Vålerenga vs Aalesund preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Intility Arena Today - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
Vålerenga Vålerenga
Aalesund Aalesund
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
Round 14 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vålerenga host Aalesund at the Intility Arena in this Eliteserien regular season match. The home side currently occupy 11th place in the domestic league table, one spot above their opponents. With a clear power advantage favoring Vålerenga, the structural dynamics point towards a competitive battle where the stronger team aims to assert dominance. Form indicators suggest Aalesund may carry momentum into the game despite the overall assessment. Limited information on efficiency and transition elements means analysis centers on available squad metrics and positional standings. Set piece data carries low confidence levels, relying on proxy calculations for both clubs. The encounter offers an opportunity for Vålerenga to leverage their home environment against a resilient away side.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Vålerenga sit in 11th position while Aalesund occupy 12th in the domestic standings.
  • Form: Vålerenga have a form score of 14.83 compared to Aalesund's 22.28.
  • Squad: Vålerenga are the stronger side with a power score of 59.63 against 44.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play metrics are not provided in the current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: Vålerenga hold a power advantage of 15.6 points over their opponents.
  • Market: Baseline split: Vålerenga 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Aalesund 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Vålerenga J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
VS
Aalesund K. Rekdal
K. Rekdal
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
Kristiansund Rank: 55 W
Start Rank: 52 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 62 L
KFUM Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 67 D
HamKam Rank: 62 D
Tromsø Rank: 70 D
Brann Rank: 69 W
Rosenborg Rank: 63 W
Sandefjord Rank: 62 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Vålerenga
0%
Draw
0%
Away Aalesund
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.63
44
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Vålerenga
Aalesund
Power Score
59.63
44
League Position
11
12
Global Rank
538
868

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Vålerenga — Opponent-weighted form score
Aalesund — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vålerenga Aalesund

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vålerenga Vålerenga Home
0 matches
Aalesund Aalesund Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:04:13+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
O. Hedvall
1 O. Hedvall
H. Sjåtil
3 H. Sjåtil
A. Olsen
4 A. Olsen
I. Näsberg
37 I. Näsberg
K. Finnsson
2 K. Finnsson
H. Bjørdal
8 H. Bjørdal
F. Ambina
29 F. Ambina
M. Westergaard
28 M. Westergaard
C. Lange
10 C. Lange
P. Strand
24 P. Strand
M. Grundetjern
17 M. Grundetjern
T. Valderhaug Larsen
26 T. Valderhaug Larsen
K. Nesso
7 K. Nesso
O. Gudmundsson
3 O. Gudmundsson
A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 A. Hammer Kjelsen
S. Haram
4 S. Haram
U. Nwokoma
14 U. Nwokoma
H. Molvær Melland
8 H. Molvær Melland
E. Hagen
18 E. Hagen
M. Christensen
21 M. Christensen
K. Lonnebu
39 K. Lonnebu
E. Hjertager Osenbroch
15 E. Hjertager Osenbroch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Intility Arena
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Higraff

Expected Lineup

Referee : Daniel Higraff

Starting XI ▼

1
Oscar Hedvall
Oscar Hedvall Goalkeeper
6.85
8
Henrik Bjørdal
Henrik Bjørdal Midfielder
7.08
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
7.02
17
M. Grundetjern
M. Grundetjern Attacker
6.95
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand Attacker
6.62
2
Kolbeinn Finnsson
Kolbeinn Finnsson Left Back
7.01
3
Hakon Sjatil
Hakon Sjatil Right Back
6.62
37
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Left Back
6.84
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Right Back
6.79
28
Magnus Westergaard
Magnus Westergaard Central Midfield
6.83
29
Fidel Brice Ambina
Fidel Brice Ambina Central Midfield
6.88
Referee : Daniel Higraff

Starting XI ▼

26
Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen
Tor Erik Valderhaug Larsen Goalkeeper
7.65
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch Attacker
6.89
39
Kristian Lonebu
Kristian Lonebu Attacker
7
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson Left Back
6.63
4
Simen Haram
Simen Haram Right Back
6.76
14
Uba Charles
Uba Charles Right Back
6.65
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen Central Midfield
6.7
21
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen Central Midfield
7
5
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen
Aleksander Hammer Kjelsen Centre Back
6.82
7
Kristoffer Nessø
Kristoffer Nessø Left Back
6.62
8
Henrik Melland
Henrik Melland Central Midfield
6.87

CONCLUSION

Vålerenga enter this fixture with a measurable edge in overall team power and home venue comfort that could shape the outcome against Aalesund. Their higher structural rating provides a platform to control proceedings, yet Aalesund's stronger form score introduces an element of unpredictability that demands careful management. With gaps in efficiency and transition data, attention naturally turns to squad quality and positional discipline as the primary differentiators. Both teams face constraints in set piece insights due to low confidence inputs, shifting emphasis toward open play execution. The match represents a test of whether Vålerenga can convert their power advantage into tangible control or if Aalesund's current momentum disrupts those plans.