Varaždin vs Rudeš preview

Croatia flag 2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
1. HNL
VaraždinNKV
2 0
RudešRudeš
Full Time
Round 5 Regular Season
Ivan Canjuga - 84'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Varaždin hosted Rudeš in a match that concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side. The game remained level at 0-0 through halftime with both teams showing measured approaches in the opening period. Varaždin held 56 percent possession compared to Rudeš at 44 percent as the hosts gradually asserted control after the break. Two second-half goals secured the points for the stronger side without any red cards issued to either team. The outcome reflected a clear performance edge for Varaždin throughout the contest. No expected goals figures were recorded leaving certain analytical aspects open to interpretation based on observed play patterns alone.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Varaždin 2-0 Rudeš. Varaždin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed team performances across both halves.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data was available to evaluate alignment with the final result.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved aligned with pre-match market positioning for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Missing xG values left expectations undetermined for both sides in this fixture.
  • Event impact: No standout events beyond the two goals shaped the match trajectory.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary incidents affected either side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Crnojević
M. Crnojević
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Novosel
K. Novosel
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Reljan
M. Reljan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
I. Martinčić
I. Martinčić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Varaždin N. Šafarić
N. Šafarić
VS
Rudeš A. Peternac
A. Peternac
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.75
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 83 L
Rijeka Rank: 74 W
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 64 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 76 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 W
Vukovar Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 67 W
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 84 L
Osijek Rank: 66 L
Rijeka Rank: 72 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.17
30.94
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Varaždin
Rudeš
Power Score
71.17
30.94
League Position
3
9
Global Rank
236
860

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Varaždin — Opponent-weighted form score
Rudeš — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Varaždin Rudeš

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Varaždin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rudeš

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Varaždin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rudeš
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Varaždin Rudeš
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Varaždin Rudeš
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Varaždin
Rudeš
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Varaždin
vs
Rudeš
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Varaždin Rudeš
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Varaždin 0.00
Rudeš 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Varaždin Rudeš
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Varaždin 0.00
Rudeš 0.00
Varaždin
Rudeš
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NKV had peak pressure around 46'.
  • Rudeš started the game with stronger pressure.
NKV Pressure Rudeš Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NKV reached the top pressure at 46' (84.61).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
Capacity
10800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marko Crnojević
Kristijan Novosel
Marko Reljan
Ivana Martinčić

Statistics

Possession
NKV
55%
Rudeš
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
67 Dangerous attacks 64
56 Possession 44
9 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Penalties 0
8 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 16
1 Hit Woodwork 0
21 Dribble Attempts 14
10 Successful Dribbles 5
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

123 Attacks 101
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

53 Long Passes 51
416 Passes 335
344 Successful Passes 268
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
9 Key Passes 6
34 Successful Long Passes 24
64 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47

Defensive

3 Saves 2
11 Tackles 12
6 Interceptions 5
52 Duels Won 34

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 22
8 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

33
Josip Silic
Josip Silic Goalkeeper
7.52
13
Mario Mladenovski
Mario Mladenovski Defender
7.19
16
Novak Tepsic
Novak Tepsic Defender
6.81
20
Gregor Sikosek
Gregor Sikosek Defender
6.96
3
Elvir Durakovic
Elvir Durakovic
Midfielder46'
6.58
23
Frane Maglica
Frane Maglica Defender
6.64
30
Luka Posinkovic
Luka Posinkovic
Defender74'
6.29
10
Aleksa Latkovic
Aleksa Latkovic Midfielder
6.98
22
Luka Mamic
Luka Mamic Midfielder
7.09
24
Mario Marina
Mario Marina Midfielder
6.65
8
Tomislav Duvnjak
Tomislav Duvnjak
Midfielder74'
6.42
38
Iuri Tavares
Iuri Tavares Midfielder
6.94
7
Matej Vuk
Matej Vuk
Midfielder61'
6.73
17
Ivan Mamut
Ivan Mamut Attacker
7.18
4
Luka Skaricic
Luka Skaricic
Defender90+1'
6.61
28
Ivan Canjuga
Ivan Canjuga Attacker
7.8
Referee : Marko Crnojević

