Vllaznia Shkodër vs Malisheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadiumi Loro Boriçi Thu, 9 Jul - 6:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Vllaznia Shkodër Vllaznia Shkodër
2 1
Malisheva Malisheva
Full Time Thu, 9 Jul 6:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Klinti Qato - 37'
Emiljano Musta - 56'
Goal
|
Goal
Laurent Xhylani - 3'
|
Red Card Andreas Skovgaard 54'

CONTEXT

Vllaznia Shkodër faced Malisheva in the first leg of their two-legged tie. The home side claimed a 2-1 victory with the score level at 1-1 after the first half. Malisheva held a slight edge in possession at 53 percent compared to 47 percent for Vllaznia Shkodër. Despite being labeled the stronger side entering the match Malisheva suffered a red card that shaped the second half. Vllaznia Shkodër capitalized on the numerical advantage to secure the narrow win. The outcome showed minimal structural deviation from pre-match indicators and remained consistent with overall market alignment. Second half adjustments centered on the red card distortion that limited Malisheva options.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Malisheva. Vllaznia Shkodër showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to missing expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true with the final result matching indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable given the lack of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact featured a red card issued to Malisheva after halftime.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion drove second half adjustments and limited away options.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Avazashvili
G. Avazashvili
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Varamishvili
L. Varamishvili
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Gogokhia
G. Gogokhia
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Revazashvili
K. Revazashvili
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Vllaznia Shkodër E. Martini
E. Martini
VS
Malisheva T. Brdarić
T. Brdarić
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vllaznia Shkodër
96.05%
Draw
3.31%
Away Malisheva
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vllaznia Shkodër
+0.87%
Draw
-0.87%
Malisheva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
46.23
52.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
Power Score
46.23
52.35
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
913
750

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Vllaznia Shkodër Opponent-weighted form score
Malisheva Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Vllaznia Shkodër

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Malisheva

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vllaznia Shkodër ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malisheva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
45.00
22.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.55
45.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vllaznia Shkodër Efficiency Index
vs
Malisheva Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vllaznia Shkodër ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malisheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Vllaznia Shkodër
vs
Malisheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vllaznia Shkodër Malisheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Vllaznia Shkodër
Malisheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Malisheva had peak pressure around 4'.
  • Malisheva started the game with stronger pressure.
Vllaznia Shkodër Pressure Malisheva Pressure
Pressure Index: Malisheva reached the top pressure at 4' (56.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vllaznia Shkodër Vllaznia Shkodër Home
0 matches
Malisheva Malisheva Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:56:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
A. Jukaj
Albania
12 A. Jukaj
E. Gurishta
Albania
2 E. Gurishta
J. Čeliković
Bosnia and Herzegovina
4 J. Čeliković
G. Pusi
Albania
3 G. Pusi
E. Musta
Substitution
Albania
29 E. Musta
K. Qato
Albania
25 K. Qato
C. Dros
Moldova
6 C. Dros
E. Murataj
Substitution
Belgium
11 E. Murataj
A. Ara
Substitution
19 A. Ara
B. Balaj
Albania
9 (C) B. Balaj
R. Toma
Albania
22 R. Toma
I. Avdyli
Kosovo
1 I. Avdyli
A. Skovgaard
Denmark
27 A. Skovgaard
D. Kryeziu
Kosovo
5 (C) D. Kryeziu
D. Vitija
Kosovo
30 D. Vitija
A. Veliu
Kosovo
2 A. Veliu
B. Ferati
Macedonia
6 B. Ferati
18
18
A. Pira
Kosovo
20 A. Pira
L. Xhylani
Substitution
Kosovo
10 L. Xhylani
D. Ibishi
Substitution
Macedonia
99 D. Ibishi
K. Uka
Kosovo
7 K. Uka

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 09, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadiumi Loro Boriçi
Capacity
1200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Giorgi Avazashvili
Levan Varamishvili
Giorgi Gogokhia
Koba Revazashvili

