Canada vs Morocco preview

2026 World Cup, World
Houston Stadium Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
World Cup
Canada CAN
Morocco MAR
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 5:00 PM
Round of 16

CONTEXT

Canada meets Morocco during the World Cup Round of 16 at Houston Stadium in the 2026 campaign. Both sides sit second in domestic league tables ahead of this fixture. Morocco carries a clear power score lead of 30.74 to Canada's 20.37, underlining greater overall capability. Form readings show Morocco ahead at 21.33 versus 17.5, though recent match details stay unavailable. The neutral venue removes home advantage from either roster. Domestic positioning underscores league consistency over cup-specific metrics. Set piece evaluations rest on low confidence levels after proxy data application. Preparation for this encounter therefore centers on squad depth and tactical discipline rather than isolated statistics.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Morocco holds a 10.4 point power advantage over Canada.
  • Form: Morocco leads with a form score of 21.33 against Canada's 17.5.
  • Squad: Morocco fields the stronger squad in this matchup.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data is absent from the provided details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence after proxy usage.
  • xVariable: Morocco registers as the stronger team via power metrics.
  • Market: Canada 20.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.3% (Δ+0%) | Morocco 52.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Canada J. Marsch
J. Marsch
VS
Morocco M. Ouahbi
M. Ouahbi
1.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
South Africa Rank: W
Switzerland Rank: L
Qatar Rank: W
Bosnia and Herzegovina Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Netherlands Rank: D
Haiti Rank: W
Scotland Rank: W
Brazil Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Canada
20.28%
Draw
27.33%
Away Morocco
52.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.37
30.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Canada
Morocco
Power Score
20.37
30.74
League Position
2
2
Global Rank
30
8

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Canada — Opponent-weighted form score
Morocco — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Canada Morocco

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Canada CAN Home
1 matches
Morocco MAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
1
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-01T00:03:29+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Crépeau
16 M. Crépeau
A. Johnston
2 A. Johnston
M. Bombito
15 M. Bombito
D. Cornelius
13 D. Cornelius
R. Laryea
22 R. Laryea
T. Buchanan
17 T. Buchanan
N. Saliba
25 N. Saliba
S. Antunes Eustáquio
7 S. Antunes Eustáquio
L. Millar
11 L. Millar
J. David
10 J. David
T. Oluwaseyi
12 T. Oluwaseyi
Y. Bounou
1 Y. Bounou
N. Mazraoui
3 N. Mazraoui
C. Riad
18 C. Riad
I. Diop
14 I. Diop
A. Hakimi Mouh
2 A. Hakimi Mouh
A. Bouaddi
6 A. Bouaddi
N. El Aynaoui
24 N. El Aynaoui
B. El Khannous
23 B. El Khannous
A. Ounahi
8 A. Ounahi
B. Abdelkader Diaz
10 B. Abdelkader Diaz
I. Saibari Ben El Basra
11 I. Saibari Ben El Basra

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 04, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 16
Stadium
Houston Stadium
Capacity
72220
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

16
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau Goalkeeper
6.57
17
Tajon Buchanan
Tajon Buchanan Midfielder
6.61
11
Liam Millar
Liam Millar Midfielder
6.62
10
Jonathan David
Jonathan David Attacker
7.36
12
Tani Oluwaseyi
Tani Oluwaseyi Attacker
6.66
15
Moïse Bombito
Moïse Bombito Right Back
6.65
25
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Central Midfield
7.55
2
Alistair Johnston
Alistair Johnston Right Back
7.12
7
Stephen Eustaquio
Stephen Eustaquio Central Midfield
7.67
13
Derek Cornelius
Derek Cornelius Left Back
6.65
22
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea Left Back
7.06

Starting XI ▼

1
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou Goalkeeper
6.48
11
Ismael Saibari
Ismael Saibari Centre Forward
7.23
2
Achraf Hakimi
Achraf Hakimi Right Back
7.97
3
Noussair Mazraoui
Noussair Mazraoui Left Back
6.98
6
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Defensive Midfield
6.89
8
Azzedine Ounahi
Azzedine Ounahi Attacking Midfield
6.96
10
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz Right Wing
6.98
14
Issa Diop
Issa Diop Right Back
6.9
18
Chadi Riad
Chadi Riad Left Back
6.78
23
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss Left Wing
7.12
24
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Defensive Midfield
7.21

CONCLUSION

Morocco enters this Round of 16 contest with measurable edges in power and form that could shape proceedings at Houston Stadium. Canada must rely on organized structure and collective effort to offset those gaps. Both teams share identical domestic league positions, yet differing capability levels suggest Morocco will dictate tempo. Limited efficiency and transition figures leave room for in-game adjustments. Set piece contributions appear secondary given current data constraints. Success may hinge on individual quality and adaptability once play begins. Observers anticipate a measured approach from the favored side balanced by Canada's defensive resolve.