Villarreal vs Sevilla preview

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de la Cerámica
La Liga
VillarrealVIL
SevillaSEV
KICKOFF :
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Villarreal hosts Sevilla at the Estadio de la Cerámica in a key La Liga regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 term. The home side occupies 3rd place in the standings, towering over Sevilla's 13th position, with a commanding power score of 83.98 versus 74.01—a 10-point edge that underscores their structural dominance. Form metrics reveal a razor-thin margin, as Villarreal edges ahead at 24.28 compared to Sevilla's 23.17. Playing on familiar turf, the Yellow Submarine seeks to capitalize on this advantage and climb higher in the table. Sevilla must summon resilience to bridge the gap, potentially exploiting transitions despite limited advanced data. Set piece insights rely on low-confidence proxies without xG details, while efficiency remains uncharted. This matchup pits Villarreal's consistency against Sevilla's grit in a venue known for fervent support.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Villarreal dominates structurally with 3rd place versus Sevilla's 13th and a 10-point power score advantage.
  • Form: Villarreal's form score of 24.28 narrowly surpasses Sevilla's 23.17.
  • Squad: Villarreal's squad power rates at 83.98, exceeding Sevilla's 74.01.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided in available statistics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxies due to absent xG data for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-based variables remain inaccessible without add-on data.
  • Market: Villarreal 45.5% (Δ-0.1%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ-0.1%) | Sevilla 26.1% (Δ+0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Villarreal M. García Toral
M. García Toral
VS
Sevilla L. García Plaza
L. García Plaza
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mallorca Rank: 77 D
Levante Rank: 74 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 79 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 D
Athletic Club Rank: 78 W
Girona Rank: 75 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Espanyol Rank: 73 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 81 W
Osasuna Rank: 77 L
Levante Rank: 73 L
Atlético Madrid Rank: 88 W
Real Oviedo Rank: 71 L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 13 - 17
17
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Villarreal
45.45%
Draw
28.44%
Away Sevilla
26.11%

Movement

Changes since opening
Villarreal
-0.09%
Draw
-0.05%
Sevilla
+0.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
83.98
74.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Villarreal
Sevilla
Power Score
83.98
74.01
League Position
3
13
Global Rank
41
134

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Villarreal — Opponent-weighted form score
Sevilla — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Villarreal Sevilla

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 43 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Villarreal VIL Home
43 matches
Sevilla SEV Away
Match Record
13
Wins
17
13
Draws
13
17
Losses
13
Goals
58
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
58
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:05:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de la Cerámica
Capacity
23500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Lineup

Starting XI ▼

25
Arnau Tenas
Arnau Tenas Goalkeeper
6.69
4
Rafa Marín
Rafa Marín Defender
6.92
12
Renato Veiga
Renato Veiga Defender
6.7
15
Santiago Mouriño
Santiago Mouriño Defender
6.87
23
Sergi Cardona
Sergi Cardona Defender
6.78
11
Alfon González
Alfon González Midfielder
6.6
14
Santi Comesaña
Santi Comesaña Midfielder
6.88
16
Thomas Partey
Thomas Partey Midfielder
6.62
17
Tajon Buchanan
Tajon Buchanan Midfielder
6.75
7
Gerard Moreno
Gerard Moreno Attacker
7.11
21
Tani Oluwaseyi
Tani Oluwaseyi Attacker
6.5

Starting XI ▼

1
Odysseas Vlachodimos
Odysseas Vlachodimos Goalkeeper
6.74
2
José Ángel Carmona
José Ángel Carmona Defender
6.66
4
Kike Salas
Kike Salas Defender
6.92
12
Gabriel Suazo
Gabriel Suazo Defender
6.93
32
Andrés Castrín
Andrés Castrín Defender
6.88
6
Nemanja Gudelj
Nemanja Gudelj Midfielder
6.77
11
Rubén Vargas
Rubén Vargas Midfielder
6.87
18
Lucien Agoumé
Lucien Agoumé Midfielder
6.83
21
Chidera Ejuke
Chidera Ejuke Midfielder
6.82
7
Isaac Romero
Isaac Romero Attacker
6.56
17
Neal Maupay
Neal Maupay Attacker
6.79

CONCLUSION

Villarreal approaches this home fixture with clear superiority, leveraging their elevated league standing and power metrics to pressure Sevilla. The slight form differential favors the hosts, who thrive at Estadio de la Cerámica amid passionate crowds. Sevilla faces a stern test to overturn the structural chasm, relying on defensive solidity amid data gaps in set pieces and efficiency. Expect Villarreal to dictate tempo and secure vital points, reinforcing their top-four aspirations while exposing Sevilla's mid-table vulnerabilities in this uneven contest.