West Ham United vs Leeds United preview

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
London Stadium Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League
West Ham United WHU
Leeds United LEE
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 3:00 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Anticipation builds ahead of the Premier League regular season fixture pitting West Ham United against Leeds United at the London Stadium during the 2025/2026 campaign. Leeds United enters the contest as the stronger side per power metrics and holds a narrow overall edge in team capabilities. The hosts currently sit in 18th place in domestic standings while the visitors occupy 14th position. Form differentials further separate the sides with Leeds showing markedly higher recent performance indicators. Both clubs navigate challenges typical of mid to lower table encounters where tactical discipline often proves decisive. Home support at the London Stadium may influence early momentum yet the away side's structural strengths demand careful attention from the hosts throughout proceedings.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Leeds United holds a power score advantage of 4.9 points over West Ham United in this fixture.
  • Form: Leeds United demonstrates stronger recent form with a score of 28.83 compared to West Ham United's 12.44.
  • Squad: Leeds United is identified as the stronger team overall based on available metrics.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency data remains unavailable for both West Ham United and Leeds United ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition play analysis shows limited specific insights due to data constraints in the current preview.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance indicators carry low confidence levels with proxy data utilized for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power advantage metrics highlight a narrow edge for the visiting side in overall team strength.
  • Market: West Ham United 53.5% (Δ+1.9%) | Draw 23.6% (Δ-0.3%) | Leeds United 22.9% (Δ-1.6%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
VS
Leeds United D. Farke
D. Farke
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Newcastle United Rank: 89 L
Arsenal Rank: 98 L
Brentford Rank: 88 L
Everton Rank: 87 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 85 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 91 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Manchester United Rank: 92 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home West Ham United
53.48%
Draw
23.63%
Away Leeds United
22.89%

Movement

Changes since opening
West Ham United
+1.92%
Draw
-0.28%
Leeds United
-1.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.9
87.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
West Ham United
Leeds United
Power Score
82.9
87.83
League Position
18
14
Global Rank
44
20

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Leeds United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) West Ham United Leeds United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 17 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

West Ham United WHU Home
17 matches
Leeds United LEE Away
Match Record
6
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
25
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:09:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
M. Hermansen
Denmark
1 M. Hermansen
A. Disasi
France
4 A. Disasi
K. Mavropanos
Greece
15 K. Mavropanos
J. Todibo
France
25 J. Todibo
A. Wan-Bissaka
DR Congo
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
T. Souček
Czech Republic
28 T. Souček
M. Espanha Fernandes
Portugal
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
E. Diouf
Senegal
12 E. Diouf
J. Bowen
England
20 J. Bowen
C. Summerville
Netherlands
7 C. Summerville
C. Wilson
England
9 C. Wilson
K. Darlow
Wales
26 K. Darlow
S. Bornauw
Belgium
23 S. Bornauw
J. Bijol
Slovenia
15 J. Bijol
J. Rodon
Wales
6 J. Rodon
J. Justin
England
24 J. Justin
A. Tanaka
Japan
22 A. Tanaka
E. Ampadu
Wales
4 E. Ampadu
D. James
Wales
7 D. James
B. Aaronson
United States
11 B. Aaronson
S. Longstaff
England
8 S. Longstaff
D. Calvert-Lewin
England
9 D. Calvert-Lewin

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
London Stadium
Capacity
59623
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adam Nunn
Steve Martin
Anthony Taylor
Gary Beswick

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.72
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Defender
6.74
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender
6.72
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Defender
7
25
Jean-Clair Todibo
Jean-Clair Todibo Defender
6.58
29
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Defender
6.72
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Midfielder
6.87
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Midfielder
7.03
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Midfielder
6.99
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Midfielder
6.76
9
Callum Wilson
Callum Wilson Attacker
6.65
Referee : Anthony Taylor

Starting XI ▼

26
Karl Darlow
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper
6.87
6
Joe Rodon
Joe Rodon Defender
6.76
7
Daniel James
Daniel James Defender
6.54
15
Jaka Bijol
Jaka Bijol Defender
6.92
23
Sebastiaan Bornauw
Sebastiaan Bornauw Defender
6.71
24
James Justin
James Justin Defender
6.91
4
Ethan Ampadu
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder
7
8
Sean Longstaff
Sean Longstaff Midfielder
6.94
11
Brenden Aaronson
Brenden Aaronson Midfielder
6.74
22
Ao Tanaka
Ao Tanaka Midfielder
6.81
9
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Dominic Calvert-Lewin Attacker
6.92

CONCLUSION

The London Stadium encounter promises a competitive Premier League test between sides with distinct strengths and positional realities. West Ham United seeks to harness home conditions to offset Leeds United's superior form and power ratings. Midfield battles and defensive organization will likely shape the flow as both teams pursue vital points in their respective campaigns. Limited efficiency and transition details leave room for in-game adjustments that could swing momentum. Set piece situations warrant monitoring given the low confidence data available. Ultimately this matchup highlights contrasting trajectories within the league table and offers a platform for either side to gain ground through disciplined execution and timely interventions.