Västerås SK vs Degerfors preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Iver Arena (Västerås) Sun, 12 Jul - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Västerås SK Västerås SK
2 0
Degerfors Degerfors
Full Time Sun, 12 Jul 12:00 PM
Round 12 Regular Season
Mikkel Ladefoged - 8' (P)
Marcus Baggesen - 54'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Västerås SK 2–0 Degerfors. The result saw Västerås SK take the points. Västerås SK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Västerås SK 1.6 – 1.1 Degerfors. Possession was 42%–58%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Västerås SK 2-0 Degerfors. Västerås SK showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gergess
A. Gergess
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Ekelund
R. Ekelund
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Västerås SK A. Rubin
A. Rubin
VS
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.91
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Halmstad Rank: 45 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
AIK Rank: 60 D
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malmö FF Rank: 61 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 D
Kalmar Rank: 52 L
GAIS Rank: 62 D
Mjällby Rank: 69 L
Häcken Rank: 61 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Västerås SK
0%
Draw
0%
Away Degerfors
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.36
47.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Västerås SK
Degerfors
Power Score
41.36
47.39
League Position
7
13
Global Rank
770
878

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Västerås SK — Opponent-weighted form score
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Västerås SK Degerfors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Västerås SK

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Västerås SK ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.79
28.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.10
21.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Västerås SK -0.65 Efficiency Index
vs
Degerfors +0.65 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Västerås SK
Degerfors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Västerås SK
vs
Degerfors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Västerås SK Degerfors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
60%
38%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.06 vs -0.42
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Västerås SK Degerfors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
38%
60%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.42 vs +0.06
Västerås SK
Degerfors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Västerås SK
vs
Degerfors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Västerås SK Degerfors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Västerås SK 0.35
Degerfors 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Västerås SK Degerfors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Västerås SK 0.00
Degerfors 0.09
Västerås SK
Degerfors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Degerfors had peak pressure around 36'.
  • Västerås SK started the game with stronger pressure.
Västerås SK Pressure Degerfors Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Degerfors reached the top pressure at 36' (82.47).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Västerås SK Västerås SK Home
0 matches
Degerfors Degerfors Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:57:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Jäger
Sweden
34 E. Jäger
H. Magnusson
Sweden
2 (C) H. Magnusson
P. Henriksson Bonde
Sweden
4 P. Henriksson Bonde
H. Madiou Keita
Substitution
Guinea
28 H. Madiou Keita
S. Gefvert
Sweden
11 S. Gefvert
M. Diagne
Substitution
Senegal
8 M. Diagne
I. Lushaku
Substitution
Kosovo
14 I. Lushaku
M. Baggesen
Substitution
Denmark
3 M. Baggesen
K. Gunnarsson
Sweden
5 K. Gunnarsson
M. Riis Ladefoged
Substitution
Denmark
9 M. Riis Ladefoged
A. Sountonoma Taonsa
Ivory Coast
17 A. Sountonoma Taonsa
M. Igonen
Estonia
38 M. Igonen
S. Diatara
Substitution
18 S. Diatara
S. Ohlsson
Sweden
16 S. Ohlsson
S. Ohlsson
Sweden
7 S. Ohlsson
D. Sundgren
Substitution
Sweden
6 (C) D. Sundgren
E. Barsoum
Substitution
Sweden
20 E. Barsoum
K. Karlsson
Substitution
Sweden
4 K. Karlsson
B. Hussein
Sweden
8 B. Hussein
N. Girmai
Sweden
22 N. Girmai
L. Fritzson
Substitution
Sweden
14 L. Fritzson
A. Taranis
Denmark
17 A. Taranis

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 12 · Regular Season
Stadium
Iver Arena (Västerås)
Capacity
8900
Attendance
5782
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Oscar Johnson
Anton Sjöberg
Abdelmasih Gergess
Rasmus Ekelund

Statistics

Possession
Västerås SK
43%
Degerfors
57%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 6
23 Dangerous attacks 46
42 Possession 58
1 Corners 6
21 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 6

Match Overview

69 Ball Safe 67
1 Penalties 0
9 Goal Kicks 7
6 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 24
1 Assists 0
2 Dribble Attempts 8
2 Successful Dribbles 8
22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

