Vitória Guimarães vs Arouca preview

Portugal flag 2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Sat, 8 Aug - 5:00 PM
Liga Portugal
Vitória GuimarãesVSC
0 1
AroucaFCA
Full Time Sat, 8 Aug 5:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
|
Goal
|
Second yellow card Diogo Monteiro 90+3'

CONTEXT

Vitória Guimarães faced Arouca in a league encounter that concluded with an unexpected 0-1 result in favor of the away side. The match remained scoreless at halftime with both teams tied at 0-0. Despite controlling 58 percent of the possession and creating chances worth 2.38 in expected goals, the home team could not find the net. Arouca, with only 0.31 xG and 42 percent possession, benefited from a red card issued to one of their players yet still managed to score the decisive goal. This outcome highlighted a significant deviation for the visitors who were not favored to win. The game featured a notable structural change after the dismissal in the second half. Vitória Guimarães as the stronger team on paper struggled to overcome the numerical advantage they gained but ultimately fell short.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Vitória Guimarães 0-1 Arouca. Arouca showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: The final result did not align with xG as the home side created far more chances.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with market expectations despite the xG disparity.
  • xG expectations: Vitória Guimarães posted 2.38 xG yet failed to score across the full match.
  • Event impact: The only goal arrived in the second half following the key disciplinary event.
  • Red card distortion: The away team red card introduced clear distortion to second half proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Bertolo Nogueira
M. Bertolo Nogueira
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Duarte Brás
P. Duarte Brás
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Figueiredo Pires
N. Figueiredo Pires
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Dias Torres
M. Dias Torres
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Vitória Guimarães T. Carvalho Margarido
T. Carvalho Margarido
VS
Arouca V. Freire De Seabra
V. Freire De Seabra
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.46
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nacional Rank: 68 L
Casa Pia Rank: 65 L
Sporting CP Rank: 90 L
Rio Ave Rank: 67 W
Gil Vicente Rank: 71 W
AVS Rank: 65 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 67 W
Gil Vicente Rank: 71 W
Santa Clara Rank: 70 D
Alverca Rank: 69 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 65 W
Sporting Braga Rank: 83 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 2 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.93
70.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vitória Guimarães
Arouca
Power Score
71.93
70.8
League Position
17
2
Global Rank
224
253

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score
Arouca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Guimarães Arouca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vitória Guimarães

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Arouca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vitória Guimarães ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Arouca
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.62
10.83
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.83
48.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vitória Guimarães +3.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Arouca -3.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vitória Guimarães
Arouca
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vitória Guimarães
vs
Arouca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vitória Guimarães Arouca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
5%
20%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.11 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vitória Guimarães Arouca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
20%
5%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -0.11
Vitória Guimarães
Arouca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vitória Guimarães
vs
Arouca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vitória Guimarães Arouca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vitória Guimarães 0.29
Arouca 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vitória Guimarães Arouca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vitória Guimarães 0.09
Arouca 0.00
Vitória Guimarães
Arouca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VSC had peak pressure around 67'.
  • VSC started the game with stronger pressure.
VSC Pressure FCA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VSC reached the top pressure at 67' (94.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória Guimarães VSC Home
4 matches
Arouca FCA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
6
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:32:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Capacity
30008
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Miguel Bertolo Nogueira
Paulo Ricardo Duarte Brás
Nuno Filipe Figueiredo Pires
Márcio André Dias Torres

Statistics

Possession
VSC
60%
FCA
40%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 1
84 Dangerous attacks 11
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 2
7 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

70 Ball Safe 81
1 Goal Kicks 19
17 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
19 Throwins 13
14 Successful Headers 9
0 Assists 1
6 Dribble Attempts 3
6 Successful Dribbles 3
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27

Attacking

140 Attacks 62

Possession

43 Long Passes 28
497 Passes 379
431 Successful Passes 298
87 Successful Passes Percentage 79
17 Key Passes 3

Defensive

1 Saves 3
12 Tackles 10
14 Interceptions 9
44 Duels Won 39

Build-up

39 Total Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Starting XI ▼

48
Oliwier Zych
Oliwier Zych Goalkeeper
6.48
2
Maga
Maga Defender
6.46
23
Tony Strata
Tony Strata
Defender69'
6.54
4
Óscar Rivas
Óscar Rivas Defender
6.52
13
João Mendes
João Mendes Defender
6.93
28
Thiago Balieiro
Thiago Balieiro Defender
7.33
7
Oumar Camara
Oumar Camara Midfielder
6.1
8
Gonçalo Nogueira
Gonçalo Nogueira Midfielder
7.05
6
Matija Mitrovic
Matija Mitrovic
Midfielder78'
6.62
11
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva Midfielder
7.88
44
Lohann Doucet
Lohann Doucet
Midfielder90+6'
16
Beni Mukendi
Beni Mukendi Midfielder
7.25
20
Samu
Samu (C) Midfielder
7.07
24
A. Ndoye
A. Ndoye Attacker
6.58
17
Miguel Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira
Midfielder78'
6.35
Referee : Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Starting XI ▼

