Velez vs Dunajská Streda preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Bilino Polje
Europa Conference League
VelezVEL
0 3
Dunajská StredaDAC
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 4
|
Goal
Ammar Ramadan - 22', 38'
Abdoulaye Gueye - 90+2'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Velez 0–3 Dunajská Streda. The result saw Dunajská Streda take the points. Dunajská Streda showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Dunajská Streda recorded a significant 52.8 percent deviation in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because expected goals data was unavailable.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be formed due to missing expected goals figures.
  • Event impact: Dunajská Streda extended their halftime lead to finish 0-3 winners.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without any dismissal impact.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Gasparyan
A. Gasparyan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Sevgulyan
A. Sevgulyan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
N. Poghosyan
N. Poghosyan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Z. Hovhannisyan
Z. Hovhannisyan
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Velez I. Rahimić
I. Rahimić
VS
Dunajská Streda R. Klauß
R. Klauß
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dunajská Streda Rank: 76 L
Milsami Rank: W
Milsami Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Velez Rank: 45 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Velez
24.85%
Draw
27.91%
Away Dunajská Streda
47.24%

Movement

Changes since opening
Velez
+23.89%
Draw
+26.01%
Dunajská Streda
-49.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.81
78.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Velez
Dunajská Streda
Power Score
48.81
78.31
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
986
122

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Velez — Opponent-weighted form score
Dunajská Streda — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Velez Dunajská Streda

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Velez

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dunajská Streda

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Velez ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dunajská Streda
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.98
21.72
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.72
27.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Velez +0.51 Efficiency Index
vs
Dunajská Streda -0.51 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Velez
Dunajská Streda
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Velez ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dunajská Streda
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Velez Dunajská Streda
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Velez Dunajská Streda
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Velez
Dunajská Streda
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Velez
vs
Dunajská Streda
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Velez Dunajská Streda
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Velez 0.29
Dunajská Streda 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Velez Dunajská Streda
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Velez 0.06
Dunajská Streda 0.00
Velez
Dunajská Streda
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • DAC had peak pressure around 80'.
  • VEL started the game with stronger pressure.
VEL Pressure DAC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: DAC reached the top pressure at 80' (61.81).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Velez VEL Home
1 matches
Dunajská Streda DAC Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:03:11+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 4
Stadium
Stadion Bilino Polje
Capacity
15292
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Artem Gasparyan
Atom Sevgulyan
Narek Poghosyan
Zaven Hovhannisyan

Statistics

Possession
VEL
45%
DAC
55%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 3
9 Shots 5
35 Dangerous attacks 52
42 Possession 58
1 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

76 Ball Safe 91
7 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 25

Attacking

84 Attacks 98

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Artem Gasparyan

Starting XI ▼

1
Faris Ribic
Faris Ribic Goalkeeper
5.68
7
Ajdin Nukic
Ajdin Nukic Defender
6.05
—
Ajdin Nukic
73'
8
Ante Hrkac
Ante Hrkac (C) Defender
5.88
13
Anes Omerovic
Anes Omerovic Defender
5.88
18
Said Duranovic
Said Duranovic Defender
6.05
—
Said Duranovic
78'
6
Rafidine Abdullah
Rafidine Abdullah Midfielder
6.27
55
Adin Bajric
Adin Bajric
Defender46'
6.26
10
Dani Salcin
Dani Salcin Midfielder
6.27
17
Ayham Shhade
Ayham Shhade
Midfielder46'
6.37
11
Aldin Mesic
Aldin Mesic Midfielder
6.18
29
Andro Babic
Andro Babic Midfielder
6.13
9
Armin Spahic
Armin Spahic Attacker
6.38
80
Nino Stojanovic
Nino Stojanovic Attacker
6.43
83
Mahir Bešić
Mahir Bešić
Attacker46'
6.46
Referee : Artem Gasparyan

Starting XI ▼

31
Aljaz Ivacic
Aljaz Ivacic Goalkeeper
6.5
18
Simen Juklerød
Simen Juklerød Defender
6.6
40
Bálint Csóka
Bálint Csóka
Attacker78'
6.5
22
Tsotne Kapanadze
Tsotne Kapanadze Defender
6.5
26
Filip Blazek
Filip Blazek (C) Defender
6.5
81
K. Nemanič
K. Nemanič Defender
6.5
7
Uroš Kabić
Uroš Kabić Midfielder
6.61
46
Matej Trusa
Matej Trusa
Attacker70'
6.59
10
Ammar Ramadan
Ammar Ramadan Midfielder
2
7.23
19
Alioune Sylla
Alioune Sylla
Midfielder63'
6.45
17
Julien Eymard Bationo
Julien Eymard Bationo Midfielder
6.5
27
Fallou Diongue
Fallou Diongue
Midfielder63'
6.5
44
Samsindin Ouro
Samsindin Ouro Midfielder
6.5
11
Abdoulaye Gueye
Abdoulaye Gueye Attacker
6.86
29
Giorgi Gagua
Giorgi Gagua Attacker
6.5
36
Nathan Udvaros
Nathan Udvaros
Midfielder63'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Abdoulaye Gueye
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
90'
Event
Alioune Sylla
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Kenan Djuliman
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
87'
Event
Kenan Djuliman → Said Duranovic
10th Substitution
78'
78'
Event
Bálint Csóka → Simen Juklerød
9th Substitution
Event
Alan Pajević → Ajdin Nukic
8th Substitution
73'
70'
Event
Matej Trusa → Uroš Kabić
7th Substitution
63'
Event
Fallou Diongue → Julien Eymard Bationo
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Alioune Sylla → Ammar Ramadan
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Nathan Udvaros → Giorgi Gagua
6th Substitution
50'
Event
Simen Juklerød
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Adin Bajric → Rafidine Abdullah
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Mahir Bešić → Nino Stojanovic
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ayham Shhade → Dani Salcin
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Ammar Ramadan
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Andro Babic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'
22'
Event
Ammar Ramadan
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-3.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
78
Update Update
Balint Csoka comes on for Simen Juklerod.
78
Update Update
On Kenan Djuliman, off Said Duranovic.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
Alan Pajević is on, and Ajdin Nukic is off.
70
Update Update
Matej Trusa comes on for Uros Kabic.
63
Update Update
Alioune Sylla comes on for Ammar Ramadan.
63
Substitution Substitution
Nathan Udvaros is substituted off for Giorgi Gagua.
63
Update Update
Fallou Diongue is on, and Julien Bationo is off.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Adin Bajric comes on for Rafidine Abdullah.
46
Update Update
Mahir Besic comes on for Nino Stojanovic.
46
Update Update
Ayham Shhade is on, and Dani Salcin is off.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ammar Ramadan scores, making it 0-2.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Artem Gasparyan.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Velez 0-3 Dunajská Streda. Structural assessment: Dunajská Streda exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.