Víkingur vs Stjarnan preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar
Europa Conference League
VíkingurVíkingur
2 – 2
StjarnanSTJ
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

The encounter between Víkingur and Stjarnan ended in a 2-2 stalemate, serving as the opening leg of a two-match knockout series. The sides were inseparable at the interval, with neither able to find the net before the break. Possession was closely contested, as Víkingur registered 49 percent compared to Stjarnan's 51 percent. The absence of any dismissals ensured both teams maintained full complements throughout the ninety minutes. Pre-match assessments had positioned Víkingur as the stronger entity, yet the draw indicates a moderate structural deviation from those projections. Overall efficiency aligned closely with expected outputs for both participants. The result proved consistent with prevailing market signals. Such parity leaves the aggregate score level heading into the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The draw represented a moderate deviation for Víkingur from pre-match positioning.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected performance levels for both teams.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was recorded to assess alignment with the 2-2 outcome.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to unavailable metrics.
  • Event impact: No significant events disrupted the match flow beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to cause any distortion in team dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Koppel
K. Koppel
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Stolts
R. Stolts
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Vaas
T. Vaas
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Maalinn
R. Maalinn
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Víkingur A. Gregersen
A. Gregersen
VS
Stjarnan J. Hauksson
J. Hauksson
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Stjarnan Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Víkingur Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Víkingur
5.36%
Draw
89.29%
Away Stjarnan
5.36%

Movement

Changes since opening
Víkingur
-2.15%
Draw
+4.3%
Stjarnan
-2.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Víkingur
Stjarnan
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Víkingur — Opponent-weighted form score
Stjarnan — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Víkingur Stjarnan

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Víkingur

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Stjarnan

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Víkingur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Stjarnan
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.92
30.20
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.20
25.92
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Víkingur -0.35 Efficiency Index
vs
Stjarnan +0.35 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Víkingur
Stjarnan
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Víkingur ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Stjarnan
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Víkingur Stjarnan
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Víkingur Stjarnan
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Víkingur
Stjarnan
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Víkingur
vs
Stjarnan
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Víkingur Stjarnan
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Víkingur 0.12
Stjarnan 0.18
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Víkingur Stjarnan
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Víkingur 0.03
Stjarnan 0.03
Víkingur
Stjarnan
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Víkingur had peak pressure around 12'.
  • Víkingur started the game with stronger pressure.
Víkingur Pressure STJ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Víkingur reached the top pressure at 12' (53.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Víkingur Víkingur Home
1 matches
Stjarnan STJ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:02:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity
2500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Karl Koppel
Riivo Stolts
Thor Vaas
Rasmus Maalinn

Statistics

Possession
Víkingur
47%
STJ
53%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
6 Shots 8
74 Dangerous attacks 68
49 Possession 51
5 Corners 5
16 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

89 Ball Safe 117
5 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 5
29 Throwins 19
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

128 Attacks 162

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Karl Koppel

Starting XI ▼

1
Bárdur á Reynatröd
Bárdur á Reynatröd Goalkeeper
5.88
14
Ingi Jonhardsson
Ingi Jonhardsson Defender
6.16
18
Arnbjørn Svensson
Arnbjørn Svensson Defender
6.05
24
Jósef Ólavsson
Jósef Ólavsson Defender
6.05
29
Ingi Arngrímsson
Ingi Arngrímsson Defender
6.04
6
Arnór Brandsson
Arnór Brandsson Midfielder
6.37
77
K. í Bartalsstovu
K. í Bartalsstovu
Attacker80'
6.46
8
Aron Ellingsgaard
Aron Ellingsgaard Midfielder
6.27
19
Jákup Martin Jarnskor
Jákup Martin Jarnskor
Midfielder90'
10
Sölvi Vatnhamar
Sölvi Vatnhamar (C) Midfielder
6.47
17
Aron Benjaminsen
Aron Benjaminsen Midfielder
6.42
7
Jákup Johansen
Jákup Johansen Attacker
6.43
9
Jørgen Nielsen
Jørgen Nielsen Attacker
6.43
Referee : Karl Koppel

Starting XI ▼

12
Árni Snær Ólafsson
Árni Snær Ólafsson Goalkeeper
5.88
3
G. Kjeldsen
G. Kjeldsen Defender
6.04
4
Þorri Mar Þórisson
Þorri Mar Þórisson Defender
6.04
14
Bjarki Hauksson
Bjarki Hauksson
Defender87'
5
Guðmundur Kristjánsson
Guðmundur Kristjánsson (C) Defender
6.5
29
Alex Þór Hauksson
Alex Þór Hauksson
Midfielder17'
6.27
32
Örvar Logi Örvarsson
Örvar Logi Örvarsson Defender
6.04
7
Örvar Eggertsson
Örvar Eggertsson Midfielder
6.38
17
Haukur Orn Brink
Haukur Orn Brink
Midfielder87'
8
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson
Jóhann Árni Gunnarsson Midfielder
6.27
11
Birnir Snaer Ingason
Birnir Snaer Ingason Midfielder
6.47
10
Daníel Finns Matthíasson
Daníel Finns Matthíasson
Midfielder68'
6.5
18
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason Midfielder
6.47
23
Benedikt Warén
Benedikt Warén Midfielder
6.27
22
Emil Atlason
Emil Atlason Attacker
6.43
99
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason
Attacker87'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Aron Benjaminsen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Jákup Martin Jarnskor → Aron Ellingsgaard
7th Substitution
90'
Event
Ingi Arngrímsson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
87'
Event
Andri Rúnar Bjarnason → Emil Atlason
4th Substitution
87'
Event
Haukur Orn Brink → Örvar Eggertsson
5th Substitution
87'
Event
Bjarki Hauksson → Þorri Mar Þórisson
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Örvar Logi Örvarsson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
81'
Event
Gudmundur Baldvin Nokkvason
Field Goal / 4th Goal
Event
K. í Bartalsstovu → Arnór Brandsson
3rd Substitution
80'
70'
Event
Þorri Mar Þórisson
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
Event
Daníel Finns Matthíasson → Birnir Snaer Ingason
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Birnir Snaer Ingason
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
Event
Sölvi Vatnhamar
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Aron Benjaminsen
Field Goal / 1st Goal
59'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
G. Kjeldsen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
Event
Alex Þór Hauksson → Guðmundur Kristjánsson
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Update Update
On Jákup Martin Jarnskor, off Aron Ellingsgaard.
88
Update Update
Bjarki Hauksson is on, and Thorri Thorisson is off.
87
Update Update
On Haukur Orn Brink, off Orvar Eggertsson.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Ingi Arngrimsson.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gudmundur Nokkvason scores, making it 2-2.
81
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Gudmundur Nokkvason scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
68
Update Update
On comes Daniel Finns Matthiasson, off goes Birnir Snaer Ingason.
68
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Birnir Snaer Ingason scores, making it 2-1.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Solvi Vatnhamar scores, making it 2-0.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aron Benjaminsen scores to make it 1-0.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gustav Kjeldsen receives a yellow card.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Thor Hauksson comes on for Gudmundur Kristjansson.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Karl Koppel.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Víkingur 2-2 Stjarnan. Structural assessment: Víkingur exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.