12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Ignacio de Arruabarrena Goalkeeper
7.4
3
José Fontán
José Fontán Defender
7.76
15
Javi Sánchez
Javi Sánchez Defender
7.51
4
Diogo Monteiro
Diogo Monteiro
Defender73'
4.9
21
Mateo Flores
Mateo Flores Defender
6.5
18
Orest Lebedenko
Orest Lebedenko
Defender65'
6.43
28
Tiago Esgaio
Tiago Esgaio (C) Defender
7.51
6
Espen van Ee
Espen van Ee Midfielder
6.38
89
Pedro Santos
Pedro Santos
Midfielder69'
6.5
7
Naïs Djouahra
Naïs Djouahra Midfielder
7.3
8
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui Midfielder
6.96
14
Hyun-ju Lee
Hyun-ju Lee Midfielder
6.05
10
Pablo Gozálbez
Pablo Gozálbez
Midfielder70'
6.5
19
Alfonso Trezza
Alfonso Trezza Midfielder
6.4
17
Iván Barbero
Iván Barbero Attacker
7.19
23
Dylan Nandín
Dylan Nandín
Attacker65'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Lohann Doucet → Gustavo Silva
10th Substitution
90+6'
Event
Matija Mitrovic
5th Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
6th Yellowcard
90+6'
90+4'
Event
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
4th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Diogo Monteiro
1st Yellow/red Card
90+2'
Event
Orest Lebedenko
3rd Yellowcard
90'
Event
Diogo Monteiro
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Matija Mitrovic → Gonçalo Nogueira
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Miguel Nogueira → A. Ndoye
9th Substitution
78'
73'
Event
Diogo Monteiro → Javi Sánchez
7th Substitution
70'
Event
Pablo Gozálbez → Hyun-ju Lee
6th Substitution
Event
Tony Strata → Maga
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
5th Substitution
69'
69'
Event
Pedro Santos → Espen van Ee
4th Substitution
65'
Event
Orest Lebedenko → Mateo Flores
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Dylan Nandín → Iván Barbero
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Hyun-ju Lee
1st Yellowcard
53'
Event
Iván Barbero
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Lohann Doucet is on, and Gustavo Silva is off.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 0-1.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matija Mitrovic receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Diogo Monteiro.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
89
Update Update
Offside.
83
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Nogueira attempted a header but missed the shot.
81
Attempt Attempt
Tony Strata takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
79
Attempt Attempt
Nais Djouahra takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Update Update
Matija Mitrovic comes on for Goncalo Nogueira.
78
Attempt Attempt
Nais Djouahra takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Attempt Attempt
Alioune Ndoye takes a right-footed shot but misses.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
On Diogo Monteiro, off Javi Sanchez.
70
Substitution Substitution
Pedro Santos is substituted for Espen van Ee.
70
Update Update
Pablo Gozalbez Gilabert is on, and Lee Hyun-ju is off.
70
Update Update
Telmo Arcanjo comes on for Oumar Camara.
69
Update Update
Tony Strata replaces Miguel Magalhes.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
66
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Rivas Viondi takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
65
Update Update
Dylan Nandin comes on for Ivan Martinez Gonzalvez.
65
Update Update
Orest Lebedenko comes on for Mateo Flores.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lee Hyun-ju receives a yellow card.
63
Attempt Attempt
Alioune Ndoye attempts a header but misses the shot.
61
Attempt Attempt
Fabio Samuel Amorim Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Alioune Ndoye takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
Offside.
55
Attempt Attempt
Joao Mendes takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ivan Martinez Gonzalvez with his right foot results in a goal.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
52
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Esgaio attempts a header but misses the shot.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Update Update
Offside.
44
Attempt Attempt
Oumar Camara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Oumar Camara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Magalhes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
41
Update Update
Offside.
37
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Goncalo Nogueira attempts a header but misses the shot.
34
Attempt Attempt
Thiago Balieiro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva takes a right-footed shot but misses.
23
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Attempt Attempt
Oumar Camara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
15
Attempt Attempt
Alioune Ndoye attempts a header but misses the shot.
12
Attempt Attempt
Nais Djouahra takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Benedito Mambuene Mukendi takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Attempt Attempt
Oumar Camara takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Silva attempts a header but misses the shot.
2
Attempt Attempt
Alioune Ndoye attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Miguel Nogueira.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vitória Guimarães 0-1 Arouca. Structural assessment: Arouca exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.