Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol preview

Brazil flag 2026 Serie A, Brazil
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Serie A
Full Time
Round 20 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The encounter between Vasco da Gama and Mirassol ended in a 1-1 draw after both teams scored once in the second half following a 0-1 halftime score. Vasco da Gama dominated possession with 58 percent of the ball but struggled to convert their opportunities effectively despite an xG of 2.44. Mirassol managed 1.59 in expected goals and held their lead until the equalizer. The stronger team Mirassol faced a resilient home side that pushed for the point. No red cards were issued during the contest. The significant deviation benefited Mirassol in the final standings. The game highlighted differences in efficiency and structural elements on the pitch with the draw reflecting the balanced outcome despite uneven creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed significant deviation with Mirassol as the benefiting team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was not consistent with the expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Vasco da Gama created 2.44 xG while Mirassol had 1.59 xG in the 1-1 draw.
  • Event impact: Mirassol's halftime lead influenced the game's progression to a draw.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown affecting the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Klein
R. Klein
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Rocha de Matos
A. Rocha de Matos
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Bernardi
J. Bernardi
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Marcos Mateus Pereira
Marcos Mateus Pereira
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.05
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vitória Rank: 61 L
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Bragantino Rank: 64 L
Internacional Rank: 63 L
Athletico PR Rank: 64 W
Flamengo Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grêmio Rank: 63 W
Athletico PR Rank: 64 L
Fluminense Rank: 68 W
Atlético Mineiro Rank: 64 L
Chapecoense Rank: 52 D
Corinthians Rank: 67 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.25
65.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
Power Score
60.25
65.54
League Position
17
18
Global Rank
534
373

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Vasco da Gama Opponent-weighted form score
Mirassol Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vasco da Gama Mirassol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Vasco da Gama

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Mirassol

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vasco da Gama ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Mirassol
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
10.00
5.65
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
5.65
10.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vasco da Gama +0.36 Efficiency Index
vs
Mirassol -0.36 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vasco da Gama
vs
Mirassol
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vasco da Gama Mirassol
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
31%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.51 vs -0.50
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vasco da Gama Mirassol
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
31%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.50 vs -0.51
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Vasco da Gama
vs
Mirassol
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vasco da Gama Mirassol
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vasco da Gama Mirassol
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Vasco da Gama
Mirassol
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VAG had peak pressure around 86'.
  • MIR started the game with stronger pressure.
VAG Pressure MIR Pressure
Pressure Index: VAG reached the top pressure at 86' (76.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vasco da Gama VAG Home
3 matches
Mirassol MIR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
3
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
3
-4
Goal Difference
+4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:04:47+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Serie A, Brazil · Round 20 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Capacity
21880
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rafael Rodrigo Klein
Alessandro Álvaro Rocha de Matos
Jorge Eduardo Bernardi
Marcos Mateus Pereira

Statistics

Possession
VAG
56%
MIR
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 5
76 Dangerous attacks 40
58 Possession 42
9 Corners 5
7 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

44 Ball Safe 59
9 Goal Kicks 8
3 Goal Attempts 6
5 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 35
0 Hit Woodwork 1
5 Successful Headers 4
0 Injuries 1
21 Dribble Attempts 22
12 Successful Dribbles 13
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 59

Attacking

129 Attacks 90
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

55 Long Passes 40
470 Passes 349
378 Successful Passes 280
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80
13 Key Passes 8
25 Successful Long Passes 14
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35

Defensive

2 Saves 3
17 Tackles 14
12 Interceptions 11
55 Duels Won 57

Build-up

37 Total Crosses 18
4 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI

1
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
6.24
2
José Luis Rodríguez
6.68
30
Robert Renan
Robert Renan Defender
6.46
46
Carlos Cuesta
Carlos Cuesta Defender
6.38
66
Cuiabano
Cuiabano Defender
6.6
6
Lucas Piton
Lucas Piton
Defender71'
3
Tchê Tchê
Tchê Tchê Midfielder
6.39
17
Nuno Moreira
Nuno Moreira
Midfielder60'
11
Andrés Gómez
Andrés Gómez Midfielder
6.66
28
Adson
Adson Midfielder
6.64
7
David
David
Attacker60'
8
Jair
Jair
Midfielder70'
88
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros Midfielder
6.45
10
Johan Rojas
Johan Rojas
Attacker74'
77
Claudio Spinelli
Claudio Spinelli Attacker
6.62
Referee : Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Starting XI

