Canada vs Morocco preview
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Canada faced Morocco in a match that concluded 0-3. The first half ended level at 0-0 with both teams showing balanced play. Expected goals were nearly even at 0.78 for Canada and 0.7 for Morocco yet the actual result diverged notably. Morocco controlled 55 percent of possession compared to Canada's 45 percent. The outcome proved inconsistent with xG projections but aligned with pre-match assessments of team strength. No red cards were shown throughout the contest. Morocco as the designated stronger side delivered a dominant second half performance to secure the three goals. This result highlighted a significant deviation in structural expectations for the match.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Canada 0-3 Morocco. Morocco showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the stronger team's performance.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with the expected goals as Canada had 0.78 xG and Morocco 0.7 xG.
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Market alignment: The result was aligned with market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations indicated a close contest between the teams.
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Event impact: Second half events led to Morocco scoring all three goals after a goalless first half.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match outcome.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Canada
Morocco
Movement
Changes since opening
Canada
Morocco
Team Power Ranking
i
20.37
30.74
Canada
Morocco
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Canada
Morocco
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Canada
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Canada
Canada
Morocco
Canada
Morocco
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Canada
Canada
Morocco
Canada
Morocco
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAN had peak pressure around 20'.
- CAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:50:39+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary