Vitória vs Bahia preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Serie A
VitóriaVTO
0 2
BahiaBAH
Full Time
Round 24 Regular Season
|
Goal
Alejo Veliz - 67'
Jean Lucas - 90+7'

CONTEXT

In the encounter between Vitória and Bahia the final result stood at 0-2 with the away team claiming victory. The halftime score was tied at 0-0 reflecting an even first half. Bahia held a slight edge in possession at 53 percent to Vitória's 47 percent. Expected goals heavily favored Bahia at 3.39 against 0.67 for the hosts indicating a clear performance gap. The xG differential reached 2.72 highlighting the away side's control and chance creation. Bahia as the stronger team delivered the win in line with their overall dominance. No disciplinary actions in the form of red cards occurred during the game. The result aligned with the underlying metrics without notable distortions from external events.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Vitória 0-2 Bahia. Bahia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG metrics recorded.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: Bahia outperformed with 3.39 xG against Vitória's 0.67.
  • Event impact: No major events disrupted the flow of the match.
  • Red card distortion: The absence of red cards prevented any distortion in play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Claus
R. Claus
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Henrique Correa
R. Henrique Correa
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Neto Correa Farinha
T. Neto Correa Farinha
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Goulart
R. Goulart
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Vitória J. Ribeiro Ventura
J. Ribeiro Ventura
VS
Bahia R. Mücke Ceni
R. Mücke Ceni
1.3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.35
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Botafogo Rank: 66 W
Flamengo Rank: 76 L
Palmeiras Rank: 75 L
Remo Rank: 57 L
Botafogo Rank: 65 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Vasco da Gama Rank: 63 D
Fluminense Rank: 68 D
Corinthians Rank: 67 D
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 66 D
Chapecoense Rank: 53 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.29
63.17
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vitória
Bahia
Power Score
60.29
63.17
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
529
442

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vitória — Opponent-weighted form score
Bahia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Bahia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vitória

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Bahia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vitória ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Bahia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.85
56.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
56.70
35.85
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vitória -1.72 Efficiency Index
vs
Bahia +1.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vitória
Bahia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vitória
vs
Bahia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vitória Bahia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
41%
10%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.28 vs -0.33
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vitória Bahia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
10%
41%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.33 vs -0.28
Vitória
Bahia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vitória
vs
Bahia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vitória Bahia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vitória 0.25
Bahia 0.68
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vitória Bahia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vitória 0.05
Bahia 0.00
Vitória
Bahia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAH had peak pressure around 42'.
  • VTO started the game with stronger pressure.
VTO Pressure BAH Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BAH reached the top pressure at 42' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória VTO Home
5 matches
Bahia BAH Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
2
Draws
2
2
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
6
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-24T00:19:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Manoel Barradas
Capacity
30618
Attendance
30370
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Raphael Claus
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Thiago Henrique Neto Correa Farinha
Roger Goulart

Statistics

Possession
VTO
45%
BAH
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 7
8 Shots 12
57 Dangerous attacks 41
47 Possession 53
7 Corners 7
10 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 76
12 Goal Kicks 12
10 Goal Attempts 21
5 Substitutions 4
18 Throwins 12
1 Hit Woodwork 1
11 Successful Headers 20
0 Assists 2
1 Injuries 2
10 Dribble Attempts 28
2 Successful Dribbles 14
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50

Attacking

79 Attacks 97
0 Big Chances Missed 5

Possession

53 Long Passes 47
296 Passes 340
210 Successful Passes 278
71 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Key Passes 21
18 Successful Long Passes 22
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

6 Saves 2
20 Tackles 18
6 Interceptions 8
43 Duels Won 65

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 20
9 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Raphael Claus

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo (C) Goalkeeper
7.46
2
Emanuel Brítez
Emanuel Brítez Defender
6.45
98
Mateusinho
Mateusinho
Defender77'
6.44
13
Ramon
Ramon Defender
6.81
25
Cacá
Cacá Defender
6.88
36
Luan Cândido
Luan Cândido Defender
6.35
10
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho Midfielder
6.59
79
Renato Kayzer
Renato Kayzer
Attacker70'
6.55
12
Diego Tarzia
Diego Tarzia Midfielder
6.76
8
Tomás Pochettino
Tomás Pochettino
Midfielder46'
6.98
15
Walace
Walace Midfielder
6.97
6
Emmanuel Martínez
Emmanuel Martínez
Midfielder46'
6.29
33
Erick
Erick Midfielder
6.12
7
Marinho
Marinho
Attacker63'
6.53
88
Zé Vitor
Zé Vitor Midfielder
7.04
91
Renê
Renê Attacker
6.57
Referee : Raphael Claus

Starting XI ▼

1
Ronaldo
Ronaldo Goalkeeper
7.17
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
Santiago Ramos Mingo Defender
7.13
31
Román Gómez
Román Gómez Defender
7.21
33
David Duarte
David Duarte Defender
7.88
46
Luciano Juba
Luciano Juba Defender
8.3
5
Nicolás Acevedo
Nicolás Acevedo (C) Midfielder
7.11
11
Rodrigo Nestor
Rodrigo Nestor Midfielder
7.38
15
Michel Araújo
Michel Araújo
Midfielder82'
7.39
14
Erick
Erick Midfielder
7.1
6
Jean Lucas
Jean Lucas
Midfielder71'
7.16
9
Alejo Veliz
Alejo Veliz Attacker
7.68
27
Everaldo
Everaldo
Attacker90+4'
16
Erick Pulga
Erick Pulga Attacker
7.79
77
Ruan Pablo
Ruan Pablo
Attacker82'
6.46
99
Cristian Olivera
Cristian Olivera Attacker
6.91

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cacá
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+7'
90+7'
Event
Jean Lucas
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+7'
Event
Jean Lucas
5th Yellowcard
90+4'
Event
Everaldo → Alejo Veliz
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Michel Araújo → Rodrigo Nestor
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Ruan Pablo → Erick Pulga
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Erick Pulga
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mateusinho → Emanuel Brítez
6th Substitution
77'
71'
Event
Jean Lucas → Erick
5th Substitution
Event
Renato Kayzer → Matheuzinho
4th Substitution
70'
67'
Event
Alejo Veliz
Header / 1st Goal
Event
Marinho  → Erick
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Emmanuel Martínez → Walace
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Tomás Pochettino → Diego Tarzia
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Rodrigo Nestor
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Matheuzinho
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
26'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 0-2.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira with his left foot results in a goal.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira scores to make it 0-2, assisted by Michel Araujo.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a header shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Update Update
Everaldo Stum is on, and Alejo Veliz is off.
90
Attempt Attempt
Michel Araujo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
89
Attempt Attempt
R. Rene Sousa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
R. Rene Sousa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Update Update
Carlos de Menezes Júnior takes a header, but it's blocked.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Ruan Pablo Barbarosa Sousa comes on for Erick Da Costa Farias.
80
Update Update
Michel Araujo comes on for Rodrigo Nestor.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Erick Da Costa Farias.
75
Update Update
Matheus Silva Duarte, also known as Matheusinho, comes on for Emanuel Britez.
74
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Olivera's right-footed shot is saved.
74
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Olivera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Olivera takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ze Vitor Head Shot Blocked
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Substitution Substitution
Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira is substituted for Erick de Arruda Serafim.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Renato Kayser De Souza comes on for Matheusinho.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alejo Veliz scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Erick Da Costa Farias.
64
Substitution Substitution
Jean Lucas De Souza Oliveira is substituted on for Erick de Arruda Serafim.
63
Update Update
Renato Kayser De Souza comes on for Matheusinho.
63
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Pochettino takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Pochettino takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Substitution Substitution
Mario Sergio Santos Costa comes on for Marinho, while Erick de Arruda Serafim is substituted off.
48
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Nestor takes a left-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Veliz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Attempt Attempt
Erick Da Costa Farias attempts a header, but it is saved.
46
Update Update
Leandro Emmanuel Martinez comes on for Diego Tarzia.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with a score of 0-0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Erick Da Costa Farias takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Olivera takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
39
Attempt Attempt
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho attempts a header but misses the shot.
36
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
34
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Veliz takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Veliz takes a shot with his head but misses.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
David de Duarte Macedo takes a shot, but it's saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Luciano Batista da Silva Junior takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matheusinho receives a yellow card.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
23
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Nestor takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Veliz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Walace Souza Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Erick Da Costa Farias takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Nestor takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Rene Sousa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Ze Vitor takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Ramon Ramos Lima takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
9
Attempt Attempt
Erick Luis Conrado Carvalho takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
5
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Nestor takes a right-footed shot but misses.
4
Attempt Attempt
Erick Da Costa Farias takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Acevedo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejo Veliz is blocked.
3
Update Update
Offside.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Raphael Claus.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vitória 0-2 Bahia. Structural assessment: Bahia exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.