Statistics

Possession
Vllaznia Shkodër
53%
Malisheva
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
9 Shots 4
83 Dangerous attacks 59
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 10
15 Free kicks 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

106 Ball Safe 99
14 Goal Attempts 5
3 Substitutions 3
20 Throwins 16
1 Assists 0
2 Injuries 2

Attacking

130 Attacks 118

Discipline

0 Offsides 6
20 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Starting XI

12
Aron Jukaj
Aron Jukaj Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Erdenis Gurishta
Erdenis Gurishta Defender
6.25
3
Gledjan Pusi
Gledjan Pusi Defender
6.25
4
J. Čeliković
J. Čeliković Defender
6.26
29
Emiljano Musta
Emiljano Musta Defender
6.25
Emiljano Musta
88'
6
Cristian Dros
Cristian Dros Midfielder
6.37
25
Klinti Qato
Klinti Qato Midfielder
6.37
9
Bekim Balaj
Bekim Balaj (C) Attacker
6.46
11
Edon Murataj
Edon Murataj Attacker
6.46
Edon Murataj
80'
19
Aris Ara
Aris Ara Attacker
6.46
27
Gerald Kubazi
Gerald Kubazi
Attacker46'
22
Rrok Toma
Rrok Toma Attacker
6.46
Referee : Giorgi Avazashvili

Starting XI

1
Ilir Avdyli
Ilir Avdyli Goalkeeper
5.89
2
Arlind Veliu
Arlind Veliu Defender
6.05
5
Dreni Kryeziu
Dreni Kryeziu (C) Defender
6.05
20
Arbër Pira
Arbër Pira Defender
6.05
27
Andreas Skovgaard
Andreas Skovgaard Defender
6.12
6
Besnik Ferati
Besnik Ferati Midfielder
6.27
7
Kreshnik Uka
Kreshnik Uka Midfielder
6.27
10
Laurent Xhylani
Laurent Xhylani Midfielder
6.47
8
Mark Bushaj
Mark Bushaj
Midfielder84'
6.5
18
Valjmir Nafiu Midfielder
30
Donart Vitija
Donart Vitija Midfielder
6.27
99
Dzemal Ibishi
Dzemal Ibishi Attacker
6.42
Dzemal Ibishi
64'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sokol Uldedaj
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
Sokol Uldedaj Emiljano Musta
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Gledjan Pusi
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
85'
84'
Event
Mark Bushaj Laurent Xhylani
5th Substitution
Event
Klajti Halili Edon Murataj
4th Substitution
80'
64'
Event
Vüsal Isgandarli Valjmir Nafiu
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Keslin Shani Dzemal Ibishi
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Valjmir Nafiu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Thomas Brdaric
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Emiljano Musta
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
54'
Event
Andreas Skovgaard
Professional foul last man / 1st Redcard
Event
Gerald Kubazi Aris Ara
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Klinti Qato
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
37'
35'
Event
Dzemal Ibishi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Erdenis Gurishta
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'
3'
Event
Laurent Xhylani
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Sokol Uldedaj.
88
Update Update
On Sokol Uldedaj, off Emiljano Musta.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
84
Substitution Substitution
Mark Bushaj is substituted off for Laurent Xhylani.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Klajti Halili comes on for Edon Murataj.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
Keslin Shani is on, and Dzemal Ibishi is off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Vusal Isgandarli comes on for Valmir Nafiu.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Valmir Nafiu.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Emiljano Musta scores, making it 2-1.
55
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Andreas Skovgaard.
46
Update Update
Gerald Kubazi comes on for Aris Ara.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dzemal Ibishi receives a yellow card.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Erdenis Gurishta.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Laurent Xhylani scores, making it 0-1.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vllaznia Shkodër 2-1 Malisheva. Structural assessment: Vllaznia Shkodër exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.