Valencia vs Celta de Vigo preview

Spain flag 2026/2027 La Liga, Spain
Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga
Full Time
Round 2 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Valencia hosted Celta de Vigo in a La Liga encounter that concluded with a 0-0 scoreline. The first half saw no goals, maintaining an even score at the break. Valencia managed 44 percent of the possession while Celta de Vigo controlled 56 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.73 for Valencia and 0.47 for Celta de Vigo, indicating limited attacking threat from both sides. The stronger team according to pre-match assessments was Celta de Vigo, yet they could not capitalize on their possession advantage. No red cards were issued during the match, keeping both teams at full strength throughout. The result was a draw, consistent with the low scoring nature of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Valencia 0-0 Celta de Vigo. Celta de Vigo showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment confirmed that the outcome was consistent with the expected goals figures.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment indicated that the result matched pre-match projections accurately.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations highlighted low values of 0.73 for Valencia and 0.47 for Celta de Vigo.
  • Event impact: Event impact reflected the goalless draw as the final outcome between the sides.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent as no red cards were shown in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Gil Manzano
J. Gil Manzano
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
G. Porras Ayuso
G. Porras Ayuso
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Martínez Nicolás
J. Martínez Nicolás
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
G. Brull Acerete
G. Brull Acerete
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
1.64
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.43
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Barcelona Rank: 96 W
Real Sociedad Rank: 80 W
Rayo Vallecano Rank: 81 D
Athletic Club Rank: 77 W
Atlético de Madrid Rank: 89 L
Girona Rank: 75 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sevilla Rank: 78 W
Athletic Club Rank: 77 D
Levante Rank: 76 L
Atlético de Madrid Rank: 89 W
Elche Rank: 76 W
Villarreal Rank: 86 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 3
3

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.5
81.75
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
Power Score
81.5
81.75
League Position
12
11
Global Rank
60
56

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Valencia Opponent-weighted form score
Celta de Vigo Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Valencia Celta de Vigo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Valencia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Celta de Vigo

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Valencia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Celta de Vigo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.91
16.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.43
20.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Valencia +0.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Celta de Vigo -0.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Valencia
vs
Celta de Vigo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
6%
49%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.05 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
49%
6%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.05
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Valencia
vs
Celta de Vigo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Valencia Celta de Vigo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Valencia
Celta de Vigo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • CEL had peak pressure around 94'.
  • CEL started the game with stronger pressure.
VAL Pressure CEL Pressure
Pressure Index: CEL reached the top pressure at 94' (67.27).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Valencia VAL Home
4 matches
Celta de Vigo CEL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
6
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:47:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 La Liga, Spain · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Mestalla
Capacity
49430
Attendance
43684
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jesús Gil Manzano
Guadalupe Porras Ayuso
Javier Martínez Nicolás
Gerard Brull Acerete

Statistics

Possession
VAL
46%
CEL
54%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 3
24 Dangerous attacks 44
44 Possession 56
1 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

54 Ball Safe 55
2 Goal Kicks 3
5 Substitutions 5
19 Throwins 12
5 Successful Headers 4
6 Dribble Attempts 9
2 Successful Dribbles 2
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 22

Attacking

87 Attacks 119
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

47 Long Passes 36
486 Passes 616
427 Successful Passes 551
88 Successful Passes Percentage 89
4 Key Passes 6
22 Successful Long Passes 14
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

3 Saves 2
11 Tackles 9
8 Interceptions 10
35 Duels Won 32

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 14
2 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
17 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI

1
Stole Dimitrievski
Stole Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
7.02
5
César Tárrega
César Tárrega Defender
7.37
12
Justin de Haas
Justin de Haas Defender
6.37
4
Mouctar Diakhaby
Mouctar Diakhaby
Defender46'
6.97
14
José Gayà
José Gayà (C) Defender
6.64
24
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo
Defender69'
6.62
18
Pepelu
Pepelu Defender
7.18
21
Jesús Vázquez
Jesús Vázquez Defender
6.85
2
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez Midfielder
7.27
8
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra Midfielder
6.67
23
Filip Ugrinic
Filip Ugrinic Midfielder
7.33
15
Aliou Dieng
Aliou Dieng
Midfielder69'
6.39
39
Ryunosuke Sato
Ryunosuke Sato Midfielder
6.65
6
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
Attacker57'
6.4
7
Arnaut Danjuma
Arnaut Danjuma Attacker
6.91
9
Hugo Duro
Hugo Duro
Attacker83'
6.46
Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI

13
Ionuț Radu
Ionuț Radu Goalkeeper
7.01
3
Marcos Alonso
7.88
20
Javi Rodríguez
Javi Rodríguez Defender
7.12
29
Yoel Lago
Yoel Lago Defender
7.12
5
Sergio Carreira
Sergio Carreira Midfielder
6.97
8
Miguel Román
Miguel Román Midfielder
7.17
14
Aleix Febas
Aleix Febas Midfielder
7.04
6
Ilaix Moriba
Ilaix Moriba
Midfielder77'
6.49
22
Javi Galán
Javi Galán Midfielder
6.84
10
Iago Aspas
Iago Aspas
Attacker64'
6.69
9
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran Jutglà Attacker
6.22
11
Pablo Durán
Pablo Durán
Attacker64'
6.81
23
Hugo Álvarez
Hugo Álvarez Attacker
6.53
19
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg
Midfielder57'
6.74
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
6.3
17
Javi Rueda
Javi Rueda
Defender64'
6.25

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Hugo Duro Arnaut Danjuma
10th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Ilaix Moriba Aleix Febas
9th Substitution
Event
Aliou Dieng Filip Ugrinic
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Pablo Maffeo José Gayà 
8th Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
64'
Event
Iago Aspas  Javi Galán
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Pablo Durán Ferran Jutglà
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Javi Rueda Jones El-Abdellaoui
6th Substitution
Event
Umar Sadiq Ryunosuke Sato
2nd Substitution
57'
57'
Event
Williot Swedberg Hugo Álvarez
3rd Substitution
57'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Mouctar Diakhaby Justin de Haas
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
38'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Guido Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Update Update
Offside.
89
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Alonso takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Offside.
84
Update Update
Offside.
83
Update Update
Offside.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Update Update
On Hugo Duro, off Arnaut Danjuma. Adam Groeneveld is coming on.
64
Update Update
Iago Aspas Juncal is on, and Javier Galan is off.
64
Update Update
Javier Rueda comes on for Jones El-Abdellaoui.
64
Update Update
Pablo Duran comes on for Ferran Jutgla Blanch.
58
Update Update
Offside.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sergio Carreira receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Carreira's right-footed shot is blocked.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Arnaut Danjuma from Adam Groeneveld, but it misses the target.
45
Attempt Attempt
Filip Ugrinic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Javier Rodriguez takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Filip Ugrinic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
39
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Stole Dimitrievski.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Justin de Haas.
26
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Stole Dimitrievski.
25
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Justin de Haas.
23
Attempt Attempt
Aleix Febas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
13
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Alonso attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Aleix Febas takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
6
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Alonso attempts a header but misses the shot.
6
Update Update
Offside.
4
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Alonso attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jesus Gil Manzano.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 draw between Valencia and Celta de Vigo showcased a defensively solid performance from both sides. With limited expected goals and no goals scored, the match highlighted the challenges in breaking down organized defenses. Celta de Vigo's possession dominance did not yield the necessary quality in the final third. Valencia defended resolutely to secure a point at home. The alignment between expected goals and the actual result underscores the predictability in this instance despite the significant deviation noted. Overall, this result leaves both teams reflecting on missed opportunities to secure a win in a tightly contested affair.