Vitória vs Vasco da Gama preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Serie A
VitóriaVTO
1 0
Vasco da GamaVAG
Full Time
Round 19 Regular Season
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Vitoria hosted Vasco da Gama in a match that finished 1-0 to the home side after a scoreless first half. Possession was evenly split at 50 percent for each team. Vitoria entered as the stronger side and claimed the three points despite recording lower expected goals at 0.66 against Vasco da Gama's 0.85. The result therefore diverged from the underlying performance indicators. No red cards were issued during the contest. The single goal proved decisive in separating the sides on the day. Overall the encounter remained low scoring with both teams showing measured approaches in the second period.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vitória recorded a significant 100 percent structural deviation in the final outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
  • xG alignment: Outcome was inconsistent with xG as the home side won despite lower expected goals.
  • Market alignment: Result stayed aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals finished at 0.66 for Vitória and 0.85 for Vasco da Gama.
  • Event impact: Match ended 1-0 after a 0-0 halftime with no major disruptive events.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no disciplinary distortion to the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Delgado Candançan
M. Delgado Candançan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Cataneo Ribeiro Da Costa
M. Cataneo Ribeiro Da Costa
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Alves de Souza
R. Alves de Souza
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Candido Alves
R. Candido Alves
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
VS
Vasco da Gama P. dos Santos Martins Silva
P. dos Santos Martins Silva
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.11
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Santos Rank: 63 L
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 D
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Athletico PR Rank: 63 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 63 L
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Internacional Rank: 63 L
Athletico PR Rank: 63 W
Flamengo Rank: 75 D
Corinthians Rank: 66 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.13
60.38
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
Power Score
61.13
60.38
League Position
13
17
Global Rank
499
517

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vitória — Opponent-weighted form score
Vasco da Gama — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Vasco da Gama

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vitória

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Vasco da Gama

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vitória ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Vasco da Gama
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.37
25.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.41
26.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vitória +0.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Vasco da Gama -0.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vitória
vs
Vasco da Gama
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vitória Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
12%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.08 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vitória Vasco da Gama
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
12%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.08
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vitória
vs
Vasco da Gama
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vitória Vasco da Gama
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vitória 0.41
Vasco da Gama 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vitória Vasco da Gama
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vitória 0.00
Vasco da Gama 0.03
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VAG had peak pressure around 69'.
  • VAG started the game with stronger pressure.
VTO Pressure VAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VAG reached the top pressure at 69' (82.45).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória VTO Home
4 matches
Vasco da Gama VAG Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
6
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:04:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 19 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Capacity
30618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matheus Delgado Candançan
Miguel Cataneo Ribeiro Da Costa
Rafael Tadeu Alves de Souza
Ronei Candido Alves

Statistics

Possession
VTO
50%
VAG
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 6
41 Dangerous attacks 42
50 Possession 50
3 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 12

Match Overview

63 Ball Safe 66
8 Goal Kicks 6
9 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 6
24 Throwins 18
10 Successful Headers 18
1 Injuries 2
14 Dribble Attempts 27
5 Successful Dribbles 7
36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 26

Attacking

90 Attacks 116
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

56 Long Passes 40
385 Passes 394
298 Successful Passes 326
77 Successful Passes Percentage 83
10 Key Passes 9
24 Successful Long Passes 11
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

Defensive

3 Saves 5
24 Tackles 15
11 Interceptions 7
53 Duels Won 54

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 14
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Matheus Delgado Candançan

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo Goalkeeper
6.73
13
Ramon
Ramon Defender
6.93
25
Cacá
Cacá Defender
7.15
36
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido Defender
6.89
83
Jamerson
Jamerson Defender
7.29
2
Emanuel Brítez
Emanuel Brítez
Defender78'
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez Midfielder
6.93
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia Midfielder
7.67
23
Fabri
Fabri
Attacker78'
33
Erick
Erick Midfielder
7.02
7
Marinho
Marinho
Attacker77'
44
Baralhas
Baralhas (C) Midfielder
7.12
88
Zé Vitor
Zé Vitor Midfielder
6.45
8
Tomás Pochettino
Tomás Pochettino
Midfielder39'
6.42
91
Renê
Renê Attacker
6.53
79
Renato Kayzer
Renato Kayzer
Attacker63'
7.42
Referee : Matheus Delgado Candançan

