VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen preview

Germany flag 2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany
MHPArena Sun, 26 Apr - 1:30 PM
Bundesliga
VfB StuttgartVFB
1 – 1
Werder BremenSVW
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 1:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal
Jens Stage - 18'

CONTEXT

VfB Stuttgart welcomed Werder Bremen to a match that concluded in a hard-fought 1-1 draw. The home side, considered the stronger team, trailed 0-1 at halftime after Werder Bremen capitalized on an early opportunity. Stuttgart responded assertively in the second half, holding 68% possession compared to Bremen's 32%, and relentlessly pressed forward to level the score. Despite their dominance, they failed to secure a victory, with Bremen's defense standing firm. No red cards disrupted play, and no significant second-half adjustments were evident. This result marks a moderate structural deviation for Stuttgart, who underdelivered on their expected edge. The draw reflects a resilient performance from the visitors, denying the hosts all three points in a balanced encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 9.5% structural deviation favored VfB Stuttgart.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was confirmed as true.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from null data.
  • Event impact: No events significantly impacted match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards caused zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
VfB Stuttgart S. Hoeneß
S. Hoeneß
VS
Werder Bremen D. Thioune
D. Thioune
1.78
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Bayern München Rank: L
Hamburger SV Rank: W
Borussia Dortmund Rank: L
FC Augsburg Rank: W
RB Leipzig Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamburger SV Rank: W
FC Köln Rank: L
RB Leipzig Rank: L
VfL Wolfsburg Rank: W
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: L
FC Union Berlin Rank: W
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 11 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home VfB Stuttgart
6.27%
Draw
90.48%
Away Werder Bremen
3.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.37
18.07
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Power Score
30.37
18.07
League Position
5
15
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
VfB Stuttgart — Opponent-weighted form score
Werder Bremen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

VfB Stuttgart

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Werder Bremen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

VfB Stuttgart ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Werder Bremen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
VfB Stuttgart
vs
Werder Bremen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
VfB Stuttgart 0.00
Werder Bremen 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
VfB Stuttgart Werder Bremen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
VfB Stuttgart 0.00
Werder Bremen 0.00
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VFB had peak pressure around 26'.
  • SVW started the game with stronger pressure.
VFB Pressure SVW Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VFB reached the top pressure at 26' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

VfB Stuttgart VFB Home
35 matches
Werder Bremen SVW Away
Match Record
13
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
13
Goals
63
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
63
+6
Goal Difference
-6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T13:00:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Nübel
Germany
33 A. Nübel
L. Jaquez
Switzerland
14 L. Jaquez
D. Zagadou
Substitution
France
23 D. Zagadou
M. Mittelstädt
Germany
7 M. Mittelstädt
L. Assignon
Substitution
France
22 L. Assignon
J. Andrés Baixauli
Substitution
Spain
30 J. Andrés Baixauli
A. Stiller
Germany
6 A. Stiller
J. Leweling
Substitution
Germany
18 J. Leweling
B. El Khannous
Morocco
11 B. El Khannous
D. Undav
Germany
26 D. Undav
T. de Melo Tomás
Substitution
Portugal
8 T. de Melo Tomás
M. Backhaus
Germany
30 M. Backhaus
A. Coulibaly
Germany
31 A. Coulibaly
N. Stark
Substitution
Germany
4 N. Stark
A. Pieper
Germany
5 A. Pieper
O. Deman
Belgium
2 O. Deman
S. Lynen
Belgium
14 S. Lynen
J. Stage
Substitution
Denmark
6 J. Stage
Y. Sugawara
Japan
3 Y. Sugawara
R. Schmid
Substitution
Austria
20 R. Schmid
C. Puertas
Spain
18 C. Puertas
J. Milošević
Substitution
Serbia
19 J. Milošević

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 01:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Bundesliga, Germany · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
MHPArena
Capacity
60449
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Stefan Lupp
Benedikt Kempkes
Wolfgang Haslberger
Christian Dingert

Statistics

Possession
VFB
63%
SVW
37%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
20 Shots 9
43 Dangerous attacks 24
68 Possession 32
14 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
24 Throwins 15
76 Ball Safe 66
7 Successful Dribbles 3
6 Goal Kicks 9
11 Goal Attempts 7
17 Dribble Attempts 11
12 Successful Headers 17
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

71 Attacks 59
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

44 Long Passes 61
23 Successful Long Passes 30
52 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
657 Passes 314
16 Key Passes 7
88 Successful Passes Percentage 76
581 Successful Passes 238

