Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen preview

Netherlands flag 2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Koning Willem II Stadion
Eredivisie
Willem IIWIL
1 4
NEC NijmegenNEC
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Adam Tahaui - 45+2'
Kaj Sierhuis - 67'

CONTEXT

Willem II hosted NEC Nijmegen in a match that ended with a 1-4 scoreline. The home side trailed 0-1 at halftime before conceding further goals in the second period. NEC Nijmegen controlled possession with 68 percent compared to Willem II's 32 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.42 for the home team and 2.78 for the visitors. The stronger team secured the win in line with pre-match assessments. No red cards occurred during the contest. The outcome reflected the visitors' superior performance throughout the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: NEC Nijmegen recorded a significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team capabilities.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the xG differential of -1.36.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: NEC Nijmegen posted 2.78 xG against Willem II's 1.42 xG.
  • Event impact: The away side's control produced a decisive 1-4 victory.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards created no distortion in match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Inia
P. Inia
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Honig
R. Honig
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Sturm
R. Sturm
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Willem II J. Stegeman
J. Stegeman
VS
NEC Nijmegen D. Schreuder
D. Schreuder
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Telstar Rank: 67 L
Go Ahead Eagles Rank: 69 W
FC Groningen Rank: 70 L
Telstar Rank: 68 D
FC Twente Rank: 78 D
Feyenoord Rank: 81 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
37.39
76.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Power Score
37.39
76.01
League Position
17
6
Global Rank
575
131

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Willem II — Opponent-weighted form score
NEC Nijmegen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Willem II NEC Nijmegen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Willem II

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NEC Nijmegen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Willem II ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NEC Nijmegen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.72
36.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.18
31.72
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Willem II -0.43 Efficiency Index
vs
NEC Nijmegen +0.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Willem II
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Willem II NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
3%
2%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.04 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Willem II NEC Nijmegen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
2%
3%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.04
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Willem II
vs
NEC Nijmegen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Willem II NEC Nijmegen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Willem II 0.39
NEC Nijmegen 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Willem II NEC Nijmegen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Willem II 0.06
NEC Nijmegen 0.04
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NEC had peak pressure around 95'.
  • NEC started the game with stronger pressure.
WIL Pressure NEC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NEC reached the top pressure at 95' (72.24).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Willem II WIL Home
2 matches
NEC Nijmegen NEC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
5
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-16T00:05:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-1-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Koning Willem II Stadion
Capacity
14700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Patrick Inia
Rogier Honig
Rick Sturm

Statistics

Possession
WIL
37%
NEC
63%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 4
2 Big Chances Created 7
2 Shots 6
23 Dangerous attacks 72
32 Possession 68
1 Corners 2
14 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

87 Ball Safe 74
13 Goal Kicks 4
4 Goal Attempts 16
5 Substitutions 6
18 Throwins 17
1 Hit Woodwork 0
18 Successful Headers 13
1 Assists 2
1 Injuries 1
12 Dribble Attempts 10
5 Successful Dribbles 5
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

77 Attacks 138
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

68 Long Passes 52
279 Passes 591
174 Successful Passes 500
62 Successful Passes Percentage 85
7 Key Passes 19
29 Successful Long Passes 21
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

6 Saves 1
15 Tackles 15
13 Interceptions 12
51 Duels Won 43

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 16
3 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 14

Lineup

Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

31
Karst de Leeuw
Karst de Leeuw Goalkeeper
7.02
3
Finn Stam
Finn Stam Defender
6.4
4
Justin Hoogma
Justin Hoogma (C) Defender
6.22
22
Per van Loon
Per van Loon Defender
6.46
24
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Nathan Tjoe-A-On Defender
6.22
5
Hidde ter Avest
Hidde ter Avest
Defender69'
7.1
2
Alessandro Ciranni
Alessandro Ciranni Midfielder
6.41
83
Mats Lemmens
Mats Lemmens
Defender69'
6.29
7
Jaden Slory
Jaden Slory Midfielder
6.47
8
Kasper Boogaard
Kasper Boogaard Midfielder
6.35
40
Divano Fernandez Iglesias
Divano Fernandez Iglesias
Midfielder89'
50
Eser Gürbüz
Eser Gürbüz Midfielder
5.96
28
Thomas Verheydt
Thomas Verheydt
Attacker69'
7.36
9
Devin Haen
Devin Haen Attacker
6.89
19
Uriël van Aalst
Uriël van Aalst Attacker
6.59
Referee : Serdar Gozubuyuk

