Vålerenga vs KFUM preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena Sun, 3 May - 5:15 PM
Eliteserien
Vålerenga Vålerenga
2 – 2
KFUM KFUM
Full Time Sun, 3 May 5:15 PM
Round 7 Regular Season
Håkon Helland Hoseth - 2' (Own Goal)
Lucas Haren - 51'
Goal
|
Goal
Magnus Grødem - 33'
Magnus Wolff Eikrem - 55'

CONTEXT

In a pulsating Eliteserien clash at Intility Arena, Vålerenga and KFUM delivered a 2-2 draw that defied pre-match narratives. The home side, considered the stronger team, entered as favorites but couldn't secure victory against KFUM's stubborn defense and counter-attacks. Halftime arrived with scores level at 1-1, reflecting the balanced possession stats of 49% for Vålerenga and 51% for the visitors. Both teams traded blows in the second half, with no red cards or major disruptions altering the flow. Vålerenga's failure to convert dominance into points highlighted a significant structural deviation, while efficiency stayed in line with norms. The even contest showcased KFUM's grit, earning them a valuable point on the road. This result leaves Vålerenga reflecting on missed opportunities in their title chase.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Vålerenga exhibited a significant 74.3% structural deviation from expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable match data.
  • Market alignment: Draw outcome misaligned with pre-match favoritism toward Vålerenga.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for post-match evaluation.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion from player dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Eskås
E. Eskås
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
J. Engan
J. Engan
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
I. Bashevkin
I. Bashevkin
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Hafezi
M. Hafezi
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.07
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.23
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.08
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Vålerenga G. Bakke
G. Bakke
VS
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
0.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.89
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 64 L
Lillestrøm Rank: 54 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 62 D
Viking Rank: 79 L
Rosenborg Rank: 62 W
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
HamKam Rank: 57 L
Aalesund Rank: 40 D
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Start Rank: 49 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vålerenga
47.41%
Draw
25.65%
Away KFUM
26.94%

Movement

Changes since opening
Vålerenga
+41.93%
Draw
-64.82%
KFUM
+22.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.27
56.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
KFUM
Power Score
59.27
56.49
League Position
11
10
Global Rank
511
603

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Vålerenga

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.39
29.51
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.51
39.39
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Vålerenga +0.99 Efficiency Index
vs
KFUM -0.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
KFUM
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Vålerenga ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Vålerenga KFUM
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Vålerenga KFUM
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Vålerenga
KFUM
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Vålerenga
vs
KFUM
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Vålerenga KFUM
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Vålerenga 0.37
KFUM 0.32
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Vålerenga KFUM
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Vålerenga 0.05
KFUM 0.04
Vålerenga
KFUM
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KFUM had peak pressure around 44'.
  • KFUM started the game with stronger pressure.
Vålerenga Pressure KFUM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KFUM reached the top pressure at 44' (63.97).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home
2 matches
KFUM KFUM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:06:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
O. Hedvall
Denmark
1 O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil
Substitution
Norway
3 H. Sjåtil
A. Olsen
Norway
4 A. Olsen
I. Näsberg
Norway
37 I. Näsberg
K. Finnsson
Iceland
2 K. Finnsson
L. Janus Ravn-Haren
Substitution
Denmark
77 L. Janus Ravn-Haren
M. Westergaard
Substitution
Denmark
28 M. Westergaard
C. Lange
Denmark
10 C. Lange
F. Thorvaldsen
Substitution
Norway
26 F. Thorvaldsen
H. Bjørdal
Norway
8 H. Bjørdal
M. Grundetjern
Norway
17 M. Grundetjern
E. Ødegaard
Norway
1 E. Ødegaard
E. Franke Saunes
Norway
19 E. Franke Saunes
F. Berglie
Norway
5 F. Berglie
D. Schneider
Norway
2 D. Schneider
S. Sjøkvist
Substitution
Norway
21 S. Sjøkvist
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 S. Hestnes
R. Rasch
Norway
7 R. Rasch
H. Hoseth
Norway
14 H. Hoseth
B. Kristensen
Substitution
Norway
22 B. Kristensen
M. Wolff Eikrem
Substitution
Norway
23 M. Wolff Eikrem
M. Retsius Grødem
Substitution
Norway
28 M. Retsius Grødem

General Information

Date & Time
May 03, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 7 · Regular Season
Stadium
Intility Arena
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Espen Eskås
Jan Erik Engan
Isaak Bashevkin
Mohammad Hafezi

Statistics

Possession
Vålerenga
49%
KFUM
51%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 5
46 Dangerous attacks 41
49 Possession 51
11 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 11
6 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

36 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
18 Throwins 23
6 Goal Kicks 7
14 Dribble Attempts 13
5 Successful Dribbles 6
1 Assists 2
4 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 3
62 Ball Safe 63
7 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

92 Attacks 123
1 Counter Attacks 1
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

16 Successful Long Passes 22
440 Passes 459
41 Long Passes 48
13 Key Passes 10
81 Successful Passes Percentage 83
357 Successful Passes 383
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

3 Saves 4
10 Tackles 14
14 Interceptions 5
42 Duels Won 40

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 18
11 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.93
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Defender
6.95
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil Defender
6.74
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Defender74'
6.43
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
6.87
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
6.93
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
6.96
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
Filip Thorvaldsen Midfielder
6.53
11
Elias Sørensen
Elias Sørensen
Attacker74'
6.62
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Midfielder
7.05
29
Fidel Brice Ambina
Fidel Brice Ambina
Midfielder74'
6.77
77
Lucas Haren
Lucas Haren Midfielder
6.6
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand
Midfielder85'
6.55
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal Attacker
7.18
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.97
Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

1
Emil Ødegaard
Emil Ødegaard Goalkeeper
7.35
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
6.79
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
6.62
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
7.07
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch Midfielder
6.7
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes Midfielder
7.07
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth Midfielder
6.59
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
6.53
33
Amin Nouri
Amin Nouri
Defender68'
6.39
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen Attacker
6.5
10
Bilal Njie
Bilal Njie
Attacker68'
6.72
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem Attacker
6.7
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Midfielder61'
6.95
28
Magnus Grødem
Magnus Grødem Attacker
6.75
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Attacker79'
6.73

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
M. Grundetjern
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Ivan Näsberg
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+8'
Event
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Petter Strand → Lucas Haren
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
82'
79'
Event
David Hickson → Amin Nouri
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Rasmus Eggen Vinge → Magnus Grødem
8th Substitution
Event
Fidel Brice Ambina → Magnus Westergaard
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad → Hakon Sjatil
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Elias Sørensen → Filip Thorvaldsen
6th Substitution
74'
68'
Event
Bilal Njie → Bjørn Martin Kristensen
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Amin Nouri → S. Sjøkvist
3rd Substitution
Event
Henrik Bjørdal
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
61'
Event
Martin Tangen Vinjor → Magnus Wolff Eikrem
1st Substitution
55'
Event
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Lucas Haren
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
45+2'
Event
S. Sjøkvist
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hakon Sjatil
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
39'
33'
Event
Magnus Grødem
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Vålerenga's 2-2 stalemate with KFUM underscores the fine margins in Eliteserien football, where the home favorites dropped points despite near-even possession and no disciplinary interruptions. KFUM's resilience in holding firm after a 1-1 halftime score proved decisive, capitalizing on Vålerenga's inefficiency in key moments. This significant deviation from structural norms highlights areas for improvement for the stronger side, particularly in converting pressure into goals. Both teams displayed grit, but the draw favors KFUM's survival bid more than Vålerenga's ambitions. Expect tactical tweaks from the hosts ahead of their next fixture.