Starting XI ▼

1
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
7.03
2
José Luis Rodríguez
José Luis Rodríguez Defender
7.26
30
Robert Renan
Robert Renan Defender
6.51
46
Carlos Cuesta
Carlos Cuesta Defender
6.51
66
Cuiabano
Cuiabano Defender
6.99
10
Johan Rojas
Johan Rojas Midfielder
6.64
11
Andrés Gómez
Andrés Gómez
Attacker59'
6.88
17
Nuno Moreira
Nuno Moreira Midfielder
6.86
7
David
David
Attacker78'
23
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes (C) Midfielder
6.54
3
Tchê Tchê
Tchê Tchê
Midfielder78'
28
Adson
Adson Midfielder
6.32
18
Marino Hinestroza
Marino Hinestroza
Attacker73'
88
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros Midfielder
6.54
77
Claudio Spinelli
Claudio Spinelli Attacker
6.37
20
Brenner
Brenner
Attacker59'
6.58

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Emanuel Brítez → Jamerson
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Fabri → Diego Tarzia
9th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
David → Nuno Moreira
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Tchê Tchê → Thiago Mendes 
10th Substitution
Event
Marinho  → Erick
6th Substitution
77'
73'
Event
Marino Hinestroza → Adson
5th Substitution
Event
Renato Kayzer
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
69'
Event
Renato Kayzer → Renê
4th Substitution
63'
59'
Event
Brenner → Claudio Spinelli
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Andrés Gómez → Johan Rojas
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Tomás Pochettino → Zé Vitor
1st Substitution
39'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Cauan Barros takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Pochettino takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Update Update
Offside.
83
Attempt Attempt
Fabricio Santos takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
78
Update Update
David Correa da Fonseca is on, and Nuno Moreira is off.
78
Update Update
On Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche, off Thiago Henrique Mendes Ribeiro.
78
Update Update
Emanuel Britez comes on for Jamerson Santos de Jesus.
78
Update Update
Fabricio Santos comes on for Diego Tarzia.
78
Attempt Attempt
David Correa da Fonseca takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
77
Update Update
Mario Sergio Santos Costa replaces Marinho, who comes off for Erick de Arruda Serafim.
73
Update Update
Marino Hinestroza Angulo comes on for Adson Ferreira Soares.
71
Attempt Attempt
Nuno Moreira takes a right-footed shot but misses.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Renato Kayser De Souza takes a right-footed shot.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Renato Kayser De Souza scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Diego Tarzia.
69
Attempt Attempt
Renato Kayser De Souza takes a shot with his head, but it is saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Cuiabano takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz takes a header but misses the shot.
63
Update Update
Renato Kayser De Souza is on, and Rene Sousa is off.
61
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Andres Gomez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
Carlos Andres Gomez is on, and Johan Rojas Echavarria is off.
59
Update Update
Brenner Souza da Silva replaces Claudio Spinelli.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Erick de Arruda Serafim takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Attempt Attempt
Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Diego Tarzia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Johan Rojas Echavarria takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Baralhas dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Erick de Arruda Serafim with his right foot is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Erick de Arruda Serafim takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
38
Update Update
Tomas Pochettino is on, and Ze Vitor is off.
36
Attempt Attempt
Gabriel Baralhas dos Santos takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
29
Attempt Attempt
Claudio Spinelli takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Nuno Moreira's right-footed shot is blocked.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Diego Tarzia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Diego Tarzia takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Nuno Moreira's right-footed shot is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Nuno Moreira takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Cuiabano takes a left-footed shot but misses.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Matheus Delgado Candancan.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vitória 1-0 Vasco da Gama. Structural assessment: Vitória exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.