassine Bounou
Goalkeeper
6.49 2
Achraf Hakimi
Defender
8 3
Noussair Mazraoui
Defender
6.98 14
Issa Diop
Defender
6.9 18
Chadi Riad
Defender
6.78 6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Midfielder
6.89 8
Azzedine Ounahi
Midfielder
6.96 10
Brahim Díaz
Midfielder
6.98 11
Ismael Saibari
Midfielder
7.23 23
Bilal El Khannouss
Midfielder
7.12 24
Neil El Aynaoui
Midfielder
7.22 CONCLUSION
Overall, the structural indicators point toward Morocco holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Morocco a 10.4-point edge. External projection is Canada 19.7%, draw 27.3%, and Morocco 53%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.