Defensive

11 Interceptions 11
13 Tackles 22
42 Duels Won 50
2 Saves 3

Build-up

5 Accurate Crosses 4
40 Total Crosses 10

Discipline

8 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Christian Dingert

Starting XI ▼

33
Alexander Nübel
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper
7.01
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender
7.29
14
Luca Jaquez
Luca Jaquez Defender
6.98
23
Dan-Axel Zagadou
Dan-Axel Zagadou Defender
7.67
3
Ramon Hendriks
Ramon Hendriks
Defender46'
6.65
6
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller Midfielder
7.19
18
Jamie Leweling
Jamie Leweling Midfielder
7.07
27
Badredine Bouanani
Badredine Bouanani
Attacker78'
6.61
22
Lorenz Assignon
Lorenz Assignon Midfielder
6.54
10
Chris Führich
Chris Führich
Midfielder57'
7.08
30
Chema Andrés
Chema Andrés Midfielder
6.95
28
Nikolas Nartey
Nikolas Nartey
Midfielder89'
6.9
8
Tiago Tomás
Tiago Tomás Attacker
6.82
9
Ermedin Demirovic
Ermedin Demirovic
Attacker57'
7.02
11
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss Attacker
7.2
26
Deniz Undav
Deniz Undav Attacker
7.36
Referee : Christian Dingert

