Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands preview
World Cup
Cape Verde Islands
CPV
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Uruguay hosted Cape Verde Islands in a match that concluded 2-2. The home side led 2-1 at halftime after establishing early control with 65 percent possession overall. Despite generating 1.94 expected goals against the visitors 0.45, Uruguay could not convert their dominance into a victory. Cape Verde Islands mounted a second-half response to equalize and secure the draw. No red cards were shown to either team. The result represented a significant deviation from pre-match positioning where Cape Verde Islands were identified as the stronger side. The final outcome proved inconsistent with the expected goals profile and showed no alignment with initial projections. The match highlighted contrasting efficiencies between the two sides throughout the ninety minutes.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Cape Verde Islands produced a significant deviation from pre-match positioning in securing the draw.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the match dynamics across both halves.
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xG alignment: The 2-2 outcome was not consistent with the 1.94 to 0.45 xG differential.
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Market alignment: The final result showed no alignment with pre-match projections for either side.
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xG expectations: Uruguay created 1.94 expected goals while Cape Verde Islands managed 0.45.
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Event impact: The 2-2 draw occurred despite Uruguay leading 2-1 at halftime and holding 65 percent possession.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to the match structure.
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Market: Uruguay 68.4% (Δ+61.2%) | Draw 20.8% (Δ-69.3%) | Cape Verde Islands 10.9% (Δ+8.1%).
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Movement
Changes since opening
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Team Power Ranking
i
14.07
26.67
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Uruguay
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Uruguay
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Uruguay
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- URU had peak pressure around 46'.
- URU started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:36+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Uruguay
vs
Spain
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 12:00 AM
Venue: Guadalajara Stadium
Cape Verde Islands
vs
Saudi Arabia
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 27 Jun - 12:00 AM
Venue: Houston Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Starting XI ▼














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Manager ▼
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Match Commentary