78 Attacks 122

Possession

23 Long Passes 17
354 Passes 484
275 Successful Passes 399
78 Successful Passes Percentage 82
5 Key Passes 6

Defensive

2 Saves 0
21 Tackles 14
12 Interceptions 11
54 Duels Won 51

Build-up

5 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 22

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

34
Elis Jäger
Elis Jäger Goalkeeper
7.15
2
Herman Magnusson
Herman Magnusson (C) Defender
7.18
4
Philip Bonde
Philip Bonde Defender
7.1
28
Madiou Keita
Madiou Keita Defender
6.75
21
Victor Wernersson
Victor Wernersson
Midfielder64'
6.94
3
Marcus Baggesen
Marcus Baggesen Midfielder
7.97
15
Jonathan Karlsson
Jonathan Karlsson
Defender63'
6.42
8
Mamadou Diagne
Mamadou Diagne Midfielder
6.57
32
Musab Abdi Mohamud
Musab Abdi Mohamud
Midfielder90'
11
Simon Gefvert
Simon Gefvert Midfielder
7.36
14
I. Lushaku
I. Lushaku Midfielder
7.09
19
Jens Magnusson
Jens Magnusson
Midfielder80'
6.54
5
Karl Gunnarsson
Karl Gunnarsson Attacker
6.21
9
Mikkel Ladefoged
Mikkel Ladefoged Attacker
7.13
30
Mattias Hellisdal
Mattias Hellisdal
Midfielder80'
6.37
17
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa
Axel Sountonoma Taonsa Attacker
7.07
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
5.87
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren (C) Defender
6.25
—
Daniel Sundgren
46'
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.54
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
7.24
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
6.09
2
Mamadouba Diaby
Mamadouba Diaby
Defender67'
6.43
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.75
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker80'
6.39
8
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein Midfielder
7.1
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.04
23
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder56'
7.12
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay Midfielder
6.74
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Attacker
6.69
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic
Attacker67'
6.41
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Musab Abdi Mohamud → Mamadou Diagne
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Mattias Hellisdal → Mikkel Ladefoged
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Jens Magnusson → I. Lushaku
9th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Kazper Karlsson
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Robin Dzabic
9th Yellowcard
67'
Event
Mamadouba Diaby → Samba Diatara
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Dijan Vukojevic → Ludvig Fritzson
6th Substitution
Event
Victor Wernersson → Madiou Keita
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Jonathan Karlsson → Marcus Baggesen
3rd Substitution
63'
56'
Event
Robin Dzabic → Elias Barsoum
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Nahom Girmai Netabay
8th Yellowcard
Event
Marcus Baggesen
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
54'
46'
Event
Gideon Yaw → Daniel Sundgren
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Daniel Sundgren
7th Yellowcard
Event
Mamadou Diagne
5th Yellowcard
39'
39'
Event
Ludvig Fritzson
6th Yellowcard
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
4th Yellowcard
38'
Event
Marcus Baggesen
2nd Yellowcard
33'
33'
Event
Arman Taranis
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mikkel Ladefoged
Penalty / 1st Penalty
8'
6'
Event
Matvei Igonen
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Musab Abdi comes on for Mamadou Ousmane Diagne.
89
Attempt Attempt
Nahom Netabay takes a left-footed shot but misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Nahom Netabay takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Attempt Attempt
Robin Dzabic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Robin Dzabic attempts a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Update Update
On Olle Leonardsson, off Kazper Karlsson.
80
Update Update
Jens Magnusson comes on for Ismet Lushaku.
80
Update Update
On Mattias Hellisdal, off Mikkel Ladefoged.
76
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Robin Dzabic.
67
Update Update
Dijan Vukojevic comes on for Ludvig Fritzson.
67
Update Update
Mamadouba Diaby is on, and Samba Diatara is off.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jonathan Karlsson comes on for Marcus Baggesen.
63
Update Update
On Victor Wernersson, Off Madiou Keita.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Ludvig Fritzson's left-footed shot is blocked.
57
Attempt Attempt
Robin Dzabic takes a left-footed shot but misses.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
On comes Robin Dzabic, and off goes Elias Barsoum.
55
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-0.
54
Update Update
Musab Abdi comes on for Mamadou Ousmane Diagne.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
51
Update Update
Olle Leonardsson comes on for Kazper Karlsson.
51
Update Update
On comes Jens Magnusson, off goes Ismet Lushaku.
49
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Mattias Hellisdal comes on for Mikkel Ladefoged.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Robin Dzabic.
45
Update Update
Dijan Vukojevic comes on for Ludvig Fritzson.
42
Substitution Substitution
Mamadouba Diaby is substituted off for Samba Diatara.
41
Update Update
On Victor Wernersson, off Madiou Keita.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Update Update
On Robin Dzabic, off Elias Barsoum.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nahom Netabay receives a yellow card.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Gideon Yiriyon Yaw comes on for Daniel Sundgren.
33
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 1-0.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daniel Sundgren receives a yellow card.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
21
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
6
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikkel Ladefoged scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Matvei Igonen.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Oscar Johnson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Västerås SK 2-0 Degerfors. Structural assessment: Västerås SK exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.