Starting XI ▼

30
Mio Backhaus
Mio Backhaus Goalkeeper
6.92
4
Niklas Stark
Niklas Stark Defender
6.48
39
Maximilian Wöber
Maximilian Wöber
Defender65'
7.31
5
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper Defender
6.98
31
Karim Coulibaly
Karim Coulibaly Defender
6.58
2
Olivier Deman
Olivier Deman Midfielder
6.95
3
Yukinari Sugawara
Yukinari Sugawara Midfielder
6.68
6
Jens Stage
Jens Stage Midfielder
7.14
7
Samuel Mbangula
Samuel Mbangula
Attacker83'
6.82
14
Senne Lynen
Senne Lynen Midfielder
6.78
18
Cameron Puertas
Cameron Puertas Attacker
6.92
19
Jovan Milosevic
Jovan Milosevic Attacker
6.74
11
Justin Njinmah
Justin Njinmah
Attacker65'
6.76
20
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid Attacker
7.04
29
Salim Musah
Salim Musah
Attacker90+4'
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Salim Musah → Romano Schmid
9th Substitution
Event
Nikolas Nartey → Chema Andrés
8th Substitution
89'
83'
Event
Samuel Mbangula → Jens Stage
7th Substitution
Event
Badredine Bouanani → Jamie Leweling
6th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Mio Backhaus
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
65'
Event
Maximilian Wöber → Niklas Stark
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Justin Njinmah → Jovan Milosevic
4th Substitution
Event
Ermedin Demirovic
Header / 2nd Goal
61'
Event
Chris Führich → Lorenz Assignon
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Ermedin Demirovic → Tiago Tomás
2nd Substitution
57'
Event
Ramon Hendriks → Dan-Axel Zagadou
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
18'
Event
Jens Stage
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Yukinari Sugawara's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Alexander Nübel. The attempt was assisted by Jens Stage.
35
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Alexander Nübel concedes.
31
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Maximilian Mittelstädt's left-footed shot from outside the box is saved in the center of the goal by Mio Backhaus.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Ermedin Demirovic comes on for Tiago Tomás.
24
Attempt Attempt
Dan-Axel Zagadou's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Lorenz Assignon.
23
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Jens Stage concedes.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Attempt saved. Bilal El Khannouss from VfB Stuttgart has a header from the center of the box, but Mio Backhaus from SV Werder Bremen saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist comes from Lorenz Assignon's cross.
24
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Senne Lynen concedes.
26
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Romano Schmid concedes.
22
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Mio Backhaus concedes.
21
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Tiago Tomás from VfB Stuttgart takes a left-footed shot from outside the box.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Bilal El Khannouss of VfB Stuttgart.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! SV Werder Bremen takes the lead 1-0 with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box by Jens Stage.
14
Attempt Attempt
Tiago Tomás from VfB Stuttgart misses the target with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the right. He was assisted by Bilal El Khannouss with a cross.
16
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart win a corner after Karim Coulibaly concedes.
10
Attempt Attempt
Luca Jaquez from VfB Stuttgart misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box that goes too high. Chema Andres provided the assist.
12
Attempt Attempt
Deniz Undav from VfB Stuttgart misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. Angelo Stiller provided the assist.
8
Update Update
Foul by Karim Coulibaly of SV Werder Bremen.
8
Update Update
Tiago Tomás from VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the attacking half.
6
Attempt Attempt
Senne Lynen's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Cameron Puertas provided the assist.
8
Update Update
Foul committed by Karim Coulibaly of SV Werder Bremen.
6
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Senne Lynen from SV Werder Bremen takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes just wide of the top left corner.
3
Update Update
Karim Coulibaly of SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Lorenz Assignon of VfB Stuttgart.
89
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Ermedin Demirovic's header from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the top right corner by Mio Backhaus. The assist came from Chris Führich with a cross.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
89
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Mio Backhaus concedes.
86
Attempt Attempt
Luca Jaquez's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Chris Führich.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Nikolas Nartey comes on for Chema Andres.
30
Update Update
Angelo Stiller from VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the attacking half.
85
Attempt Attempt
Bilal El Khannouss of VfB Stuttgart has a right-footed shot from the center of the box blocked. Chris Führich provided the assist.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Max Wöber of SV Werder Bremen.
83
Update Update
Amos Pieper from SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Samuel Mbangula comes on for Jens Stage.
82
Update Update
Foul by Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart.
82
Update Update
Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
82
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Mio Backhaus concedes.
82
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Badredine Bouanani from VfB Stuttgart has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top left corner by Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen.
81
Update Update
Foul committed by Cameron Puertas of SV Werder Bremen.
80
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Karim Coulibaly concedes.
81
Update Update
Deniz Undav wins a free kick for VfB Stuttgart in the attacking half.
79
Attempt Attempt
Senne Lynen from SV Werder Bremen misses a left-footed shot from the center of the box, just to the left, after an assist from Romano Schmid.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Badredine Bouanani comes on for Jamie Leweling.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Amos Pieper of SV Werder Bremen.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mio Backhaus of SV Werder Bremen receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Ermedin Demirovic from VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the attacking half.
75
Update Update
Olivier Deman from SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
75
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Max Wöber concedes.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Jens Stage's right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Alexander Nübel.
70
Update Update
Justin Njinmah from SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Update Update
Foul by Ramon Hendriks of VfB Stuttgart.
75
Update Update
Foul committed by Luca Jaquez of VfB Stuttgart.
73
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart have been awarded a corner after Jens Stage conceded it.
72
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Amos Pieper concedes.
84
Update Update
Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the defensive half.
70
Update Update
Jamie Leweling of VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick on the right wing.
66
Attempt Attempt
Angelo Stiller's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Chris Führich provided the assist.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Max Wöber comes on for Niklas Stark.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ermedin Demirovic scores for VfB Stuttgart with a header from the center of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Bilal El Khannouss. The match is now 1-1.
64
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart wins a corner after Olivier Deman concedes.
60
Update Update
Karim Coulibaly from SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Attempt Attempt
Chris Führich's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Ermedin Demirovic of VfB Stuttgart.
59
Update Update
Foul by Olivier Deman of SV Werder Bremen.
70
Update Update
Foul by Olivier Deman of SV Werder Bremen.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for SV Werder Bremen: Justin Njinmah comes on for Jovan Milosevic.
56
Corner Corner
Chema Andres from VfB Stuttgart misses the header from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the right. The chance was set up by Bilal El Khannouss, who provided a cross after a corner.
57
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Angelo Stiller of VfB Stuttgart.
55
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart win a corner after Amos Pieper concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
Deniz Undav's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked.
57
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Chris Führich comes on for Lorenz Assignon.
51
Attempt Attempt
Bilal El Khannouss from VfB Stuttgart misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the left. Jamie Leweling provided the assist.
49
Update Update
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Chema Andres of VfB Stuttgart.
46
Update Update
Jens Stage from SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick on the right wing.
47
Update Update
Romano Schmid of SV Werder Bremen wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for VfB Stuttgart: Ramon Hendriks comes on for Dan-Axel Zagadou.
52
Update Update
Jens Stage is caught offside for SV Werder Bremen.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Jens Stage of SV Werder Bremen.
45
Update Update
Jens Stage's header from the center of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Cameron Puertas' cross.
45
Update Update
First half ends with VfB Stuttgart trailing SV Werder Bremen 1-0.
45
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Dan-Axel Zagadou concedes.
45
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Bilal El Khannouss of VfB Stuttgart takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the right. The attempt was assisted by Deniz Undav after a corner.
44
Attempt Attempt
Jamie Leweling's right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Lorenz Assignon.
44
Corner Corner
VfB Stuttgart win a corner after Amos Pieper concedes.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 2 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Deniz Undav of VfB Stuttgart misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, just to the right, after an assist from Angelo Stiller.
45
Corner Corner
SV Werder Bremen wins a corner after Dan-Axel Zagadou concedes.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at VfB Stuttgart 0, SV Werder Bremen 1.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to SV Werder Bremen after Dan-Axel Zagadou concedes.
41
Attempt Attempt
Jovan Milosevic from SV Werder Bremen misses the attempt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it high and wide to the left. Romano Schmid assisted following a fast break.
43
Update Update
Angelo Stiller from VfB Stuttgart wins a free kick in the attacking half.
43
Update Update
Cameron Puertas commits a foul for SV Werder Bremen.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw encapsulates VfB Stuttgart's frustration despite overwhelming possession and status as the stronger team, as they equalized but couldn't overcome Werder Bremen's grit. Bremen earned a creditable point away, leveraging halftime lead and defensive solidity. With market alignment intact and efficiency in line, the outcome shows moderate deviation without event disruptions. Stuttgart must sharpen finishing for future games, while Bremen gains momentum from defying expectations. This stalemate maintains balance in their campaigns, highlighting football's unpredictability even in dominant displays.