Virtus vs Dila preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Europa Conference League
VirtusVirtus
1 0
DilaDIL
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 3
Elia Ciacci - 90+3'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Blankson Anoff 55'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Virtus 1–0 Dila. The result saw Virtus take the points. Virtus showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Virtus produced an 80 percent significant deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with team patterns.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded to evaluate result alignment.
  • Market alignment: The 1-0 result was not aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were unavailable for assessment.
  • Event impact: The 1-0 scoreline reflected second half adjustments.
  • Red card distortion: The red card to Dila created distortion in second half play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Bejtullahu
M. Bejtullahu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Zeqiri
E. Zeqiri
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Sekiraqa
F. Sekiraqa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Jashar
L. Jashar
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Virtus L. Bizzotto
L. Bizzotto
VS
Dila L. Korghalidze
L. Korghalidze
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dila Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Virtus Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Virtus
19.96%
Draw
22.5%
Away Dila
57.54%

Movement

Changes since opening
Virtus
-75.73%
Draw
+18.82%
Dila
+56.91%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Virtus
Dila
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Virtus — Opponent-weighted form score
Dila — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Virtus Dila

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Virtus

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dila

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Virtus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dila
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.03
27.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.21
33.03
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Virtus +0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Dila -0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Virtus
Dila
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Virtus ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dila
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Virtus Dila
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Virtus Dila
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Virtus
Dila
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Virtus
vs
Dila
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Virtus Dila
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Virtus 0.18
Dila 0.16
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Virtus Dila
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Virtus 0.00
Dila 0.01
Virtus
Dila
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Virtus had peak pressure around 77'.
  • Virtus started the game with stronger pressure.
Virtus Pressure DIL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Virtus reached the top pressure at 77' (58.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Virtus Virtus Home
1 matches
Dila DIL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:03:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 3
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Capacity
6664
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mervan Bejtullahu
Edmond Zeqiri
Fatmir Sekiraqa
Lirim Jashar

Statistics

Possession
Virtus
62%
DIL
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
7 Shots 3
96 Dangerous attacks 45
66 Possession 34
10 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

74 Ball Safe 66
10 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 5
32 Throwins 15

Attacking

107 Attacks 66

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
7 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Mervan Bejtullahu

Starting XI ▼

39
Alex Passaniti
Alex Passaniti Goalkeeper
6.5
15
Nicola Gori
Nicola Gori Defender
6.49
—
Nicola Gori
56'
23
Emilio Di Pollina Defender
34
Umberto De Lucia
Umberto De Lucia Defender
6.5
77
Vittorio Satalino
Vittorio Satalino
Attacker82'
6.5
10
Ivan Buonocunto
Ivan Buonocunto Midfielder
6.5
16
Jacopo Muggeo
Jacopo Muggeo
Midfielder82'
6.45
17
Alessandro Golinucci
Alessandro Golinucci (C) Midfielder
6.5
21
Armando Amati
Armando Amati Midfielder
6.61
45
Elia Ciacci
Elia Ciacci Midfielder
6.65
11
Tommaso Lombardi
Tommaso Lombardi Attacker
6.5
7
S. Santi
S. Santi
Attacker71'
6.5
90
Stefano Scappini
Stefano Scappini Attacker
6.5
93
Giammario Piscitella
Giammario Piscitella Attacker
6.5
20
Marco Gasperoni
Marco Gasperoni
Attacker71'
6.5
Referee : Mervan Bejtullahu

Starting XI ▼

1
Davit Kereselidze
Davit Kereselidze (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Tedo Kikabidze
Tedo Kikabidze Defender
6.5
33
Romaric Etou
Romaric Etou
Defender62'
6.26
13
João Araújo
João Araújo Defender
6.26
14
Giorgi Jalaghonia
Giorgi Jalaghonia Defender
6.25
7
F. Nyenetue
F. Nyenetue Midfielder
6.5
19
Badri Gogoberishvili
Badri Gogoberishvili
Midfielder46'
6.37
8
L. Menteshashvili
L. Menteshashvili Midfielder
6.5
25
Lamar Yarbrough
Lamar Yarbrough
Defender81'
6.26
10
Otar Parulava
Otar Parulava Midfielder
6.5
6
Claude Kouakou
Claude Kouakou
Midfielder70'
6.37
16
Mamin Sanyang
Mamin Sanyang Midfielder
6.37
17
Blankson Anoff
Blankson Anoff Midfielder
5.73
27
Alioune Oumar Tall
Alioune Oumar Tall Midfielder
6.37
22
Shota Shekiladze
Shota Shekiladze Attacker
6.5
9
Mohamed Kanté
Mohamed Kanté
Attacker46'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Elia Ciacci
Field Goal / 1st Goal
90+3'
Event
Elia Ciacci
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Jacopo Muggeo
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jacopo Muggeo → Ivan Buonocunto
9th Substitution
82'
Event
Vittorio Satalino → Umberto De Lucia
10th Substitution
82'
81'
Event
Lamar Yarbrough → L. Menteshashvili
8th Substitution
Event
Marco Gasperoni → Giammario Piscitella
6th Substitution
71'
Event
S. Santi → Tommaso Lombardi
7th Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Claude Kouakou → Otar Parulava
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Romaric Etou → Tedo Kikabidze
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Giorgi Jalaghonia
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ayoub Yahya → Nicola Gori
3rd Substitution
56'
55'
Event
Blankson Anoff
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
46'
Event
Badri Gogoberishvili → F. Nyenetue
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Mohamed Kanté → Shota Shekiladze
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Nicola Gori
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
24'
23'
Event
Blankson Anoff
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elia Ciacci receives a yellow card.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Elia Ciacci scores to make it 1-0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jacopo Muggeo receives a yellow card.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Substitution Substitution
Vittorio Satalino is substituted for Umberto De Lucia.
82
Update Update
Jacopo Muggeo is on, and Ivan Buonocunto is off.
81
Substitution Substitution
Lasha Menteshashvili is substituted off for Lamar Yarbrough.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
Simone Santi comes on for Tommaso Lombardi.
71
Update Update
Marco Gasperoni is on, and Giammario Piscitella is off.
70
Update Update
Claude Kouakou is on, and Otar Parulava is off.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Update Update
On, Ramaric Etou; Off, Tedo Kikabidze.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
56
Update Update
Ayoub Yahya comes on for Nicola Gori.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Blankson Anoff.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Kante is on, and Shota Shekiladze is off.
46
Substitution Substitution
Badri Gogoberishvili is substituted off for Franklin Nyenetue.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mervan Bejtullahu.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Virtus 1-0 Dila. Structural assessment: Virtus exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.