Starting XI ▼

1
Gonzalo Crettaz
Gonzalo Crettaz Goalkeeper
6.51
2
Brayann Pereira
Brayann Pereira Defender
6.33
21
Tobias Storm
Tobias Storm Defender
7.02
24
Deveron Fonville
Deveron Fonville Defender
7.36
66
Almugera Kabar
Almugera Kabar
Defender76'
6.24
6
Darko Nejasmic
Darko Nejasmic Midfielder
7.72
20
Noé Lebreton
Noé Lebreton
Midfielder65'
6.73
19
Adam Tahaui
Adam Tahaui Midfielder
7.88
17
Bram Nuytinck
Bram Nuytinck
Defender89'
35
Jamiro Monteiro
Jamiro Monteiro Midfielder
7.54
99
Clement Bischoff
Clement Bischoff Midfielder
7.89
7
Emre Mor
Emre Mor
Attacker66'
6.83
9
Tjaronn Chery
Tjaronn Chery (C) Attacker
8.22
10
Dusan Tadic
Dusan Tadic Attacker
6.82
30
Bryan Linssen
Bryan Linssen Attacker
7.25
14
Kaj Sierhuis
Kaj Sierhuis
Attacker66'
6.99

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Divano Fernandez Iglesias → Kasper Boogaard
8th Substitution
89'
89'
Event
Bram Nuytinck  → Adam Tahaui
9th Substitution
Event
Thomas Verheydt
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
77'
76'
Event
Almugera Kabar → Deveron Fonville
7th Substitution
Event
Hidde ter Avest  → Nathan Tjoe-A-On
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Mats Lemmens → Alessandro Ciranni
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Thomas Verheydt → Eser Gürbüz
6th Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
66'
Event
Emre Mor → Clement Bischoff
2nd Substitution
66'
Event
Kaj Sierhuis → Bryan Linssen
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Noé Lebreton → Darko Nejasmic
1st Substitution
64'
Event
Bryan Linssen
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
54'
Event
Tjaronn Chery 
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
Adam Tahaui
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match Ends！ 1-4
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Uriel van Aalst Left Footed Shot Blocked
89
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bram Nuytinck Head Shot Missed
89
Update Update
Match Ends！ 1-4
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Uriel van Aalst Left Footed Shot Blocked
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bram Nuytinck Head Shot Missed
85
Update Update
On Divano Iglesias，Off Kasper Boogaard
85
Update Update
On Bram Nuytinck，Off Adam Tahaui
84
Corner Corner
Corner
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tjaronn Chery Left Footed Shot Saved
83
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tjaronn Chery Left Footed Shot Blocked
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Kaj Sierhuis Head Shot Saved
77
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adam Tahaui Left Footed Shot Missed
76
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jaden Slory Left Footed Shot Blocked
73
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Uriel van Aalst Left Footed Shot Post
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Thomas Verheydt Right Footed Shot Goal
69
Update Update
On Almugera Kabar，Off Deveron Fonville
69
Update Update
On Mats Lemmens，Off Alessandro Ciranni
67
Update Update
On Thomas Verheydt，Off Eser Gurbuz
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On Hidde ter Avest，Off Nathan Tjoe-A-On
66
Update Update
On Mats Lemmens，Off Alessandro Ciranni
66
Update Update
On Emre Mor，Off Clement Bischoff
66
Update Update
On Noe Lebreton，Off Darko Nejasmic
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
On Kaj Sierhuis，Off Bryan Linssen
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Bryan Linssen 0-3
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jamiro Monteiro Right Footed Shot Blocked
60
Corner Corner
Corner
59
Update Update
On Mats Lemmens，Off Alessandro Ciranni
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-3
54
Corner Corner
Corner
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-3
52
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-3
45
Corner Corner
Corner
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Adam Tahaui Head Shot Goal
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jamiro Monteiro Right Footed Shot Saved
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Darko Nejasmic Right Footed Shot Saved
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adam Tahaui Left Footed Shot Missed
45
Update Update
First Half Ends！0-1
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Adam Tahaui 0-1，Assist：Clement Bischoff
18
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Devin Haen Left Footed Shot Missed
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Nathan Tjoe-A-On
7
Update Update
Offside
5
Update Update
Offside
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Serdar Gozubuyuk

CONCLUSION

NEC Nijmegen delivered a controlled performance to claim a 1-4 away win over Willem II. The visitors led 0-1 at the interval and extended their advantage after the break. Possession dominance and higher expected goals supported their superiority on the day. Willem II struggled to create consistent threats despite home advantage. The result matched the pre-match view of NEC Nijmegen as the stronger side. No disciplinary issues altered the contest dynamics. This outcome highlighted the away team's efficiency in converting opportunities into goals.