22
Walter
Walter Goalkeeper
6.77
6
Reinaldo
Reinaldo Defender
7.26
32
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga Defender
7.22
34
João Victor
João Victor (C) Defender
6.95
44
Gabriel
Gabriel Defender
6.46
5
Japa
Japa Midfielder
6.32
33
Eduardo
Eduardo
Midfielder69'
8
Denilson
Denilson Midfielder
6.62
10
Chico Kim
Chico Kim
Midfielder82'
21
José Aldo
José Aldo Midfielder
6.47
2
Lucas Oliveira
Lucas Oliveira
Defender36'
19
Gustavo Silva
Gustavo Silva Attacker
6.47
96
Carlos Eduardo
Carlos Eduardo
Attacker46'
30
Bruno Santos
Bruno Santos Attacker
6.44
95
Edson Carioca
Edson Carioca Attacker
6.41
17
Fernandinho
Fernandinho
Attacker69'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
83'
82'
Event
Chico Kim Denilson
10th Substitution
Event
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
Event
Johan Rojas Cauan Barros
9th Substitution
74'
Event
Lucas Piton Cuiabano
8th Substitution
71'
Event
Jair  Ramon Rique Santos de Souza Barros
7th Substitution
70'
69'
Event
Eduardo  Japa
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Fernandinho Edson Carioca
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
Event
David Adson
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Nuno Moreira Tchê Tchê
4th Substitution
60'
46'
Event
Carlos Eduardo Gustavo Silva
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Lucas Oliveira José Aldo
1st Substitution
30'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Corner Corner
Corner
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Johan Rojas Echavarria Right Footed Shot Missed
90
Corner Corner
Corner
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Spinelli Right Footed Shot Saved
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Spinelli Right Footed Shot Missed
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Spinelli Right Footed Shot Missed
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz Head Shot Blocked
84
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Reinaldo Manoel da Silva Left Footed Shot Blocked
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Nuno Moreira
82
Update Update
On Francisco Hyun Sol Kim, Chico,Off Denilson Alves Borges
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Left Footed Shot Goal
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Carlos Andres Gomez 1-1
74
Update Update
On Johan Rojas Echavarria,Off Cauan Barros
71
Update Update
On Lucas Piton,Off Cuiabano
70
Update Update
On Jair Rodrigues Junior,Off Ramon Rique
69
Update Update
On Carlos Eduardo De Oliveira Alves,Off Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir
69
Update Update
On Fernando José Marques Maciel,Off Edson Guilherme Mendes dos Santos
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune
65
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Left Footed Shot Missed
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Left Footed Shot Missed
63
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bruno Santos Right Footed Shot Missed
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - David Correa da Fonseca Head Shot Blocked
62
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jose Luis Rodriguez Bebanz Right Footed Shot Blocked
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
60
Update Update
On David Correa da Fonseca,Off Adson Ferreira Soares
59
Update Update
On Nuno Moreira,Off Danilo das Neves Pinheiro Tche Tche
58
Corner Corner
Corner
57
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Spinelli Right Footed Shot Blocked
56
Corner Corner
Corner
54
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Right Footed Shot Saved
52
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ramon Rique Left Footed Shot Blocked
48
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Update Update
On Carlos Eduardo Ferreira de Souza,Off Gustavo Mosquito
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Right Footed Shot Missed
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Left Footed Shot Missed
43
Corner Corner
Corner
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Right Footed Shot Blocked
42
Corner Corner
Corner
37
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Lucas da Cruz Oliveira Right Footed Shot Blocked
36
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Right Footed Shot Blocked
36
Update Update
On Lucas da Cruz Oliveira,Off Jose Aldo Soares De Oliveira Filho
33
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joao Wellington Gadelha Melo de Oliveir Left Footed Shot Saved
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Igor Marques Right Footed Shot Goal
30
Corner Corner
Corner
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 0-1
26
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Claudio Spinelli Right Footed Shot Blocked
22
Corner Corner
Corner
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ramon Rique Right Footed Shot Saved
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Igor Marques Left Footed Shot Missed
14
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Adson Ferreira Soares Left Footed Shot Blocked
9
Corner Corner
Corner
6
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Carlos Andres Gomez Right Footed Shot Missed
2
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee:Rafael Rodrigo Klein

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Vasco da Gama 1-1 Mirassol. Structural assessment: Mirassol exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.