Vitória vs Palmeiras preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Manoel Barradas Today - 12:30 AM
Serie A
Vitória VTO
Palmeiras PAL
KICKOFF : Today - 12:30 AM
Round 21 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vitória welcomes Palmeiras to Estádio Manoel Barradas for a Serie A regular season clash in 2026. The home side currently occupies thirteenth place in the domestic standings while the visitors sit at the summit. Palmeiras carries a clear overall power advantage of 14.9 points and is recognized as the stronger unit. Form readings also favor the away team which posts 25.83 against Vitória's 14.33. Both clubs enter the fixture with limited recent outing data available yet the positional gap and power differential set a clear baseline for expectations. The match offers an opportunity to observe how league leaders manage an away assignment against a mid-table opponent.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Palmeiras leads the league in first place while Vitória sits thirteenth domestically.
  • Form: Palmeiras holds a form score of 25.83 compared with Vitória's 14.33.
  • Squad: Palmeiras is identified as the stronger team with a 14.9 point power advantage.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both sides ahead of the fixture.
  • Transition: Transitional indicators show balanced profiles for the two teams.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence and relies on proxy values.
  • xVariable: Power scores stand at 61.78 for Vitória and 76.68 for Palmeiras.
  • Market: Projection split: Vitória 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Palmeiras 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
VS
Palmeiras A. Moreira Ferreira
A. Moreira Ferreira
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.26
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 68 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 W
Santos Rank: 63 L
Internacional Rank: 63 W
Bragantino Rank: 65 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Coritiba Rank: 59 W
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
Flamengo Rank: 76 W
Cruzeiro Rank: 68 D
Remo Rank: 59 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vitória
0%
Draw
0%
Away Palmeiras
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
61.78
76.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vitória
Palmeiras
Power Score
61.78
76.68
League Position
13
1
Global Rank
513
128

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vitória — Opponent-weighted form score
Palmeiras — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Palmeiras

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória VTO Home
5 matches
Palmeiras PAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:05:58+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Assis Arcanjo
1 L. Assis Arcanjo
J. Santos de Jesus
83 J. Santos de Jesus
C. de Menezes Júnior
25 C. de Menezes Júnior
L. Candido de Almeida
36 L. Candido de Almeida
R. Ramos Lima
13 R. Ramos Lima
C. de Jesus Gonçalves
95 C. de Jesus Gonçalves
L. Martínez
6 L. Martínez
E. de Arruda Serafim
33 E. de Arruda Serafim
G. Baralhas dos Santos
44 G. Baralhas dos Santos
D. Tarzia
12 D. Tarzia
C. de Sousa Ferreira
91 C. de Sousa Ferreira
C. dos Santos Pereira
1 C. dos Santos Pereira
A. Barboza Ullúa
2 A. Barboza Ullúa
M. Cerqueira Paim
26 M. Cerqueira Paim
G. Gómez Portillo
15 G. Gómez Portillo
J. Piquerez Moreira
22 J. Piquerez Moreira
A. Hoelgebaum Pereira
8 A. Hoelgebaum Pereira
M. Rodrigues Freitas
17 M. Rodrigues Freitas
A. Giay
4 A. Giay
J. Arias Andrade
11 J. Arias Andrade
A. Andrade Elias
40 A. Andrade Elias
V. Roque Ferreira
9 V. Roque Ferreira

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 21 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Capacity
30618
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alex Gomes Stefano
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Carlos Henrique Alves de Lima Filho
Pierry Dias dos Santos

Expected Lineup

Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo Goalkeeper
7.06
91
Renê
Renê Centre Forward
7.05
83
Jamerson
Jamerson Right Back
6.72
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez Defensive Midfield
6.73
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia Left Wing
6.71
13
Ramon
Ramon Left Back
6.71
25
Cacá
Cacá Right Back
6.74
44
Baralhas
Baralhas Attacking Midfield
7
33
Erick
Erick Right Wing
6.99
36
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido Left Back
6.83
95
Caíque Gonçalves
Caíque Gonçalves Defensive Midfield
6.76
Referee : Alex Gomes Stefano

Starting XI ▼

1
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper
7.01
4
Agustín Giay
Agustín Giay Midfielder
6.84
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias Midfielder
7.07
40
Allan
Allan Midfielder
6.96
22
Joaquín Piquerez
Joaquín Piquerez Midfielder
6.92
9
Vitor Roque
Vitor Roque Centre Forward
7.1
2
Alexander Barboza
Alexander Barboza Left Back
6.73
8
Andreas Pereira
Andreas Pereira Central Midfield
7.26
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez Right Back
6.99
17
Marlon Freitas
Marlon Freitas Central Midfield
7.11
26
Murilo
Murilo Centre Back
6.94

CONCLUSION

Palmeiras arrives as the clear frontrunner with superior league position and overall power metrics that suggest control of proceedings at Estádio Manoel Barradas. Vitória will look to exploit home support and limit the visitors through organized defensive structure. The absence of detailed efficiency and set piece figures places emphasis on broader squad strength and current form trends. Palmeiras must convert its positional dominance into tangible results while remaining alert to counter opportunities. This encounter highlights the gap between top and mid table sides in the 2026 Serie A campaign.