Vålerenga vs Kristiansund preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena
Fri, 29 May - 5:00 PM
Round 11 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
Vålerenga hosted Kristiansund in a match that concluded with a 3-1 home victory after leading 1-0 at halftime. The stronger side controlled proceedings throughout and maintained a slight edge in possession at 52 percent to 48 percent. Two second-half goals extended the advantage and confirmed the result without any disciplinary interruptions. Pre-match indicators pointed to Vålerenga as the clear favorite and the final outcome aligned with that assessment. The performance reflected steady progression from the opening period into a more dominant display after the break. No major disruptions altered the flow of play and the contest remained competitive yet controlled by the hosts. Overall the result reinforced Vålerenga's position as the superior side on the day.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Vålerenga recorded a significant structural deviation of 41.6 percent from pre-match projections.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance patterns.
-
xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
-
Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
-
xG expectations: Expected goals projections could not be evaluated due to missing data.
-
Event impact: Two second-half goals proved decisive in establishing the 3-1 scoreline.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
T. Hansen
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Lundberg
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Mertens
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
C. Jørgensen
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Moesgaard
VS
A. Robertsen Skiri
1
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start
Rank: 49
L
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 59
W
HamKam
Rank: 60
L
KFUM
Rank: 58
D
Molde
Rank: 65
L
Lillestrøm
Rank: 56
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viking
Rank: 79
L
Lillestrøm
Rank: 58
W
Molde
Rank: 66
L
Sandefjord
Rank: 62
L
HamKam
Rank: 60
D
Aalesund
Rank: 46
D
4
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 5 - 5
5
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Vålerenga
58.35%
Draw
21.6%
Kristiansund
20.05%
Movement
Changes since opening
Vålerenga
-39.54%
Draw
+19.68%
Kristiansund
+19.85%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.95
54.85
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Power Score
58.95
54.85
League Position
9
14
Global Rank
517
633
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Vålerenga
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Kristiansund
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Vålerenga Kristiansund
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Vålerenga
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Kristiansund
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Vålerenga
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Kristiansund
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.52
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Vålerenga
+1.57
Efficiency Index
vs
Kristiansund
-1.57
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Vålerenga
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Kristiansund
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Vålerenga
vs
Kristiansund
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Vålerenga
0.35
Kristiansund
0.22
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Vålerenga
0.02
Kristiansund
0.06
Vålerenga
Kristiansund
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Kristiansund had peak pressure around 54'.
- VIF started the game with stronger pressure.
VIF Pressure
Kristiansund Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
Kristiansund reached the top pressure at 54' (65.62).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Vålerenga
VIF
Home
14
matches
Kristiansund
Kristiansund
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
5
Draws
5
5
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
17
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-05-30T00:00:51+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
4-4-2
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
May 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Intility Arena
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Tore Hansen
Magnus Lundberg
Javi Jean-Marc Conny Leo Mertens
Christer Solheim Jørgensen
Next Match
Vålerenga
vs
Tromsø
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sat, 11 Jul - 4:00 PM
Venue: Alfheim Stadion
Kristiansund
vs
Rosenborg
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 12 Jul - 3:00 PM
Venue: Lerkendal Stadion
Statistics
Possession
VIF
53%
Kristiansund
47%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
1
19
Shots
10
54
Dangerous attacks
45
52
Possession
48
5
Corners
6
7
Free kicks
12
1
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
1
Injuries
1
5
Substitutions
5
10
Dribble Attempts
23
80
Successful Dribbles Percentage
48
14
Throwins
26
8
Successful Dribbles
11
7
Goal Kicks
8
86
Ball Safe
89
17
Goal Attempts
8
Attacking
1
Big Chances Missed
1
111
Attacks
97
4
Counter Attacks
1
Possession
415
Successful Passes
367
56
Successful Long Passes Percentage
49
63
Long Passes
61
35
Successful Long Passes
30
496
Passes
448
13
Key Passes
5
84
Successful Passes Percentage
82
Defensive
28
Tackles
8
11
Interceptions
9
53
Duels Won
44
4
Saves
6
Build-up
6
Accurate Crosses
5
18
Total Crosses
21
Discipline
12
Fouls
7
Lineup
Referee :
Tore Hansen
Manager ▼
J. Moesgaard
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
21
Magnus Sjøeng
Goalkeeper
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Defender
55
Sebastian Jarl
Defender
11
Elias Sørensen
Attacker
Referee :
Tore Hansen
Manager ▼
A. Robertsen Skiri
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
84'
10th Substitution
83'
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
9th Substitution
81'
76'
6th Substitution
76'
7th Substitution
76'
8th Substitution
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
75'
5th Substitution
73'
4th Substitution
73'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
69'
65'
3rd Substitution
2nd Substitution
60'
1st Substitution
59'
52'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
1'
CONCLUSION
Final score detail: Vålerenga 3-1 Kristiansund. Structural assessment: Vålerenga exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.