Starting XI ▼

95
Lovre Rogic
Lovre Rogic Goalkeeper
7.07
4
Vedran Celjak
Vedran Celjak Defender
6.98
5
Marko Stolnik
Marko Stolnik Defender
6.64
14
Bruno Unusic
Bruno Unusic Defender
6.07
21
Ante Susak
Ante Susak Defender
35
Josip Bralic
Josip Bralic
Attacker78'
7.71
11
Jurica Poldrugac
Jurica Poldrugac Midfielder
7.15
15
Noa Skoko
Noa Skoko Midfielder
7
24
Ivan Đorić
Ivan Đorić Midfielder
8
Luka Popovic
Luka Popovic
Midfielder78'
28
Xavi
Xavi Midfielder
6.78
20
Jakov Blagaic
Jakov Blagaic
Midfielder59'
6.44
7
Lenny Ilecic
Lenny Ilecic Attacker
6.9
34
Kristijan Lovric
Kristijan Lovric
Midfielder81'
6.63
37
Cherno Saho
Cherno Saho Attacker
2
Toni Kolega
Toni Kolega
Midfielder58'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Luka Skaricic → Ivan Mamut
10th Substitution
90+1'
87'
Event
Kristijan Lovric 
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ivan Canjuga
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
84'
81'
Event
Kristijan Lovric  → Lenny Ilecic
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Josip Bralic → Ante Susak
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Luka Popovic → Ivan Đorić
8th Substitution
Event
Tomislav Duvnjak → Mario Marina
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Luka Posinkovic → Frane Maglica
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Aleksa Latkovic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
72'
Event
Ivan Mamut
Woodwork
64'
63'
Event
Ante Susak
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Matej Vuk → Iuri Tavares
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Novak Tepsic
Penalty awarded
60'
59'
Event
Jakov Blagaic → Xavi
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Toni Kolega → Cherno Saho
2nd Substitution
Event
Elvir Durakovic → Gregor Sikosek
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
36'
Event
Xavi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Matej Vuk's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Update Update
Luka Skaricic comes on for Ivan Mamut.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Jurica Poldrugac takes a right-footed shot but misses.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Kristijan Lovric.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Ivan Canjuga with his right foot results in a goal.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ivan Canjuga scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Matej Vuk.
83
Attempt Attempt
Marko Stolnik's header is saved.
81
Update Update
Kristijan Lovric is on, and Lenny Ilecic is off.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
78
Update Update
Josip Bralic comes on for Ante Susak.
78
Update Update
Luka Popovic comes on for Ivan Doric.
75
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Jurica Poldrugac with his left foot is saved.
74
Update Update
Tomislav Duvnjak comes on for Mario Marina.
74
Update Update
Luka Posinkovic is on, and Frane Maglica is off.
74
Attempt Attempt
Lenny Ilecic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Attempt Attempt
Noa Skoko's right-footed shot is blocked.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Aleksa Latkovic with a right-footed shot results in a goal.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aleksa Latkovic scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Ivan Mamut.
71
Attempt Attempt
Jakov Blagaic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
70
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Doric takes a right-footed shot but misses.
64
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Mamut takes a left-footed shot that hits the post.
64
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Ivan Mamut's attempt is stopped.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ante Susak.
61
Update Update
Matej Vuk comes on for Iuri Tavares.
60
Update Update
VAR decision results in a penalty awarded to Novak Tepsic.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Update Update
Mario Mladenovski's header is blocked.
59
Update Update
Jakov Blagaic is on, and Xavier Fernandes is off.
58
Update Update
Toni Kolega is on, and Cherno Saho is off.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Elvir Durakovic replaces Gregor Sikosek.
45
Attempt Attempt
Novak Tepsic takes a header shot but misses.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Novak Tepsic Head Shot Missed
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
36
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Xavier Fernandes receives a yellow card.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
31
Attempt Attempt
Mario Marina attempts a header but misses the shot.
26
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Mamut has a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Lenny Ilecic takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Luka Mamic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Aleksa Latkovic with his right foot is saved.
11
Attempt Attempt
Mario Mladenovski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Luka Mamic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Cherno Saho's right-footed shot is saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Marko Crnojevic.

CONCLUSION

Varaždin delivered a composed display to overcome Rudeš by 2-0 after a goalless first half. The home side leveraged superior possession and second-half momentum to break the deadlock twice without reply. Rudeš struggled to create meaningful threats despite a competitive share of the ball. The clean sheet and efficient finishing highlighted Varaždin's control in key moments. With no red cards or major disruptions the contest followed a straightforward path to the final whistle. This result reinforces Varaždin's standing as the dominant side in the matchup while leaving questions around deeper metrics due to absent xG information. Overall the performance aligned with expectations for the stronger team in a measured encounter.