Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama Today - 11:30 PM
Serie A
Vasco da Gama VAG
Mirassol Mirassol
KICKOFF : Today - 11:30 PM
Round 20 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vasco da Gama host Mirassol at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama in a Serie A regular season fixture during the 2026 campaign. The home side currently occupy 17th position in the domestic standings while the visitors sit one place below in 18th. Mirassol enter as the stronger side according to power metrics with a rating of 65.39 against Vasco da Gama's 60.08. This gives the away team a 5.3 point advantage overall. Form scores also favour Mirassol who hold 23.78 compared to the hosts' 13.5. Both clubs operate without recent outing data and efficiency figures remain unavailable. Set piece information carries low confidence and relies on proxy values for analysis.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Vasco da Gama sit 17th and Mirassol 18th in the domestic Serie A table.
  • Form: Mirassol hold a superior form score of 23.78 against Vasco da Gama's 13.5.
  • Squad: Mirassol register the higher power rating of 65.39 compared to Vasco da Gama's 60.08.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for both teams ahead of the match.
  • Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in the available pre-match data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data carries low confidence and uses proxy values for both sides.
  • xVariable: Mirassol hold a 5.3 point power advantage over Vasco da Gama.
  • Market: Baseline split: Vasco da Gama 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Mirassol 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vasco da Gama P. dos Santos Martins Silva
P. dos Santos Martins Silva
VS
Mirassol R. Silva Guanaes
R. Silva Guanaes
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Rank: 61 L
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Internacional Rank: 63 L
Athletico PR Rank: 64 W
Flamengo Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grêmio Rank: 63 W
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Corinthians Rank: 67 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vasco da Gama
0%
Draw
0%
Away Mirassol
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.08
65.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
Power Score
60.08
65.39
League Position
17
18
Global Rank
536
374

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vasco da Gama — Opponent-weighted form score
Mirassol — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vasco da Gama Mirassol

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vasco da Gama VAG Home
3 matches
Mirassol Mirassol Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
3
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-24T00:14:52+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Jardim
1 L. Jardim
J. Rodríguez Bebanz
2 J. Rodríguez Bebanz
C. Cuesta Figueroa
46 C. Cuesta Figueroa
R. Alves Barbosa
30 R. Alves Barbosa
L. Soares da Silva
66 L. Soares da Silva
C. Barros da Luz
88 C. Barros da Luz
T. Mendes Ribeiro
23 T. Mendes Ribeiro
A. Ferreira Soares
28 A. Ferreira Soares
J. Rojas Echavarría
10 J. Rojas Echavarría
A. Gomez
11 A. Gomez
C. Spinelli
77 C. Spinelli
W. Capeloza Artune
22 W. Capeloza Artune
R. da Silva
6 R. da Silva
W. Estefani Machado
3 W. Estefani Machado
J. Carroll Santana
34 J. Carroll Santana
I. Marques Paciencia Cardoso
32 I. Marques Paciencia Cardoso
Denilson
8 Denilson
J. Soares de Oliveira Filho
21 J. Soares de Oliveira Filho
A. dos Santos Batista
77 A. dos Santos Batista
J. de Oliveira
5 J. de Oliveira
E. Mendes dos Santos
95 E. Mendes dos Santos
B. Santos de Oliveira
30 B. Santos de Oliveira

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 20 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Capacity
21880
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Alessandro Álvaro Rocha de Matos
Jorge Eduardo Bernardi
Marcos Mateus Pereira

Expected Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

1
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
6.73
77
Claudio Spinelli
Claudio Spinelli Centre Forward
6.6
2
José Luis Rodríguez
José Luis Rodríguez Right Back
7.2
10
Johan Rojas
Johan Rojas Attacking Midfield
7.02
11
Andrés Gómez
Andrés Gómez Left Wing
6.9
23
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes Defensive Midfield
7.23
28
Adson
Adson Right Wing
6.85
30
Robert Renan
Robert Renan Left Back
6.85
46
Carlos Cuesta
Carlos Cuesta Right Back
6.78
66
Cuiabano
Cuiabano Left Back
7.26
88
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros Defensive Midfield
7.01
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI ▼

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
6.8
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Centre Forward
6.98
3
Willian Machado
Willian Machado Left Back
7.12
5
Japa
Japa Attacking Midfield
6.44
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Left Back
6.93
8
Denilson
Denilson Defensive Midfield
6.78
21
José Aldo
José Aldo Defensive Midfield
6.83
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Right Back
6.99
34
João Victor
João Victor Right Back
6.91
77
Alesson
Alesson Left Wing
6.84
95
Edson Carioca
Edson Carioca Right Wing
6.66

CONCLUSION

Mirassol arrive with the clearer edge through superior power and form indicators while both sides occupy similar mid to lower table positions. The venue offers Vasco da Gama a familiar setting yet the numbers point to a competitive encounter where the visitors may control key phases. Limited data on efficiency and set pieces leaves room for on field adjustments. Teams will likely focus on structured build up and defensive organisation given the narrow standings gap. Mirassol's overall rating suggests they can dictate tempo if they maintain discipline throughout the ninety minutes.